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4 Jan 2026-15:00
Newcastle
Newcastle
11th place
- : -
4 Jan 2026 9:00
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
8th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Newcastle
38%26%36%
NewcastleDrawCrystal Palace
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
51%49%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
59%41%
YesNo
Team Total - Newcastle
Under 2.5
84%16%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Crystal Palace
Under 2.5
83%17%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Newcastle/Draw
64%36%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Crystal Palace +2.5
95%5%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
9:00
Newcastle W 37%
:
Crystal Palace W 36%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.37 vs 1.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.81%
0:1
9.01%
0:2
5.96%
0:3
2.63%
0:4
0.87%
0:5
0.23%
1
1:0
8.67%
1:1
12.13%
🔥
1:2
8.46%
1:3
3.92%
1:4
1.36%
1:5
0.38%
2
2:0
5.52%
2:1
8.14%
2:2
5.98%
2:3
2.91%
2:4
1.06%
2:5
0.31%
3
3:0
2.34%
3:1
3.63%
3:2
2.8%
3:3
1.43%
3:4
0.54%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
0.74%
4:1
1.21%
4:2
0.98%
4:3
0.52%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.19%
5:1
0.32%
5:2
0.27%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.8%
0
17.7%
1
23.6%
2
21.6%
3
15.1%
4
8.7%
5
4.2%
6
1.6%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
17
7
5
5
31
28
3
26
8
Crystal Palace
l w w l l
>
17
7
5
5
21
19
2
26
9
Brighton
w l d l d
>
17
6
6
5
25
23
2
24
10
Everton
l w w l l
>
17
7
3
7
18
20
-2
24
11
Newcastle
w d w l d
>
17
6
5
6
23
22
1
23
12
Brentford
w l l d w
>
17
7
2
8
24
25
-1
23
1.07 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Newcastle
VS
Crystal Palace
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.83 PPG 1.50
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
83% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.71 Avg xG 1.82
Newcastle
D W D L D
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Newcastle
2 2
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Sunderland
1 0
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
2 2
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Newcastle
2 1
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Newcastle
2 2
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Everton
1 4
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
W W L D L
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Leeds
4 1
Crystal Palace
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Crystal Palace
2 2
KuPS
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Crystal Palace
0 3
Manchester City
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Shelbourne
0 3
Crystal Palace
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Fulham
1 2
Crystal Palace
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Burnley
0 1
Crystal Palace
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Newcastle will take on Crystal Palace as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous St. James' Park. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Newcastle, and the visiting side, Crystal Palace. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Newcastle or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-04 Time: 15:00 Location: St. James' Park Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Sunday, Jan 4th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Football 4 Jan, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 78% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Newcastle is stronger in the second half (16 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Newcastle is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Newcastle

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Crystal Palace

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Newcastle - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Crystal Palace - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Newcastle - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Crystal Palace - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Newcastle shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 12 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Newcastle winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Newcastle excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Newcastle scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.024
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.067
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Newcastle):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Crystal Palace):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Newcastle
Crystal Palace

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Premier League

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Newcastle and away matches for Crystal Palace

Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Yes
80% 8
50% 5
No
20% 2
50% 5
1X2
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
50% 5
20% 2
Total Corners
Newcastle
Under
Over
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
xG
1.55
1.68
xGa
1.18
1.17
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
40% 4
50% 5
Total Goals
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Yes
90% 9
70% 7
No
10% 1
30% 3
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
50% 5
50% 5
Double Chance
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Newcastle or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
5.3%
Low
N/A
6.0%
Low
N/A
-2
10.4%
Low
N/A
11.6%
Low
N/A
-1.5
15.5%
Low
N/A
17.1%
Low
N/A
-1
25.6%
Low
N/A
27.5%
Low
N/A
-0.5
35.6%
Low
N/A
38.0%
Low
N/A
+0.5
62.0%
Medium
N/A
64.4%
Medium
N/A
+1
72.5%
High
N/A
74.4%
High
N/A
+1.5
82.9%
High
N/A
84.5%
High
N/A
+2
88.4%
High
N/A
89.6%
High
N/A
+2.5
94.0%
High
N/A
94.7%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.539.78%LowN/A
Under 1.560.22%MediumN/A
AwayOver 1.541.51%LowN/A
Under 1.558.49%MediumN/A
HomeOver 2.515.93%LowN/A
Under 2.584.07%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.517.14%LowN/A
Under 2.582.86%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
16 Apr
- 18:30
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1.54
xG
2.00
5
0
30 Nov
- 15:00
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
1.76
xG
0.04
1
1
24 Apr
- 19:00
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
2
0
21 Oct
- 14:00
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
4
0
21 Jan
- 17:30
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
0
0
3 Sep
- 14:00
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
0
0
20 Apr
- 18:45
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
0
23 Oct
- 14:00
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
1
1
2 Feb
- 20:15
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
27 Nov
- 20:00
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
0
2
club logo
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Played: 10
Wins
4
Draws
4
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
15
1.5
Goals
0.6
6
6
0.6
Goals Conceded
1.5
15
22
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.7
27
0
Red Cards
0
6
0.6
Clean Sheets
0.3
3
71
7.1
Corners
5.1
51
113
11.3
Fouls
11.9
119
15
1.5
Offsides
1.7
17
125
12.5
Shots
13.2
132
47
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.9
39
Home Away All
Played 9 8 17
Wins 5 1 6
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 2 4 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.8 16 0.9 7 1.4 23
Goals Conceded 1.3 12 1.3 10 1.3 22
Yellow Cards 1.1 10 1.5 12 1.3 22
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.2 2 0.4 3 0.3 5
Corners 7.1 64 4.8 38 6 102
Fouls 11 99 8.6 69 9.9 168
Offsides 1.4 13 0.5 4 1 17
Shots 13.7 123 9.9 79 11.9 202
Shots on Goal 5.4 49 2.9 23 4.2 72
Home Away All
Played 8 9 17
Wins 2 5 7
Draws 4 1 5
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.1 9 1.3 12 1.2 21
Goals Conceded 1.3 10 1 9 1.1 19
Yellow Cards 1.5 12 2 18 1.8 30
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.4 4 0.4 7
Corners 3.6 29 3.7 33 3.6 62
Fouls 11.1 89 10.1 91 10.6 180
Offsides 2 16 1.9 17 1.9 33
Shots 12.9 103 10.1 91 11.4 194
Shots on Goal 4.3 34 3.9 35 4.1 69
🚨 Premier League: Crystal Palace enters top four following victory over Fulham |
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