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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Newcastle
Newcastle
12th place
Form
VS
20:00
24 Feb 2026
Qarabag
Qarabag
22nd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Newcastle or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Newcastle vs Qarabag: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 24 February, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)-
Newcastle to Win
Probability 74%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 71%
Double Chance-
Newcastle/Draw
Probability 88%
Asian Handicap-
Newcastle +2.5
Probability 99%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
20:00
Newcastle W 79%
:
Qarabag W 8%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Newcastle
d l l w w
18 Played
10 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (35 total)
xG
2.00 (35.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (247 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (40% acc)
Corners
6.8 (123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.3 (185 total)
Offsides
1.9 (34 total)
18 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (27 total)
xG
1.40 (26.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (232 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (35% acc)
Corners
5.8 (105 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
7.7 (138 total)
Offsides
0.9 (17 total)
36 Played
15 Wins
9 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (62 total)
xG
1.70 (61.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (479 total)
Shots on Target
5 (38% acc)
Corners
6.3 (228 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9 (323 total)
Offsides
1.4 (51 total)
Qarabag
l l w l l
8 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (18 total)
xG
0.80 (6.2 total)
Shots per Match
7.6 (61 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (38% acc)
Corners
3.1 (25 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
6.6 (53 total)
Offsides
1 (8 total)
7 Played
4 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (11 total)
xG
0.40 (2.8 total)
Shots per Match
6.4 (45 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (38% acc)
Corners
2 (14 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
3.7 (26 total)
Offsides
0.7 (5 total)
15 Played
8 Wins
1 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (29 total)
xG
0.60 (8.9 total)
Shots per Match
7.1 (106 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (38% acc)
Corners
2.6 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
5.3 (79 total)
Offsides
0.9 (13 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No Asian Handicap predictions available

No Team Total predictions available

In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Newcastle will take on Qarabag as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-24 at 2026-02-24 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Newcastle, and the visiting side, Qarabag. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Newcastle or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-24 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Newcastle vs Qarabag Tuesday, Feb 24th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-19 02:45:18
spinner

Trends for Newcastle vs Qarabag Football 24 Feb, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Newcastle keep clean sheets in 75% of home games — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Newcastle score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Newcastle vs Qarabag

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Qarabag is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Newcastle

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Qarabag

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Newcastle - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Qarabag - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Newcastle - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Qarabag - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
9
Late Conceded
10

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Qarabag is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Qarabag to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.042
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Newcastle):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Qarabag):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Newcastle
Qarabag

Newcastle vs Qarabag Head-to-head statistics for Tue 24 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Newcastle or draw
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Newcastle
VS
Qarabag
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
6 (6)
1 (1)
xG
5.40
0.50
Shots
22 (22)
8 (8)
Shots on Target
14 (14)
2 (2)
Corners
6 (6)
8 (8)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
6 (6)
xGa
0.50
5.40
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
10 (10)
10 (10)
18 Feb
- 17:45
Qarabag
Newcastle
0.46
xG
5.39
1
6
Prob 76%
Asian Handicap H+2
Odd 1.39
Last 6 Matches
Newcastle
VS
Qarabag
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
1.83 PPG 0.67
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 3.67
83% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
2.30 Avg xG 0.92
Newcastle
D L L W W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
18 Feb 2026 - 17:45
Qarabag
1 6
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
10 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Tottenham
1 2
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Newcastle
2 3
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
31 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Liverpool
4 1
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 1
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Newcastle
0 2
Aston Villa
Qarabag
L L W L L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
18 Feb 2026 - 17:45
Qarabag
1 6
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Liverpool
6 0
Qarabag
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Jan 2026 - 17:45
Qarabag
3 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 17:45
Qarabag
2 4
Ajax
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Napoli
2 0
Qarabag
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Qarabag
2 2
Chelsea

Newcastle vs Qarabag: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Newcastle and away matches for Qarabag

Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Qarabag
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Qarabag
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
1X2
Newcastle
Qarabag
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
30% 3
60% 6
Double Chance
Newcastle
Qarabag
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
70% 7
40% 4
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Newcastle
Qarabag
0-1
10% 1
0% 0
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
50% 5
80% 8
Total Corners
Newcastle
Under
Over
Qarabag
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Qarabag
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Newcastle
Qarabag
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT X
30% 3
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Newcastle
Qarabag
xG
2.25
0.99
xGa
1.55
2.55
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Qarabag
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Qarabag
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Newcastle
Qarabag
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Newcastle
Qarabag
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Newcastle
Qarabag
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
70% 7
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Qarabag
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Qarabag
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Qarabag
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2
Newcastle
Qarabag
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
10% 1
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Newcastle
Qarabag
12
40% 4
90% 9
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Newcastle
Qarabag
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Qarabag
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
3.07 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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