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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 14
7 Dec 2025-19:45
Napoli
Napoli
2nd place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 13:45
Juventus
Juventus
7th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Napoli vs Juventus: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 13:45

1×2 Prediction
Napoli
54%25%21%
NapoliDrawJuventus
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
51%49%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
52%48%
YesNo
Team Total - Napoli
Over 1.5
51%49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Team Total - Juventus
Under 1.5
73%27%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Napoli/Draw
79%21%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Juventus +1.5
66%34%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip Value
Double Chance Napoli or Draw
Odds: 1.35
78.8%
EV: +6.3%
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Napoli vs Juventus: Serie A Showdown Preview

Crucial Clash in the Title Race

This match between Napoli and Juventus is a critical encounter in Serie A, with the home team currently sitting second in the league and looking to close the gap on the leaders. Meanwhile, Juventus, in seventh place, seeks to climb into the European spots, making this fixture vital for both clubs' aspirations this season.

Current Form & Trends

Recent performances reveal contrasting fortunes for both teams, shaping the narrative heading into this match.

  • Napoli: The Partenopei have been strong at home, boasting a solid record of four wins and a draw in their last five home matches. Their defense has been particularly impressive, conceding just one goal while averaging 2.2 goals scored per game at home.
  • Juventus: The Bianconeri have shown resilience with an unbeaten streak in their last five matches, but their away form has been less convincing, with only one win in five attempts. They struggle to find the back of the net on the road, averaging just 0.8 goals scored per away match.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Napoli has had the upper hand in this rivalry, winning five out of the last eight encounters, with Juventus managing just one victory. The last five results further emphasize Napoli's dominance, highlighted by a mix of narrow wins and a recent goalless draw.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Stylistically, Napoli tends to control possession and create high-quality chances, making use of their attacking players to exploit defensive vulnerabilities. Key players like A. Rrahmani and F. Anguissa will be pivotal in maintaining defensive solidity while supporting the attack. For Juventus, M. Locatelli and K. Yıldız are essential in orchestrating play and potentially exploiting any lapses in Napoli’s defense. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams look to assert dominance early on.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus
Reasoning: Based on Napoli's strong home form and Juventus's struggles away from home, coupled with their recent goal-scoring woes, the prediction leans towards a narrow victory for the hosts.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 2.45 (54.1%).
  • Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 2.13 (52%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.85 vs 1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.73%
0:1
5.87%
0:2
3%
0:3
1.02%
0:4
0.26%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
10.52%
1:1
10.84%
🔥
1:2
5.58%
1:3
1.92%
1:4
0.49%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.66%
2:1
10.02%
2:2
5.19%
2:3
1.8%
2:4
0.47%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
5.91%
3:1
6.17%
3:2
3.22%
3:3
1.12%
3:4
0.29%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
2.71%
4:1
2.85%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.52%
4:4
0.14%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
1%
5:1
1.05%
5:2
0.56%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.7%
0
16.4%
1
23.5%
2
22.5%
3
16.3%
4
9.4%
5
4.2%
6
1.5%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Napoli
vs
Juventus
Dec 7, 19:45
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
AC Milan
d w d w w
>
13
8
4
1
19
9
10
28
2
Napoli
w d l w w
>
13
9
1
3
20
11
9
28
3
Inter
w w w l w
>
13
9
0
4
28
13
15
27

6
Bologna
d w w w l
>
13
7
3
3
22
11
11
24
7
Juventus
w w d d w
>
13
6
5
2
17
12
5
23
8
Lazio
d w l w l
>
13
5
3
5
15
10
5
18
Last 6 Matches
Napoli
VS
Juventus
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
2.17 PPG 1.83
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
17% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.38 Avg xG 1.83
Napoli
D L W W W
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 19:45
AS Roma
0 1
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Napoli
2 0
Qarabag
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Napoli
3 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Bologna
2 0
Napoli
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Napoli
0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Napoli
0 0
Como
Juventus
D D D W W
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Juventus
2 1
Cagliari
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Bodo/Glimt
2 3
Juventus
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Fiorentina
1 1
Juventus
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Juventus
0 0
Torino
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Juventus
1 1
Sporting CP
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Cremonese
1 2
Juventus
Missing Players
Napoli
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Groin Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
90
f
- Injured - Thigh Injury
1
g
- Injured - Foot Injury
Juventus
3
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
14
f
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
24
d
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
4
d
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
57% Draw 20%
51% Over 2.5 49%
52% Both Teams Score 48%
2.03 xPTS 0.97
1.89 xG [Total: 2.90] 1.01
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 3
6 Corners [Total: 10] 4
2 Offsides [Total: 4] 2
13 Fouls [Total: 27] 14
6 Shots on Goal [Total: 10] 4
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Napoli will take on Juventus as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Napoli, and the visiting side, Juventus. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Napoli or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 19:45 Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Napoli vs Juventus Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 13:45 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.37
78.8%
EV: +7.9% Kelly: $10.68
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Value
Double Chance 12
Odds: 1.43
75.3%
EV: +7.7% Kelly: $8.91
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Value
Win to Nil Juventus NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.18
90.5%
EV: +6.7% Kelly: $18.73
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 15:11:14
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Trends for Napoli vs Juventus Football 7 Dec, 2025 13:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Napoli have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Napoli vs Juventus

