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Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18 27 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Finished
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
17th place
Form
1 : 2
0.59
xG
1.39
Full Time
Half Time: 0-0
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
Form
54'
O. Hutchinson
T. Reijnders
48'
M. Cherki
83'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 27 December, 2025 6:30

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
1'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
6'
Winner (1x2)1.64
Manchester City to Win
Probability 64%
Total Goals1.71
Over 2.5
Probability 68%
Both Teams to Score1.75
Yes
Probability 57%
Nottingham Forest Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 93%
Manchester City Total1.42
Away Under 2.5
Probability 66%
Double Chance1.19
Draw/Manchester City
Probability 85%
Asian Handicap-
Manchester City +2.5
Probability 99%

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Match Preview

The Stakes are High

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Manchester City in this vital Premier League clash, the stakes couldn't be higher. Nottingham Forest finds itself precariously positioned at 17th place with just 18 points, desperately needing a win to escape the relegation zone, while Manchester City sits comfortably in 2nd with 37 points, looking to maintain pressure on the league leaders.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this match with contrasting recent performances that could influence the outcome significantly.

  • Nottingham Forest: Struggling to find form, Forest has recorded just two wins in their last five matches, leading to increased pressure on their defense. They average a lowly 0.8 goals scored per match and have been vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in front of their fans.
  • Manchester City: In stark contrast, City is riding high on a five-match winning streak, showcasing their attacking prowess with an impressive average of 3.4 goals scored per match. Their recent form indicates a ruthless offense, even as they occasionally leak goals, averaging 1.2 conceded per game.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Manchester City has dominated the encounters between these two teams, winning four out of the last six matchups. The last five results highlight this trend: Nottingham Forest managed a solitary win, while City secured three victories and one draw, with an average of 2.67 goals scored per match in their meetings.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Nottingham Forest will likely employ a defensive strategy, aiming to contain City's dynamic attack. The presence of Édouard Anderson in midfield will be crucial for Forest as they look to disrupt City's rhythm. For Manchester City, Erling Haaland stands out as the key player, capable of exploiting any defensive lapses from Forest. His scoring ability combined with City's fluid attacking style could prove too much for a struggling Forest defense.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win
Predicted Score: 0:2
Reasoning: Based on the teams' recent form and statistical analysis, Nottingham Forest's difficulties in scoring and defending, combined with Manchester City's potent attack, heavily favor an away victory. The statistical model gives City a 63% chance of winning this match.

Betting Tips

Considering the statistical predictions, there are several betting opportunities to explore.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Under 1.5 @ 1.36 (74.6%). This bet reflects the likelihood that Nottingham Forest will struggle to score against a disciplined City defense.
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.67 (57.4%). Implied probability from odds is approximately 59.9%, providing a slight value opportunity given the model's higher probability of 57.4%.

Bet responsibly.

Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
36' Yellow Card
Rúben Dias
Foul
Rúben Dias
E. Anderson
Yellow Card 43'
E. Anderson
Tripping
48' 0:1 Goal
T. Reijnders
Assistant: M. Cherki
T. Reijnders
O. Hutchinson
Goal 1:1 54'
O. Hutchinson
Assistant: Igor Jesus
59' Yellow Card
N. O'Reilly
Holding
N. O'Reilly
73' Substitute
In:Savinho
Out:T. Reijnders
Savinho
75' Yellow Card
P. Guardiola
83' 1:2 Goal
M. Cherki
Assistant: J. Gvardiol
M. Cherki
T. Awoniyi
Substitute 87'
In:T. Awoniyi
Out:N. Domínguez
89' Substitute
In:N. Aké
Out:M. Cherki
N. Aké
D. Bakwa
Substitute 90' +2'
In:D. Bakwa
Out:C. Hudson-Odoi

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Match Preview

The Stakes are High

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Manchester City in this vital Premier League clash, the stakes couldn't be higher. Nottingham Forest finds itself precariously positioned at 17th place with just 18 points, desperately needing a win to escape the relegation zone, while Manchester City sits comfortably in 2nd with 37 points, looking to maintain pressure on the league leaders.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this match with contrasting recent performances that could influence the outcome significantly.

