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Newcastle vs Burnley: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 10:00
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Upgrade to PremiumNewcastle vs Burnley: Premier League Clash Preview
Match Stakes and Importance
This intriguing matchup features Newcastle United hosting Burnley in a crucial Premier League encounter. With Newcastle currently positioned 12th with 19 points and Burnley languishing at the bottom in 19th with just 10 points, both teams are keen to improve their standing. Newcastle will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Burnley desperately needs to end their losing streak to reignite their campaign.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams are navigating through challenging times, albeit in different contexts. Newcastle has shown flashes of attacking prowess but has struggled defensively, with an average of 2 goals scored and conceded per match. Recent results have been mixed, as evidenced by their last five games, where they’ve managed only two wins against two losses and a draw.
- Newcastle: While they have been strong at home with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five home games, they have also been vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match at St. James' Park.
- Burnley: The Clarets are in dire straits, having lost their last five matches without scoring a single goal. Their away form reflects a similar trend, with a poor record of conceding an average of 3 goals per match, showcasing their defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Newcastle has dominated this fixture, winning all of the last six encounters against Burnley. The trend of Newcastle's superiority is evident, with no draws in their last five matches and Burnley failing to secure a single win. Recent results include strong performances from Newcastle with scores like 1-4 and 2-0, underscoring their consistent ability to outclass Burnley.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
In terms of tactics, Newcastle is likely to adopt an attacking approach, looking to exploit Burnley’s defensive vulnerabilities. Key player Bruno Guimarães will be essential in the midfield, facilitating the attack and providing balance. His playmaking ability could significantly impact Burnley’s ability to contain Newcastle's offensive threats. Burnley, on the other hand, must tighten their defensive organization and rely on their goalkeeper M. Dúbravka to make crucial saves to avoid another heavy defeat.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Newcastle 3 - 1 Burnley
Reasoning: Given Newcastle's strong home form and Burnley's alarming inability to score, it’s reasonable to anticipate a comfortable victory for the home side, backed by their superior xG and overall form.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 1.32 (73.5%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.67 (60.1%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.36 vs 0.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.84%
0:1
3.4%
0:2
1.2%
0:3
0.28%
0:4
0.05%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
10.87%
1:1
8.19%
1:2
3.07%
1:3
0.77%
1:4
0.14%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
12.2%
🔥
2:1
9.82%
2:2
3.92%
⭐
2:3
1.03%
⭐
2:4
0.2%
⭐
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
9.13%
3:1
7.81%
3:2
3.3%
⭐
3:3
0.92%
⭐
3:4
0.19%
⭐
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
5.13%
4:1
4.64%
4:2
2.08%
⭐
4:3
0.61%
⭐
4:4
0.13%
⭐
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
2.3%
5:1
2.2%
5:2
1.04%
⭐
5:3
0.32%
⭐
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
2:0 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▲
5
4
5
23
18
5
19
12
▲
5
4
5
19
18
1
19
13
▼
6
1
7
21
22
-1
19
18
▼
3
3
8
16
28
-12
12
19
3
1
10
15
28
-13
10
20
0
2
12
7
29
-22
2
Last 6 Matches
Newcastle
VS
Burnley
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
1.67
PPG
0.50
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
2.17
83%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.52
Avg xG
0.75
Missing Players
-
Injured - Lower Back Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh problems
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Groin Injury
2.37
xG [Total: 3.15]
0.78
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 3]
2
8
Corners [Total: 11]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 23]
10
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
5
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Newcastle will take on Burnley as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous St. James' Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Newcastle, and the visiting side, Burnley. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Newcastle or draw and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 15:00
Location: St. James' Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Newcastle vs Burnley Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 10:00 Football
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Trends for Newcastle vs Burnley Football 6 Dec, 2025 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 86% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Newcastle create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Newcastle vs Burnley, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Newcastle @ 1.31 ✅ 
Newcastle
- WonH2H6/6100%Newcastle have won their last 6 6 matches vs Burnley
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches vs Burnley
- Efficient ScoringH2H5/683%Newcastle efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Burnley
- Above League AverageLeague7/771%Newcastle score 1.71 goals/match at home (+22% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Newcastle create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Home) matches
Burnley
- Not WinH2H6/6100%Burnley have not won their last 6 6 matches vs Newcastle
- LostH2H6/6100%Burnley have lost their last 6 6 matches vs Newcastle
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Newcastle dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.13 ⚠️ 
Newcastle(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Newcastle score (1.71/match) and concede (1.29/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 53%)
Burnley(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/786%Burnley score (1.43/match) and concede (3.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 86% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.42 ⚠️
Newcastle(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/771%Newcastle score 1.71 goals/match at home (+22% above league average)
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Newcastle Win or Draw @ 1.08 ✅ 
Newcastle
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches vs Burnley
Burnley
- Not WinH2H6/6100%Burnley have not won their last 6 6 matches vs Newcastle
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Newcastle to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Newcastle Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.39 ✅
