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Napoli vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 January, 2026 14:00
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13
Played
9
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(21 total)
xG
1.30
(16.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(171 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(35% acc)
Corners
5.9
(77 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.3
(160 total)
Offsides
1.3
(17 total)
16
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(17 total)
xG
1.30
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.8
(188 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(31% acc)
Corners
5.3
(85 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
11.7
(187 total)
Offsides
0.9
(14 total)
29
Played
15
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(38 total)
xG
1.30
(38.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(359 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(33% acc)
Corners
5.6
(162 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
12
(347 total)
Offsides
1.1
(31 total)
15
Played
9
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(27 total)
xG
1.80
(27.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(222 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(34% acc)
Corners
6.9
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(53%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
11.2
(168 total)
Offsides
1.5
(22 total)
15
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(26 total)
xG
1.40
(20.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(179 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(39% acc)
Corners
4.5
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.5
(173 total)
Offsides
1.7
(26 total)
30
Played
14
Wins
8
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(53 total)
xG
1.60
(47.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(401 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(36% acc)
Corners
5.7
(172 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(7 total)
Fouls
11.4
(341 total)
Offsides
1.6
(48 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.34 vs 1.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.31%
⭐
0:1
9.37%
0:2
6.01%
0:3
2.57%
0:4
0.82%
0:5
0.21%
1
1:0
8.79%
⭐
1:1
12.27%
🔥
1:2
8.51%
1:3
3.91%
1:4
1.34%
1:5
0.37%
2
2:0
5.28%
⭐
2:1
7.98%
2:2
5.96%
2:3
2.94%
2:4
1.08%
2:5
0.31%
3
3:0
2.12%
⭐
3:1
3.44%
3:2
2.76%
3:3
1.45%
3:4
0.57%
3:5
0.18%
4
4:0
0.64%
⭐
4:1
1.11%
⭐
4:2
0.95%
⭐
4:3
0.53%
⭐
4:4
0.22%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.15%
5:1
0.28%
5:2
0.26%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Napoli will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-28 at 2026-01-28 in the famous Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
The referee for the game will be C. Turpin. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Napoli, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Chelsea.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-28
Time: 20:00
Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Napoli vs Chelsea Wednesday, Jan 28th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Napoli vs Chelsea Football 28 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Napoli have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Napoli vs Chelsea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Napoli @ 3.46 ⚠️ 
Napoli
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Napoli concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Napoli demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.68 ⚠️ 
Napoli(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague2/367%Napoli score well (1.33/match) but have strong defense at home (0.33 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
Chelsea(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague3/3100%Chelsea score (1.33/match) and concede (2.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 49%)
🛡️ Double Chance — Napoli Win or Draw @ 1.78 ⚠️
Napoli
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Napoli concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Napoli demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals
Napoli(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Napoli concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent6/6100%Chelsea scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent6/6100%Chelsea score in first half in their last 6 6 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.54 ✅ 
Napoli(2 trends) — avg 1.7 (-21% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague6/681.5%Napoli average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-11% below league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent5/683%Napoli receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Chelsea(2 trends) — avg 1.8 (-16% below league)
- High Card MatchesLeague6/690%Chelsea average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+22% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent5/683%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Champions League matches
Chelsea aggressive drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.54
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.02 ⚠️
Napoli(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+22% above league)
- Many CornersLeague3/385%Napoli average 5.7 corners/match at home (+22% above league avg 4.7)
Napoli drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.02
+5 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Napoli vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Napoli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.28
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Napoli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Napoli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Napoli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Napoli vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Prediction
Napoli or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Napoli
VS
Chelsea
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.33
PPG
2.17
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.99
Avg xG
1.84
Napoli vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Napoli and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
1X2
Napoli
Chelsea
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Napoli
Chelsea
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Napoli
Chelsea
0-1
30%
3
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Napoli
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Napoli
Chelsea
xG
1.17
1.75
xGa
1.1
1.49
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Napoli
Chelsea
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Napoli
Chelsea
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Napoli
Chelsea
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Napoli
Chelsea
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Napoli
Chelsea
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Napoli
Chelsea
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Missing Players
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Concussion
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Suspended
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Thigh Injury
1.38
xG
1.44
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
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