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NEC Nijmegen
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NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 9 January, 2026 14:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.61 vs 1.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.89%
0:1
2.67%
0:2
1.88%
0:3
0.89%
0:4
0.31%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
4.6%
1:1
6.83%
1:2
5.06%
1:3
2.5%
1:4
0.92%
1:5
0.27%
2
2:0
5.59%
2:1
8.73%
🔥
2:2
6.78%
2:3
3.5%
2:4
1.35%
⭐
2:5
0.41%
⭐
3
3:0
4.53%
3:1
7.41%
⭐
3:2
6.03%
⭐
3:3
3.25%
⭐
3:4
1.3%
⭐
3:5
0.42%
⭐
4
4:0
2.76%
⭐
4:1
4.71%
⭐
4:2
4%
⭐
4:3
2.25%
⭐
4:4
0.94%
⭐
4:5
0.31%
⭐
5
5:0
1.34%
⭐
5:1
2.39%
⭐
5:2
2.12%
⭐
5:3
1.24%
⭐
5:4
0.54%
⭐
5:5
0.19%
Hotspot:
2:1 (8.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
2.80
xG
1.12
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
NEC Nijmegen
VS
Utrecht
4/6 (67%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.33
PPG
1.17
2.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
83%
BTTS %
100%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.98
Avg xG
0.76
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, NEC Nijmegen will take on Utrecht as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-09 at 2026-01-09 in the famous Goffertstadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, NEC Nijmegen, and the visiting side, Utrecht. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : NEC Nijmegen or draw and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-09
Time: 19:00
Location: Goffertstadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht Friday, Jan 9th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht Football 9 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
NEC Nijmegen score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
NEC Nijmegen create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — NEC Nijmegen @ 2.15 ✅ 
NEC Nijmegen
- High xG PerformanceH2H4/4100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%NEC Nijmegen score 2.88 goals/match at home (+77% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.88 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/1788%NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.50 ⚠️ 
Utrecht(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/875%Utrecht score (1.25/match) and concede (1.75/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 62%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.63 ✅
NEC Nijmegen(4 trends)
- High ScoringH2H3/475%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%NEC Nijmegen score 2.88 goals/match at home (+77% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.88 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Teams average combined 2.9 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — NEC Nijmegen Win or Draw @ 1.35 ⚠️ 
⚡ Team Total Goals — NEC Nijmegen Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.82 ✅ 
NEC Nijmegen
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%NEC Nijmegen score 2.88 goals/match at home (+77% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring at home (2.88 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- Scored 1+Recent3/475%NEC Nijmegen scored 1+ goals in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/475%NEC Nijmegen score in second half in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+34% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
Utrecht(2 trends) — avg 1.3 (-21% below league)
- Few CardsH2H3/475%Utrecht receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Utrecht average 1.3 cards/match in all matches (-28% below league avg 1.8) — rank #2 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 2.5 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
Utrecht disciplined play balances NEC Nijmegen aggression —
+19 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Utrecht
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Utrecht - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Utrecht - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: NEC Nijmegen often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of NEC Nijmegen scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider NEC Nijmegen to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.091
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Utrecht):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht Head-to-head statistics for Fri 9 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for NEC Nijmegen and away matches for Utrecht
Number of goals
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Yes
80%
8
90%
9
No
20%
2
10%
1
1X2
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0-1
10%
1
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
80%
8
4+
70%
7
10%
1
Total Corners
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
40%
4
xG(xGa)
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
xG
1.62
0.85
xGa
1.55
1.17
Number of goals
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0-1
40%
4
90%
9
2-3
60%
6
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Yes
30%
3
80%
8
No
70%
7
20%
2
Number of goals
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
Utrecht
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
1X2
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1
40%
4
0%
0
X
50%
5
70%
7
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
12
50%
5
30%
3
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
60%
6
100%
10
Total Goals
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
80%
8
4+
30%
3
0%
0
Clean Sheet
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
Team comparison
Prediction
NEC Nijmegen or Draw
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.92%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 73.04% | High | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 | 26.96% | Low | 2.03 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 46.24% | Low | 2.44 |
| Under 1.5 | 53.76% | Medium | 1.62 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 47.87% | Low | 3.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.13% | Medium | 1.31 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 20.66% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 79.34% | High | 1.17 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Played:
4
Wins
2
2
Draws
0
0
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
1.3
Goals
0.8
3
3
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.3
5
6
1.5
Yellow Cards
1
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.5
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
19
4.8
Corners
4.3
17
44
11
Fouls
10.3
41
6
1.5
Offsides
1
4
56
14
Shots
14.3
57
19
4.8
Shots on Goal
4.8
19
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.9 | 23 | 2.2 | 20 | 2.5 | 43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 14 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 5.4 | 43 | 5.3 | 48 | 5.4 | 91 |
| Fouls | 10 | 80 | 13.1 | 118 | 11.6 | 198 |
| Offsides | 2 | 16 | 2.2 | 20 | 2.1 | 36 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 123 | 16.3 | 147 | 15.9 | 270 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.6 | 53 | 7.1 | 64 | 6.9 | 117 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 18 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 1.4 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 1 | 9 | 1.6 | 13 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 4.8 | 38 | 4.8 | 82 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 98 | 10.6 | 85 | 10.8 | 183 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 138 | 13.1 | 105 | 14.3 | 243 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.1 | 46 | 4.6 | 37 | 4.9 | 83 |
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