Newcastle
- Scored 1+H2H6/6100%Newcastle scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches vs Burnley
- Above League AverageLeague7/771%Newcastle score 1.71 goals/match at home (+22% above league average)
Newcastle's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.91 ⚠️
Newcastle(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Newcastle average 1.1 cards/match in all matches (-39% below league avg 1.9) — rank #1 lowest in league
Burnley(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1489%Burnley average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-16% below league avg 1.9) — rank #4 lowest in league
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.91 • H2H average: 2.8 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.73 ✅ 
Newcastle(1 trends) — avg 7.0 (+45% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Newcastle average 7.0 corners/match at home (+45% above league avg 4.8)
Burnley(2 trends) — avg 3.6 (-26% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Burnley average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-26% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent23/3077%Burnley win 4 or fewer corners in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Combined average: 10.6 corners/match (Newcastle 7.0 + Burnley 3.6) • Newcastle dominance pushes total over threshold
+45 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Newcastle vs Burnley
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Burnley is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Newcastle
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Burnley
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Newcastle - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Burnley - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Newcastle - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Burnley - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Burnley often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Burnley scoring first
- Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.138
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.052
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Newcastle):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Burnley):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Newcastle vs Burnley Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 10:00 Premier League
Newcastle vs Burnley: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Newcastle and away matches for Burnley
Number of goals
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Burnley
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Newcastle
Burnley
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
40%
4
70%
7
Double Chance
Double Chance
Newcastle
Burnley
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
60%
6
30%
3
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Newcastle
Burnley
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
40%
4
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Newcastle
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Burnley
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Newcastle
Burnley
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Newcastle
Burnley
xG
1.54
0.65
xGa
1.21
1.85
Number of goals
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Burnley
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Newcastle
Burnley
1
60%
6
10%
1
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Newcastle
Burnley
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
40%
4
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Newcastle
Burnley
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Burnley
Yes
80%
8
20%
2
No
20%
2
80%
8
Number of goals
Number of goals
Newcastle
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Newcastle
Burnley
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Newcastle
Burnley
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Newcastle
Burnley
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Newcastle
Burnley
0-1
20%
2
60%
6
2-3
70%
7
20%
2
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Newcastle
Burnley
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.83%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 68.24% | Medium | 1.39 |
| Under 1.5 | 31.76% | Low | 3.10 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 19.72% | Low | 5.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 80.28% | High | 1.16 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 41.94% | Low | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 58.06% | Medium | 1.70 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 4.98% | Low | 19.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 95.02% | High | 1.03 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Newcastle
Burnley
Played:
6
Wins
6
6
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
14
2.3
Goals
0.7
4
4
0.7
Goals Conceded
2.3
14
6
1
Yellow Cards
1.8
11
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
34
5.7
Corners
5.8
35
60
10
Fouls
11.3
68
7
1.2
Offsides
2.3
14
90
15
Shots
13
78
39
6.5
Shots on Goal
3.3
20
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 9 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.3 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.9 | 6 | 1.1 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 7 | 49 | 4.6 | 32 | 5.8 | 81 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 78 | 8.4 | 59 | 9.8 | 137 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 8 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.9 | 12 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 96 | 10.4 | 73 | 12.1 | 169 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 37 | 3 | 21 | 4.1 | 58 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 6 | 10 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.7 | 5 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.1 | 8 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 2.1 | 15 | 3.6 | 25 | 2.9 | 40 |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 64 | 9.4 | 66 | 9.3 | 130 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 4 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Shots | 6.1 | 43 | 9.3 | 65 | 7.7 | 108 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.1 | 15 | 3.7 | 26 | 2.9 | 41 |
Transfer Roundup: Liverpool Eyes Bundesliga Star, Man Utd Secures Key Signing, Tottenham Pursues £40m ‘Leader’
Report: Newcastle Interested in Bundesliga Star Playmaker
Newcastle United Targeting Promising Bundesliga Midfielder, According to Report
Premier League Saturday Insights: How Many Chances Do the Black Cats Have?
FIFA Sets Release Deadline for Premier League Players Going to AFCON on
The Sack Race: Predictions Ahead of the Festive Football Rush
Newcastle United Player Agrees to Depart: Report
Newcastle United Targets Two Stars from Bundesliga
Championship Match: Burnley 0 - Stoke City 0 Full-Time Result
Full-Time Score: Manchester United 0 - 2 Newcastle United in Premier League Clash