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Mirassol
Palmeiras vs Botafogo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 18 March, 2026 17:00
Prediction League
3
Played
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7
(8 total)
xG
1.30
(3.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(41 total)
Shots on Target
6
(44% acc)
Corners
4.3
(13 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14
(42 total)
Offsides
1.7
(5 total)
3
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(6 total)
xG
0.80
(2.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(31 total)
Shots on Target
5
(48% acc)
Corners
5
(15 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.3
(46 total)
Offsides
2
(6 total)
6
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(14 total)
xG
1.00
(6.1 total)
Shots per Match
12
(72 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(46% acc)
Corners
4.7
(28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14.7
(88 total)
Offsides
1.8
(11 total)
2
Played
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(4 total)
xG
0.90
(1.7 total)
Shots per Match
8.5
(17 total)
Shots on Target
3
(35% acc)
Corners
2.5
(5 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.5
(1 total)
Fouls
13
(26 total)
Offsides
0
(0 total)
2
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(3 total)
xG
0.70
(1.5 total)
Shots per Match
7
(14 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(50% acc)
Corners
1
(2 total)
Defense
Conceded
3
per match
xGa
2.40
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.5
(25 total)
Offsides
0
(0 total)
4
Played
1
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(7 total)
xG
0.80
(3.2 total)
Shots per Match
7.8
(31 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(42% acc)
Corners
1.8
(7 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(1 total)
Fouls
12.8
(51 total)
Offsides
0
(0 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.91 vs 0.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.69%
0:1
2.23%
0:2
0.72%
0:3
0.17%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
8.09%
1:1
5.97%
1:2
2.38%
1:3
0.61%
1:4
0.12%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
10.59%
🔥
2:1
9.14%
2:2
3.88%
2:3
1.08%
2:4
0.22%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
9.49%
⭐
3:1
8.97%
⭐
3:2
4.15%
⭐
3:3
1.25%
⭐
3:4
0.28%
⭐
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
6.39%
⭐
4:1
6.56%
⭐
4:2
3.28%
⭐
4:3
1.07%
⭐
4:4
0.26%
⭐
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
3.44%
⭐
5:1
3.81%
⭐
5:2
2.05%
⭐
5:3
0.72%
⭐
5:4
0.18%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
2:0 (10.6%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Palmeiras will take on Botafogo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-18 at 2026-03-18 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Palmeiras, and the visiting side, Botafogo. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Winner : Palmeiras and +2.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-18
Time: 22:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Palmeiras vs Botafogo Wednesday, Mar 18th, 2026 at 17:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Palmeiras vs Botafogo Football 18 Mar, 2026 17:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Palmeiras vs Botafogo.
🏆 Match Winner — Palmeiras @ 1.58 ✅ 
Palmeiras
UnbeatenH2H
Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
High xG PerformanceH2H
Palmeiras create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Botafogo
Not WinH2H
Botafogo have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Palmeiras to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.95 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Palmeiras rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Palmeiras Win or Draw @ 1.15 ✅
Palmeiras
UnbeatenH2H
Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
Palmeiras are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Botafogo
Not WinH2H
Botafogo have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Palmeiras to win looks justified.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.26 ⚠️ 
Palmeiras1 Trends — avg 1.9 (-25% below league)Many CardsH2H
Palmeiras receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Palmeiras aggressive (100% H2H) drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.26
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.16 ⚠️
Palmeiras1 Trends — avg 5.7 (+14% above league)Few CornersH2H
Palmeiras win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Botafogo1 Trends — avg 4 (-20% below league)Few CornersH2H
Botafogo win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.16
🎯 Betting Analysis
Palmeiras vs Botafogo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Palmeiras is stronger in the first half (16 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Botafogo is stronger in the second half (23 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Botafogo is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Botafogo is stronger in the second half (23 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Botafogo is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Palmeiras
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Botafogo
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.19
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Palmeiras - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Botafogo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
23
Avg. Goals per Match
1.15
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Palmeiras - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Botafogo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Palmeiras is stronger in the first half (16 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Palmeiras to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Botafogo shows superior performance after the break (23 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Botafogo winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Botafogo excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Botafogo scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Palmeiras has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Palmeiras handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.096
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.047
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Palmeiras):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Botafogo):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Palmeiras vs Botafogo Head-to-head statistics for Wed 18 Mar, 2026 @ 17:00 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Palmeiras to Win
Under/Over:
+2.5*
Goals Home:
-5.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Palmeiras
VS
Botafogo
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (1)
0 (0)
xG
1.20
1.20
Shots
10.5 (21)
14 (28)
Shots on Target
2.5 (5)
5.5 (11)
Corners
2.5 (5)
3 (6)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
0.5 (1)
xGa
1.20
1.20
Clean Sheets
2 (100%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (5)
2 (4)
Fouls
12 (24)
14.5 (29)
Offsides
2 (4)
1 (2)
Last 6 Matches
Palmeiras
VS
Botafogo
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.17
PPG
0.75
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.75
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.25
83%
BTTS %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.01
Avg xG
0.98
Palmeiras vs Botafogo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Palmeiras and away matches for Botafogo
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
Palmeiras
Botafogo
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Botafogo
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Botafogo
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
50%
5
70%
7
Total Corners
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Palmeiras
Botafogo
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Palmeiras
Botafogo
xG
1.26
1.18
xGa
1.21
1.57
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Palmeiras
Botafogo
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
0%
0
40%
4
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Botafogo
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
100%
10
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Botafogo
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Palmeiras
Under
Over
Botafogo
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Palmeiras
Botafogo
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Palmeiras
Botafogo
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Palmeiras
Botafogo
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Missing Players
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Leg Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knock
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
2.25
xG
0.57
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found