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Nieciecza
Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 5:15
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ACCA Safe Tip
High Safety
Total - Away
Jagiellonia Under 2.5 Goals
Odds:
1.28
80.1%
EV: +2.5%
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.10 vs 1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.79%
⭐
0:1
11.35%
⭐
0:2
8.27%
⭐
0:3
4.02%
0:4
1.46%
0:5
0.43%
1
1:0
8.47%
⭐
1:1
12.44%
🔥
1:2
9.14%
1:3
4.47%
1:4
1.64%
1:5
0.48%
2
2:0
4.6%
2:1
6.82%
2:2
5.05%
2:3
2.49%
2:4
0.92%
2:5
0.27%
3
3:0
1.67%
3:1
2.49%
3:2
1.86%
3:3
0.92%
3:4
0.34%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.45%
4:1
0.68%
4:2
0.51%
4:3
0.26%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.15%
5:2
0.11%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
7
8
2
20
11
9
29
3
8
4
3
27
18
9
28
4
7
5
5
23
19
4
26
16
5
3
9
14
32
-18
18
17
4
4
9
22
34
-12
16
18
3
5
7
16
19
-3
14
Last 6 Matches
Nieciecza
VS
Jagiellonia
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
-
Avg xG
-
1.10
xG [Total: 2.57]
1.47
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 9]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
13
Fouls [Total: 24]
12
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 matchup, Nieciecza will take on Jagiellonia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ekstraklasa. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nieciecza, and the visiting side, Jagiellonia. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Nieciecza or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 11:15
Location: Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 5:15 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia Football 7 Dec, 2025 5:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Jagiellonia have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Clinical Finishing
Jagiellonia convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Jagiellonia @ 2.12 ✅ 
Jagiellonia
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Jagiellonia concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Jagiellonia are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/865%Jagiellonia rank 3 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.13 goals/match vs league avg 2.93)
- Efficient ScoringRecent21/2584%Jagiellonia efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 21 of their last 25 Ekstraklasa matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent10/1377%Jagiellonia efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 10 of their last 13 Ekstraklasa (Away) matches
Nieciecza
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Nieciecza are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent7/888%Nieciecza have not won in 7 of their last 8 Ekstraklasa (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent13/1776%Nieciecza have not won in 13 of their last 17 Ekstraklasa matches
Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Jagiellonia to win looks justified.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.38 
Jagiellonia(1 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/865%Jagiellonia rank 3 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.13 goals/match vs league avg 2.93)
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Jagiellonia Win or Draw @ 1.39 ✅ 
Jagiellonia
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Jagiellonia concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Jagiellonia are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent11/1385%Jagiellonia are undefeated at half time in their last 11 13 matches
Nieciecza
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Nieciecza are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent7/888%Nieciecza have not won in 7 of their last 8 Ekstraklasa (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent13/1776%Nieciecza have not won in 13 of their last 17 Ekstraklasa matches
Jagiellonia confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Jagiellonia Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.89 ✅ 
Jagiellonia
- League Top ScorerLeague8/865%Jagiellonia rank 3 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.13 goals/match vs league avg 2.93)
- Scored 1+Recent21/2584%Jagiellonia scored 1+ goals in 21 of their last 25 Ekstraklasa matches
- Scored 1+Recent10/1377%Jagiellonia scored 1+ goals in 10 of their last 13 Ekstraklasa (Away) matches
Jagiellonia maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.22 ⚠️ 
Nieciecza(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-10% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/875%Nieciecza average 4.4 corners/match at home (-10% below league avg 4.9)
Jagiellonia(1 trends) — avg 4.1 (-15% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/880%Jagiellonia average 4.1 corners/match in away matches (-15% below league avg 4.9)
Combined average: 8.5 corners/match (Nieciecza 4.4 + Jagiellonia 4.1) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
🎯 Betting Analysis
Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Nieciecza is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Jagiellonia is stronger in the second half (16 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Jagiellonia is stronger in the second half (16 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nieciecza
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
17
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Jagiellonia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nieciecza - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.29
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.53
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.53
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.29
✈️ Jagiellonia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nieciecza - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Jagiellonia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Nieciecza often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Nieciecza scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Jagiellonia shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Jagiellonia winning the second half
- Overall Result: Jagiellonia has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Jagiellonia handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.191
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nieciecza):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Jagiellonia):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 5:15 Ekstraklasa
Nieciecza vs Jagiellonia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nieciecza and away matches for Jagiellonia
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nieciecza
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
0-1
0%
0
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Nieciecza
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
xG
0
0.89
xGa
0
0.98
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nieciecza
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
70%
7
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
12
80%
8
30%
3
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nieciecza
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Nieciecza Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 30.10% | Low | 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 | 69.90% | Medium | 1.60 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 43.21% | Low | 1.89 |
| Under 1.5 | 56.79% | Medium | 1.94 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 9.96% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.04% | High | 1.16 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 18.37% | Low | 3.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 81.63% | High | 1.28 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
Played:
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
4
Goals
0
0
Goals Conceded
4
4
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
1
Clean Sheets
0
8
8
Corners
3
3
10
10
Fouls
7
7
1
1
Offsides
4
4
18
18
Shots
13
13
6
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 9 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 17 | 1.9 | 17 | 2 | 34 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 10 | 2.7 | 24 | 2 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 35 | 4.6 | 41 | 4.5 | 76 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 91 | 12.8 | 115 | 12.1 | 206 |
| Offsides | 0.9 | 7 | 1.2 | 11 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Shots | 10.9 | 87 | 11.8 | 106 | 11.4 | 193 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.1 | 33 | 4.1 | 37 | 4.1 | 70 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.6 | 18 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.8 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 11 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.2 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 16 | 2.3 | 18 | 2.3 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 33 | 4.1 | 33 | 4.4 | 66 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 89 | 11.4 | 91 | 12 | 180 |
| Offsides | 2 | 14 | 2.5 | 20 | 2.3 | 34 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 108 | 12.6 | 101 | 13.9 | 209 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.4 | 38 | 4.5 | 36 | 4.9 | 74 |
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