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Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 12:30
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The Stakes are High
As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Manchester City in this vital Premier League clash, the stakes couldn't be higher. Nottingham Forest finds itself precariously positioned at 17th place with just 18 points, desperately needing a win to escape the relegation zone, while Manchester City sits comfortably in 2nd with 37 points, looking to maintain pressure on the league leaders.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams enter this match with contrasting recent performances that could influence the outcome significantly.
- Nottingham Forest: Struggling to find form, Forest has recorded just two wins in their last five matches, leading to increased pressure on their defense. They average a lowly 0.8 goals scored per match and have been vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in front of their fans.
- Manchester City: In stark contrast, City is riding high on a five-match winning streak, showcasing their attacking prowess with an impressive average of 3.4 goals scored per match. Their recent form indicates a ruthless offense, even as they occasionally leak goals, averaging 1.2 conceded per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Manchester City has dominated the encounters between these two teams, winning four out of the last six matchups. The last five results highlight this trend: Nottingham Forest managed a solitary win, while City secured three victories and one draw, with an average of 2.67 goals scored per match in their meetings.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Nottingham Forest will likely employ a defensive strategy, aiming to contain City's dynamic attack. The presence of Édouard Anderson in midfield will be crucial for Forest as they look to disrupt City's rhythm. For Manchester City, Erling Haaland stands out as the key player, capable of exploiting any defensive lapses from Forest. His scoring ability combined with City's fluid attacking style could prove too much for a struggling Forest defense.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Away Win
Predicted Score: 0:2
Reasoning: Based on the teams' recent form and statistical analysis, Nottingham Forest's difficulties in scoring and defending, combined with Manchester City's potent attack, heavily favor an away victory. The statistical model gives City a 63% chance of winning this match.
Betting Tips
Considering the statistical predictions, there are several betting opportunities to explore.
- Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Under 1.5 @ 1.36 (74.6%). This bet reflects the likelihood that Nottingham Forest will struggle to score against a disciplined City defense.
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.67 (57.4%). Implied probability from odds is approximately 59.9%, providing a slight value opportunity given the model's higher probability of 57.4%.
Bet responsibly.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.94 vs 2.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.58%
⭐
0:1
10.99%
🔥
⭐
0:2
10.83%
⭐
0:3
7.12%
0:4
3.51%
0:5
1.38%
1
1:0
4.7%
1:1
9.77%
1:2
10.14%
1:3
7%
1:4
3.62%
1:5
1.49%
2
2:0
1.98%
2:1
4.33%
2:2
4.73%
2:3
3.42%
2:4
1.85%
2:5
0.8%
3
3:0
0.56%
3:1
1.28%
3:2
1.46%
3:3
1.11%
3:4
0.63%
3:5
0.28%
4
4:0
0.12%
4:1
0.28%
4:2
0.34%
4:3
0.27%
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.05%
5:2
0.06%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
0:1 (11.0%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
12
3
2
31
10
21
39
2
12
1
4
41
16
25
37
3
11
3
3
27
18
9
36
16
▲
5
4
8
24
31
-7
19
17
▼
5
3
9
17
26
-9
18
18
3
4
10
19
35
-16
13
1.24
xG
2.04
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Nottingham Forest
VS
Manchester City
3/6 (50%)
Victories
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.50
PPG
2.50
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
3.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
17%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
83%
0.98
Avg xG
2.26
Missing Players
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Leg Injury
-
Injured - Heel Injury
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Thigh Injury
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Nottingham Forest will take on Manchester City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous The City Ground.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nottingham Forest, and the visiting side, Manchester City. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Manchester City.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-27
Time: 12:30
Location: The City Ground
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 12:30 Football
Value Bets
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Best Tip
Value
Home Total
Nottingham Forest Under 1.5
Odds:
1.36
74.6%
EV: +1.5%
Stake: $6.94
Trends for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Football 27 Dec, 2025 12:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Chance Suppression
Nottingham Forest rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Manchester City @ 1.62 ✅ 
Manchester City
- High xG PerformanceH2H6/6100%Manchester City create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Manchester City are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H5/683%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Manchester City score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+41% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Manchester City are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Manchester City create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Manchester City score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Nottingham Forest
- Not WinH2H5/683%Nottingham Forest have not won in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
Manchester City dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.67 ✅
Manchester City(5 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H5/683%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Manchester City score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+41% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Manchester City score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H4/666.7%Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Combined 2.0 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Manchester City Win or Draw @ 1.18 ✅ 
Manchester City
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%Manchester City are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Manchester City are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Manchester City are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
Nottingham Forest
- Not WinH2H5/683%Nottingham Forest have not won in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
Manchester City demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Manchester City Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.57 ✅
Manchester City
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring in away matches (2.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Manchester City score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+41% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent5/683%Manchester City scored 1+ goals in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent5/683%Manchester City score in first half in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches
Manchester City maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.95 ⚠️ 
Manchester City(1 trends) — avg 1.4 (-27% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1786%Manchester City average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-14% below league avg 1.9)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.8 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.95
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.80 ✅ 
Nottingham Forest(2 trends) — avg 6.0 (+25% above league)
- Few CornersH2H4/580%Nottingham Forest win 4 or fewer corners in 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Nottingham Forest average 6.0 corners/match at home (+25% above league avg 4.8)
Manchester City(1 trends) — avg 3.6 (-24% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Manchester City average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-24% below league avg 4.8)
Combined average: 9.6 corners/match (Nottingham Forest 6.0 + Manchester City 3.6) • Nottingham Forest dominance pushes total over threshold
+11 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nottingham Forest
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Manchester City
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nottingham Forest - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Manchester City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nottingham Forest - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Manchester City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Manchester City has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Manchester City handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.162
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nottingham Forest):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Manchester City):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 12:30 Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nottingham Forest and away matches for Manchester City
Number of goals
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
1
60%
6
80%
8
X
10%
1
0%
0
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
12
90%
9
100%
10
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
40%
4
20%
2
Total Goals
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Total Corners
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
80%
8
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
xG
1.31
2.04
xGa
0.82
1.19
Number of goals
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
1
30%
3
80%
8
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
70%
7
20%
2
Total Goals
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
0-1
70%
7
30%
3
2-3
30%
3
60%
6
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Nottingham Forest Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.67%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 24.38% | Low | 3.42 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.62% | High | 1.36 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 61.95% | Medium | 1.57 |
| Under 1.5 | 38.05% | Low | 2.50 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 7.04% | Low | 10.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.96% | High | 1.07 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 34.95% | Low | 2.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 65.05% | Medium | 1.47 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Played:
6
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
4
4
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
2
0.3
Goals
2.3
14
14
2.3
Goals Conceded
0.3
2
16
2.7
Yellow Cards
1.2
7
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.7
4
16
2.7
Corners
6.8
41
64
10.7
Fouls
6.7
40
12
2
Offsides
0.8
5
57
9.5
Shots
14.8
89
14
2.3
Shots on Goal
5.7
34
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 11 | 0.7 | 6 | 1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 13 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 2.1 | 19 | 1.8 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 48 | 4.2 | 38 | 5.1 | 86 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 91 | 10.7 | 96 | 11 | 187 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 12 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 118 | 9.6 | 86 | 12 | 204 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 34 | 3.7 | 33 | 3.9 | 67 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 8 | 4 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.8 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 2.4 | 41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 6 | 1.3 | 10 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Corners | 7 | 63 | 3.6 | 29 | 5.4 | 92 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 91 | 9 | 72 | 9.6 | 163 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 140 | 11.6 | 93 | 13.7 | 233 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.6 | 59 | 3.9 | 31 | 5.3 | 90 |
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