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AEK Athens FC
PAOK vs Celta Vigo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 19 February, 2026 11:45
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Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
17
Played
12
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(34 total)
xG
0.60
(10.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.2
(259 total)
Shots on Target
6.1
(40% acc)
Corners
6.3
(107 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.2
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
13
(76%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(180 total)
Offsides
1.8
(31 total)
15
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(30 total)
xG
0.50
(8.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.1
(166 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(39% acc)
Corners
3.6
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
0.60
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.7
(176 total)
Offsides
1.6
(24 total)
32
Played
19
Wins
8
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(64 total)
xG
0.60
(18.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(425 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(39% acc)
Corners
5
(161 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.40
per match
Clean Sheets
18
(56%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.1
(356 total)
Offsides
1.7
(55 total)
16
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(25 total)
xG
1.30
(21.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(185 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(36% acc)
Corners
4.4
(71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.7
(171 total)
Offsides
1.9
(31 total)
16
Played
6
Wins
6
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.20
(19.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(153 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(39% acc)
Corners
3.3
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13
(208 total)
Offsides
1.8
(28 total)
32
Played
12
Wins
11
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(47 total)
xG
1.30
(40.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(338 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(37% acc)
Corners
3.8
(123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.8
(379 total)
Offsides
1.8
(59 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.93 vs 0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.85%
0:1
4.5%
0:2
1.14%
0:3
0.19%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.13%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.65%
1:2
2.95%
1:3
0.58%
1:4
0.08%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.93%
⭐
2:1
9.92%
2:2
3.59%
2:3
0.83%
2:4
0.14%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
7.37%
⭐
3:1
6.61%
⭐
3:2
2.78%
3:3
0.74%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
3.15%
⭐
4:1
3.23%
⭐
4:2
1.55%
⭐
4:3
0.47%
⭐
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
1.08%
⭐
5:1
1.24%
⭐
5:2
0.67%
⭐
5:3
0.23%
⭐
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs matchup, PAOK will take on Celta Vigo as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-19 at 2026-02-19 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, PAOK, and the visiting side, Celta Vigo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-19
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for PAOK vs Celta Vigo Thursday, Feb 19th, 2026 at 11:45 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for PAOK vs Celta Vigo Football 19 Feb, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
PAOK keep clean sheets in 83% of home games — hard to break down
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for PAOK vs Celta Vigo.
🏆 Match Winner — PAOK @ 2.39 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPAOK
Above League AverageLeague
PAOK score 2.00 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 675%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
PAOK concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
PAOK create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 12 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 12100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
PAOK are unbeaten in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — PAOK to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPAOK1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
PAOK score well (2.00/match) but have strong defense at home (0.17 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 83% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCelta Vigo1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Celta Vigo score (1.75/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 50%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.02 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPAOK1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
PAOK score 2.00 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsCelta Vigo2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Celta Vigo score 1.75 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsOver 2.5 GoalsRecent
Over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams average 3.8 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — PAOK Win or Draw @ 1.40 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPAOK
League Best DefenseLeague
PAOK concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
PAOK are unbeaten in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
PAOK are undefeated at half time in their last 9 12 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡PAOK demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsPAOK2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
PAOK score 2.00 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 675%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
PAOK concede only 0.17 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCelta Vigo2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Celta Vigo score 1.75 goals/match in away matches (+30% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Celta Vigo scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsPAOK1 Trends — avg 2.1 (-6% below league)High Card MatchesLeague
PAOK average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+20% above league avg 2.1) — rank #4 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Celta Vigo disciplined play balances PAOK aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPAOK1 Trends — avg 6.4 (+40% above league)Many CornersLeague
PAOK average 6.4 corners/match at home (+40% above league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 685%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCelta Vigo1 Trends — avg 3.0 (-34% below league)Few CornersLeague
Celta Vigo average 3.0 corners/match in away matches (-34% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 9.4 corners/match (PAOK 6.4 + Celta Vigo 3.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
PAOK vs Celta Vigo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: PAOK is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: PAOK is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: PAOK is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 PAOK
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Celta Vigo
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 PAOK - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Celta Vigo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 PAOK - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
11
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Celta Vigo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: PAOK shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of PAOK winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: PAOK excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of PAOK scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: PAOK has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider PAOK handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.075
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.065
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (PAOK):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Celta Vigo):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
PAOK vs Celta Vigo Head-to-head statistics for Thu 19 Feb, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Prediction
PAOK or Draw
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
PAOK
VS
Celta Vigo
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
3 (3)
xG
0.80
2.20
Shots
5 (5)
15 (15)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
9 (9)
Corners
1 (1)
5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
3 (3)
1 (1)
xGa
2.20
0.80
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
3 (3)
Fouls
11 (11)
9 (9)
Offsides
1 (1)
2 (2)
Last 6 Matches
PAOK
VS
Celta Vigo
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
33%
BTTS %
83%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
-
Avg xG
1.40
PAOK vs Celta Vigo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for PAOK and away matches for Celta Vigo
Number of goals
PAOK
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
PAOK
Celta Vigo
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
PAOK
Celta Vigo
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
PAOK
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
PAOK
Celta Vigo
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
30%
3
xG(xGa)
PAOK
Celta Vigo
xG
1.79
1.49
xGa
1.16
0.85
Number of goals
PAOK
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Yes
30%
3
0%
0
No
70%
7
100%
10
1X2
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
PAOK
Celta Vigo
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
PAOK
Celta Vigo
0-1
50%
5
100%
10
2-3
40%
4
0%
0
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
Number of goals
PAOK
Under
Over
Celta Vigo
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Yes
20%
2
60%
6
No
80%
8
40%
4
1X2
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
PAOK
Celta Vigo
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
PAOK
Celta Vigo
0-1
70%
7
30%
3
2-3
10%
1
60%
6
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Clean Sheet
PAOK
Celta Vigo
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
2.11
xG
0.62
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
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