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Palmeiras
Palmeiras vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 2 April, 2026 19:30
Prediction League
4
Played
4
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(10 total)
xG
1.40
(5.4 total)
Shots per Match
15
(60 total)
Shots on Target
6
(40% acc)
Corners
4.5
(18 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.8
(55 total)
Offsides
2.5
(10 total)
4
Played
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(7 total)
xG
0.60
(2.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(35 total)
Shots on Target
4
(46% acc)
Corners
4
(16 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(1 total)
Fouls
16.8
(67 total)
Offsides
1.8
(7 total)
8
Played
6
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(7.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(95 total)
Shots on Target
5
(42% acc)
Corners
4.3
(34 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
15.3
(122 total)
Offsides
2.1
(17 total)
4
Played
3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(10 total)
xG
1.70
(6.7 total)
Shots per Match
15.3
(61 total)
Shots on Target
6.5
(43% acc)
Corners
4.5
(18 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.3
(49 total)
Offsides
1.3
(5 total)
4
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(3 total)
xG
0.80
(3.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.3
(37 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(30% acc)
Corners
3.8
(15 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
2.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(41 total)
Offsides
1
(4 total)
8
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(13 total)
xG
1.20
(9.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(98 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(38% acc)
Corners
4.1
(33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.3
(90 total)
Offsides
1.1
(9 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.87 vs 1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.63%
0:1
2.22%
0:2
0.94%
0:3
0.26%
0:4
0.06%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
7.05%
1:1
6.44%
1:2
2.92%
1:3
0.88%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
9.46%
🔥
2:1
9.3%
2:2
4.52%
2:3
1.45%
⭐
2:4
0.35%
⭐
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
8.47%
3:1
8.9%
⭐
3:2
4.62%
⭐
3:3
1.58%
⭐
3:4
0.4%
⭐
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
5.68%
⭐
4:1
6.37%
⭐
4:2
3.52%
⭐
4:3
1.28%
⭐
4:4
0.34%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
3.05%
⭐
5:1
3.63%
⭐
5:2
2.12%
⭐
5:3
0.82%
⭐
5:4
0.23%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot:
2:0 (9.5%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Palmeiras will take on Gremio as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-03 at 2026-04-03 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be B. Arleu. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Palmeiras, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Palmeiras.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-03
Time: 00:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Palmeiras vs Gremio Thursday, Apr 2nd, 2026 at 19:30 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Palmeiras vs Gremio Football 2 Apr, 2026 19:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Momentum Clash
Palmeiras on fire (100% win rate) facing struggling Gremio — form gulf evident
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Palmeiras vs Gremio.
🏆 Match Winner — Palmeiras @ 1.57 ⚠️ 
Palmeiras
High xG PerformanceH2H
Palmeiras create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Palmeiras demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🛡️ Double Chance — Palmeiras Win or Draw @ 1.14 ⚠️ 
Palmeiras
Undefeated at HTH2H
Palmeiras are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Palmeiras demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Palmeiras Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.66 ⚠️ 
Palmeiras
Scored 1+Recent
Palmeiras scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
First Half SpecialistsRecent
Palmeiras score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Palmeiras's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Gremio1 Trends — avg 2.5 (-1% below league)Many CardsH2H
Gremio receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Palmeiras disciplined play balances Gremio aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.18 ⚠️ 
Palmeiras1 Trends — avg 5.7 (+14% above league)Few CornersH2H
Palmeiras win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.18
🎯 Betting Analysis
Palmeiras vs Gremio
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Palmeiras is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Gremio is stronger in the second half (20 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Gremio is stronger in the second half (20 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Palmeiras
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Gremio
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Palmeiras - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Gremio - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Palmeiras - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Gremio - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
13
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Palmeiras is stronger in the first half (14 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Palmeiras to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Gremio shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Gremio winning the second half
- Overall Result: Palmeiras has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Palmeiras handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Palmeiras):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Gremio):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Palmeiras vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Thu 2 Apr, 2026 @ 19:30 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Palmeiras
VS
Gremio
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (3)
1.5 (3)
xG
1.20
1.80
Shots
16.5 (33)
12.5 (25)
Shots on Target
4.5 (9)
6.5 (13)
Corners
2.5 (5)
4 (8)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (3)
1.5 (3)
xGa
1.80
1.20
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (4)
2.5 (5)
Red Cards
0.5 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
16 (32)
15 (30)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
0.5 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Palmeiras
VS
Gremio
5/6 (83%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.50
PPG
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.76
Avg xG
0.85
Palmeiras vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Palmeiras and away matches for Gremio
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Gremio
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
80%
8
40%
4
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Gremio
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
20%
2
60%
6
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Gremio
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
40%
4
80%
8
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Gremio
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Palmeiras
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
60%
6
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Palmeiras
Gremio
xG
1.17
1.2
xGa
0.91
1.44
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Gremio
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
70%
7
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
0%
0
40%
4
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Gremio
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
100%
10
60%
6
X2
30%
3
70%
7
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Gremio
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Gremio
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Gremio
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Palmeiras
Gremio
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Gremio
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Gremio
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Gremio
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Leg Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Leg Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Broken ankle
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Broken ankle
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
2.38
xG
0.64
63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
11
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found