  • Nottingham Forest: Struggling to find form, Forest has recorded just two wins in their last five matches, leading to increased pressure on their defense. They average a lowly 0.8 goals scored per match and have been vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in front of their fans.
  • Manchester City: In stark contrast, City is riding high on a five-match winning streak, showcasing their attacking prowess with an impressive average of 3.4 goals scored per match. Their recent form indicates a ruthless offense, even as they occasionally leak goals, averaging 1.2 conceded per game.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Manchester City has dominated the encounters between these two teams, winning four out of the last six matchups. The last five results highlight this trend: Nottingham Forest managed a solitary win, while City secured three victories and one draw, with an average of 2.67 goals scored per match in their meetings.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Nottingham Forest will likely employ a defensive strategy, aiming to contain City's dynamic attack. The presence of Édouard Anderson in midfield will be crucial for Forest as they look to disrupt City's rhythm. For Manchester City, Erling Haaland stands out as the key player, capable of exploiting any defensive lapses from Forest. His scoring ability combined with City's fluid attacking style could prove too much for a struggling Forest defense.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win
Predicted Score: 0:2
Reasoning: Based on the teams' recent form and statistical analysis, Nottingham Forest's difficulties in scoring and defending, combined with Manchester City's potent attack, heavily favor an away victory. The statistical model gives City a 63% chance of winning this match.

Betting Tips

Considering the statistical predictions, there are several betting opportunities to explore.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Under 1.5 @ 1.36 (74.6%). This bet reflects the likelihood that Nottingham Forest will struggle to score against a disciplined City defense.
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.67 (57.4%). Implied probability from odds is approximately 59.9%, providing a slight value opportunity given the model's higher probability of 57.4%.

Bet responsibly.

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Formation Lineups for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Premier League

Formation
6.7
Nottingham Forest
4-2-3-1
6.9
Manchester City
4-3-2-1
John Victor
6.3
Victor 13
N. Williams
6.3
Williams 3
Murillo
7.2
Murillo 5
N. Milenković
6.9
Milenković 31
N. Savona
6.5
Savona 37
N. Domínguez
6.9
87'
Domínguez 16
E. Anderson
7.3
Anderson 8
C. Hudson-Odoi
6.5
90'
Hudson-Odoi 7
M. Gibbs-White
6.3
Gibbs-White 10
O. Hutchinson
7.3
Hutchinson 21
Igor Jesus
6.7
Jesus 19
G. Donnarumma
6.2
Donnarumma 25
N. O'Reilly
6.2
O'Reilly 33
J. Gvardiol
7.5
Gvardiol 24
Rúben Dias
7.2
Dias 3
M. Nunes
7.2
Nunes 27
T. Reijnders
7
73'
Reijnders 4
Nico González
6.9
González 14
Bernardo Silva
6.9
Silva 20
P. Foden
5.9
Foden 47
M. Cherki
8.5
89'
Cherki 10
E. Haaland
6.5
Haaland 9
field field
Substitutes
Awoniyi
87'
Awoniyi 9
Bakwa
90'
Bakwa 29
Savinho
6.5
73'
Savinho 26
Aké
89'
Aké 6
LineUps
Nottingham Forest
6.3
37
m
6.5
6.9
5
d
7.2
6.3
43'
7.3
87'
6.9
54'
7.3
6.3
90'
6.5
19
f
6.7
Substitutes
26
g
4
d
44
d
24
m
29
f
90'
87'
Coach
Manchester City
6.2
27
d
7.2
36'
7.2
7.5
59'
6.2
6.9
6.9
48'73'
7
10
m
83'89'
8.5
47
m
5.9
6.5
Substitutes
6
d
89'
82
d
16
m
26
m
73'
6.5
92
f
Coach
Missing Players
Nottingham Forest
34
d
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
30
d
- Injured - International duty
- Injured - International duty
11
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
22
m
- Injured - Thigh Injury
14
f
- Injured - Injury
Manchester City
- Injured - International duty
52
m
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
11
f
- Injured - Leg Injury
- Injured - Heel Injury
- Injured - International duty
16
m
- Injured - Thigh Injury
5
d
- Injured - (questionable) Thigh Injury

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 6:30 Premier League

Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Off Target 2 Blocked 3
On Target 2
On Target 5
Off Target 11 Blocked 7
1 Goals 2
34 Ball Possession 66
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 7
282 Total passes 583
76 Passes accurate % 90
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
5 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Offsides 0
5 Corners 5
0.59 Expected Goals 1.39

Stats for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 6:30 Football

Nottingham Forest
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Manchester City
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
R. Cherki
8.5
Midfielder
2
J. Gvardiol
Defender
7.5
3
O. Hutchinson
7.3
4
E. Anderson
Midfielder
7.3