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Juventus is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1).
⚡ Final Stage: Juventus is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Napoli

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Juventus

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.19

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Napoli - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Juventus - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Napoli - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Juventus - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
14
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Juventus often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Juventus scoring first
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Juventus excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Juventus scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.069
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.123
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Napoli):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Juventus):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Napoli
Juventus

Napoli vs Juventus Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 13:45 Serie A

Napoli vs Juventus: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Napoli and away matches for Juventus

Number of goals

Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Juventus
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Napoli
Juventus
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Napoli
Juventus
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
30% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Napoli
Juventus
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
50% 5
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Napoli
Juventus
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
30% 3
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Napoli
Under
Over
Juventus
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Napoli
Juventus
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Napoli
Juventus
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Napoli
Juventus
xG
1.34
1.68
xGa
1.19
0.98

Number of goals

Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Juventus
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Napoli
Juventus
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Napoli
Juventus
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Napoli
Juventus
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Napoli
Juventus
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Napoli
Juventus
Yes
80% 8
40% 4
No
20% 2
60% 6

Number of goals

Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Juventus
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Napoli
Juventus
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Napoli
Juventus
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Napoli
Juventus
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
70% 7
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Napoli
Juventus
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Napoli
Juventus
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Napoli or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
15.0%
Low
13.00
2.1%
Low
17.00
-2
23.7%
Low
9.20
4.8%
Low
17.00
-1.5
32.4%
Low
5.25
7.5%
Low
6.85
-1
44.4%
Low
4.25
14.2%
Low
6.25
-0.5
56.4%
Medium
2.49
20.9%
Low
3.35
+0.5
79.1%
High
1.37
43.6%
Low
1.60
+1
85.8%
High
1.12
55.6%
Medium
1.25
+1.5
92.5%
High
1.10
67.6%
Medium
1.16
+2
95.2%
High
1.01
76.3%
High
1.00
+2.5
97.9%
High
1.01
85.0%
High
1.02
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.87%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.555.13%Medium2.80
Under 1.544.87%Low1.46
AwayOver 1.527.75%Low3.50
Under 1.572.25%High1.32
HomeOver 2.528.23%Low7.70
Under 2.571.77%High1.11
AwayOver 2.58.71%Low11.00
Under 2.591.29%High1.06
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
25 Jan
- 17:00
Napoli
Juventus
2.37
xG
0.78
2
1
21 Sep
- 16:00
Juventus
Napoli
0.31
xG
0.31
0
0
3 Mar
- 19:45
Napoli
Juventus
2
1
8 Dec
- 19:45
Juventus
Napoli
1
0
23 Apr
- 18:45
Juventus
Napoli
0
1
13 Jan
- 19:45
Napoli
Juventus
5
1
6 Jan
- 19:45
Juventus
Napoli
1
1
11 Sep
- 16:00
Napoli
Juventus
2
1
club logo
Napoli
Juventus
Played: 8
Wins
5
Draws
2
Wins
1
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
13
1.6
Goals
0.8
6
6
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.6
13
11
1.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
17
0
Red Cards
0
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
44
5.5
Corners
2.8
22
86
10.8
Fouls
12.5
100
9
1.1
Offsides
1.1
9
121
15.1
Shots
11.4
91
38
4.8
Shots on Goal
3
24
Home Away All
Played 6 7 13
Wins 5 4 9
Draws 1 0 1
Losses 0 3 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 12 1.1 8 1.5 20
Goals Conceded 0.8 5 0.9 6 0.8 11
Yellow Cards 1.7 10 1.4 10 1.5 20
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.4 3 0.4 5
Corners 5.5 33 5.1 36 5.3 69
Fouls 13.8 83 12.4 87 13.1 170
Offsides 1.7 10 0.6 4 1.1 14
Shots 13.2 79 13.1 92 13.2 171
Shots on Goal 5.5 33 4.9 34 5.2 67
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 12 0.8 5 1.3 17
Goals Conceded 0.9 6 1 6 0.9 12
Yellow Cards 1.1 8 2.3 14 1.7 22
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.2 1 0.3 4
Corners 6.3 44 3.2 19 4.8 63
Fouls 11.6 81 14.7 88 13 169
Offsides 0.9 6 1.5 9 1.2 15
Shots 18.7 131 13.3 80 16.2 211
Shots on Goal 6.9 48 3.8 23 5.5 71
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