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26 Dec 2025-15:00
Oxford United
Oxford United
22nd place
- : -
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Southampton
Southampton
11th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Oxford United vs Southampton: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 26 December, 2025 15:00

1×2 Prediction
Southampton
26%22%52%
Oxford UnitedDrawSouthampton
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
64%36%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
66%34%
YesNo
Team Total - Oxford United
Under 1.5
59%41%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Southampton
Over 1.5
60%40%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Southampton
74%26%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Southampton +0.5
74%26%
Away +0.5NOT Away +0.5
Best Tip Value
Both Teams Score Both Teams Score
Odds: 1.71
66.3%
EV: +13.4%
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Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
15:00
Oxford United W 26%
:
Southampton W 52%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.47 vs 2.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.36%
0:1
6.53%
0:2
6.35%
0:3
4.12%
0:4
2%
0:5
0.78%
1
1:0
4.41%
1:1
9.12%
1:2
9.39%
🔥
1:3
6.42%
1:4
3.29%
1:5
1.34%
2
2:0
2.9%
2:1
6.35%
2:2
6.9%
2:3
4.97%
2:4
2.67%
2:5
1.14%
3
3:0
1.27%
3:1
2.94%
3:2
3.36%
3:3
2.54%
3:4
1.43%
3:5
0.64%
4
4:0
0.42%
4:1
1.02%
4:2
1.22%
4:3
0.97%
4:4
0.57%
4:5
0.27%
5
5:0
0.11%
5:1
0.28%
5:2
0.35%
5:3
0.29%
5:4
0.18%
5:5
0.09%
Hotspot: 1:2 (9.4%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.4%
0
10.9%
1
18.4%
2
21.1%
3
18.7%
4
13.5%
5
8.1%
6
3.9%
7
1.5%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
Watford
l w d d w
>
22
8
8
6
31
28
3
32
11
Southampton
l w w l d
>
22
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
Derby
l l d w d
>
22
8
7
7
31
30
1
31

21
Portsmouth
l l l w d
>
21
5
6
10
18
28
-10
21
22
Oxford United
w l d l l
>
22
4
7
11
22
31
-9
19
23
Norwich
w l d w d
>
22
4
6
12
25
35
-10
18
1.39 xG 1.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Oxford United
VS
Southampton
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.83 PPG 1.67
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
67% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
0.90 Avg xG 1.59
Oxford United
W L D L L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Charlton
1 0
Oxford United
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Oxford United
1 2
Preston
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Blackburn
1 1
Oxford United
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Swansea
2 0
Oxford United
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Oxford United
2 1
Ipswich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Norwich
1 1
Oxford United
Southampton
L W W L D
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Southampton
1 1
Coventry
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Norwich
2 1
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Southampton
3 2
West Brom
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Southampton
3 1
Birmingham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Millwall
3 2
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Southampton
3 0
Leicester
Missing Players
Oxford United
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Thigh Injury
Southampton
24
m
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
42
f
- Injured - Knock
23
m
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
38
d
- Injured - Hip Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
11
f
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Oxford United will take on Southampton as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2025-12-26 at 2025-12-26 in the famous The Kassam Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Oxford United, and the visiting side, Southampton. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Southampton. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-26 Time: 15:00 Location: The Kassam Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Oxford United vs Southampton Friday, Dec 26th, 2025 at 15:00 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.71
66.3%
EV: +13.4% Stake: $3.52
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
BTTS Yes
Odds: 1.71
66.3%
EV: +13.4% Stake: $3.52
Bet Now
Value
Total Away Over 1.5
Odds: 1.81
60.3%
EV: +9.2% Stake: $3.09
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Southampton NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.32
81.5%
EV: +7.6% Stake: $7.81
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 00:06:20
spinner

Trends for Oxford United vs Southampton Football 26 Dec, 2025 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Southampton create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Oxford United vs Southampton

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Southampton is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Oxford United

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.33
Pressure
0.05

✈️ Southampton

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Oxford United - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

✈️ Southampton - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Oxford United - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Southampton - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Southampton shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Southampton winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Southampton has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Southampton handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.025
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Oxford United):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Southampton):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Oxford United
Southampton

Oxford United vs Southampton Head-to-head statistics for Fri 26 Dec, 2025 @ 15:00 Championship

Oxford United vs Southampton: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Oxford United and away matches for Southampton

Number of goals
Oxford United
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Oxford United
Southampton
Yes
70% 7
80% 8
No
30% 3
20% 2
1X2
Oxford United
Southampton
1
10% 1
60% 6
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Oxford United
Southampton
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
90% 9
40% 4
Total Goals
Oxford United
Southampton
0-1
10% 1
0% 0
2-3
80% 8
50% 5
4+
10% 1
50% 5
Total Corners
Oxford United
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Oxford United
Southampton
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Oxford United
Southampton
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Oxford United
Southampton
xG
0.89
1.58
xGa
1.41
1.24
Number of goals
Oxford United
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Oxford United
Southampton
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Oxford United
Southampton
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Oxford United
Southampton
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Oxford United
Southampton
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Oxford United
Southampton
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
Oxford United
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Oxford United
Southampton
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Oxford United
Southampton
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Oxford United
Southampton
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Oxford United
Southampton
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Oxford United
Southampton
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
3.7%
Low
N/A
14.2%
Low
6.60
-2
7.3%
Low
N/A
22.1%
Low
5.75
-1.5
10.9%
Low
8.30
30.0%
Low
3.21
-1
18.4%
Low
7.40
41.1%
Low
2.50
-0.5
25.8%
Low
3.94
52.1%
Medium
1.87
+0.5
47.9%
Low
2.05
74.1%
High
1.27
+1
58.9%
Medium
1.57
81.6%
High
1.03
+1.5
69.9%
Medium
1.38
89.1%
High
1.01
+2
77.8%
High
1.14
92.7%
High
N/A
+2.5
85.7%
High
1.11
96.3%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.64%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.543.34%Low3.05
Under 1.556.66%Medium1.38
AwayOver 1.562.15%Medium1.82
Under 1.537.85%Low2.03
HomeOver 2.518.46%Low8.00
Under 2.581.54%High1.09
AwayOver 2.535.15%Low3.50
Under 2.564.85%Medium1.30
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Oxford United
Southampton
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 10 12 22
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 4 3 7
Losses 4 7 11
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.1 11 0.9 11 1 22
Goals Conceded 1.5 15 1.3 16 1.4 31
Yellow Cards 1.3 13 1.3 15 1.3 28
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Corners 4.4 44 3.3 40 3.8 84
Fouls 10.5 105 11 132 10.8 237
Offsides 2.2 22 2.3 27 2.2 49
Shots 15.3 153 9.9 119 12.4 272
Shots on Goal 4.2 42 2.9 35 3.5 77
Home Away All
Played 11 11 22
Wins 5 3 8
Draws 4 3 7
Losses 2 5 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.5 17 1.7 19 1.6 36
Goals Conceded 1 11 1.8 20 1.4 31
Yellow Cards 1.5 16 2.3 25 1.9 41
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 3 0 0.1 3
Corners 6.3 69 4.4 48 5.3 117
Fouls 9.9 109 10.6 117 10.3 226
Offsides 1.1 12 2.2 24 1.6 36
Shots 15.4 169 12.6 139 14 308
Shots on Goal 5.2 57 5.2 57 5.2 114
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