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Napoli vs Sassuolo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 11:00
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12
Played
8
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(20 total)
xG
1.40
(16.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.3
(160 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(35% acc)
Corners
6
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
1.4
(17 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
1
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(16 total)
xG
1.40
(19.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(160 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(33% acc)
Corners
5.1
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
11.5
(161 total)
Offsides
0.8
(11 total)
26
Played
14
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(36 total)
xG
1.40
(35.4 total)
Shots per Match
12.3
(320 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(34% acc)
Corners
5.5
(144 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
12
(311 total)
Offsides
1.1
(28 total)
10
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(11 total)
xG
0.90
(8.5 total)
Shots per Match
11
(110 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(30% acc)
Corners
3.6
(36 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
11.7
(117 total)
Offsides
1.5
(15 total)
10
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(12 total)
xG
1.10
(10.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.9
(89 total)
Shots on Target
4
(45% acc)
Corners
3
(30 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13
(130 total)
Offsides
2
(20 total)
20
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(23 total)
xG
1.00
(19.1 total)
Shots per Match
10
(199 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(37% acc)
Corners
3.3
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(247 total)
Offsides
1.8
(35 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.41 vs 0.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.1%
0:1
3.37%
0:2
1.38%
0:3
0.38%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
9.48%
1:1
8.19%
1:2
3.53%
1:3
1.01%
⭐
1:4
0.22%
⭐
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
10.95%
🔥
2:1
9.93%
2:2
4.48%
⭐
2:3
1.34%
⭐
2:4
0.3%
⭐
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
8.44%
3:1
8.01%
⭐
3:2
3.78%
⭐
3:3
1.18%
⭐
3:4
0.28%
⭐
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
4.87%
4:1
4.84%
⭐
4:2
2.38%
⭐
4:3
0.78%
⭐
4:4
0.19%
⭐
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
2.25%
⭐
5:1
2.33%
⭐
5:2
1.2%
⭐
5:3
0.41%
⭐
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
2:0 (11.0%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Napoli will take on Sassuolo as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Napoli, and the visiting side, Sassuolo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Napoli or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 17:00
Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Napoli vs Sassuolo Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 11:00 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Napoli vs Sassuolo Football 17 Jan, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Napoli have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Sassuolo score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Napoli vs Sassuolo, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Napoli @ 1.49 ✅ 
Napoli
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Napoli are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H7/7100%Napoli efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 7 Serie A matches
- WonH2H6/786%Napoli have won their last 6 7 matches
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Napoli score 2.00 goals/match at home (+71% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Napoli concede only 0.86 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Napoli are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Sassuolo
- Not WinH2H6/786%Sassuolo have not won their last 6 7 matches
- LostH2H6/786%Sassuolo have lost their last 6 7 matches
Napoli dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.26 ⚠️ 
Napoli(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Napoli score (2.00/match) and concede (0.86/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 47%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.89 ⚠️ 
Napoli(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Napoli score 2.00 goals/match at home (+71% above league average)
Combined 2.0 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Napoli Win or Draw @ 1.10 ✅ 
Napoli
- UnbeatenH2H7/7100%Napoli are unbeaten in their last 7 7 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/7100%Napoli are undefeated at half time in their last 7 7 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague7/770%Napoli concede only 0.86 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Napoli are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Sassuolo
- Not WinH2H6/786%Sassuolo have not won their last 6 7 matches
Napoli dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Napoli Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.69 ✅ 
Napoli
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Napoli score 2.00 goals/match at home (+71% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent7/7100%Napoli scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- Scored 2+Recent7/7100%Napoli scored 2+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent6/786%Napoli score in first half in their last 6 7 matches
Napoli maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.60 ✅ 
Napoli(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-32% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Napoli average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-28% below league avg 2.0) — rank #2 lowest in league
Sassuolo(3 trends) — avg 2.3 (+4% above league)
- Many CardsH2H6/786%Sassuolo receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Serie A matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Sassuolo average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Sassuolo receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Sassuolo aggressive (H2H) drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.60
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.80 ✅ 
Napoli(1 trends) — avg 6.0 (+37% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Napoli average 6.0 corners/match at home (+37% above league avg 4.4)
Sassuolo(2 trends) — avg 3.1 (-29% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Sassuolo average 3.1 corners/match in away matches (-29% below league avg 4.4)
- Few CornersRecent12/1675%Sassuolo win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 16 Serie A matches
Combined average: 9.1 corners/match (Napoli 6.0 + Sassuolo 3.1) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+16 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Napoli vs Sassuolo
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Sassuolo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Napoli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Sassuolo
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Napoli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Sassuolo - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Napoli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Sassuolo - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Sassuolo often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Sassuolo scoring first
- Overall Result: Napoli has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Napoli handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.087
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Napoli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sassuolo):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Napoli vs Sassuolo Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 11:00 Serie A
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
11
7
1
30
15
15
40
3
▲
12
4
4
30
17
13
40
4
▼
11
6
3
32
16
16
39
10
7
5
8
22
32
-10
26
11
6
5
9
23
27
-4
23
12
6
5
9
21
32
-11
23
Team comparison
Prediction
Napoli Over 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Napoli
VS
Sassuolo
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
6
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
3.4 (24)
0.6 (4)
xG
1.10
0.20
Shots
17.9 (125)
8.7 (61)
Shots on Target
5.7 (40)
3.4 (24)
Corners
6.6 (46)
3.4 (24)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 (4)
3.4 (24)
xGa
0.20
1.10
Clean Sheets
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.7 (5)
2 (14)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.4 (3)
Fouls
10.6 (74)
9.6 (67)
Offsides
2.7 (19)
0.7 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Napoli
VS
Sassuolo
2/6 (33%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.50
PPG
0.50
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.37
Avg xG
0.79
Napoli vs Sassuolo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Napoli and away matches for Sassuolo
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
Sassuolo
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Napoli
Sassuolo
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Napoli
Sassuolo
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Napoli
Sassuolo
0-1
30%
3
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Napoli
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Sassuolo
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Napoli
Sassuolo
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Napoli
Sassuolo
xG
1.49
0.95
xGa
0.88
1.38
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
Sassuolo
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
Napoli
Sassuolo
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
40%
4
60%
6
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Napoli
Sassuolo
12
60%
6
40%
4
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Napoli
Sassuolo
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Sassuolo
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
Sassuolo
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Napoli
Sassuolo
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Napoli
Sassuolo
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Napoli
Sassuolo
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Sassuolo
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
2.21
xG
0.94
63%
Ball Possession
37%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
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