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Napoli vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 January, 2026 15:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Last 6 Matches
Napoli
VS
Chelsea
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.40
PPG
2.00
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
17%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.38
Avg xG
1.61
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.35
xG [Total: 2.46]
1.11
1
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 11]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 26]
14
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
5
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Napoli will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-28 at 2026-01-28 in the famous Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Napoli, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-28
Time: 20:00
Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Napoli vs Chelsea Football 28 Jan, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Napoli have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Napoli vs Chelsea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Napoli(4 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Napoli concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent9/9100%Napoli create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 9 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent7/978%Napoli efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 7 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1776%Napoli efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 17 UEFA Champions League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Napoli(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague2/367%Napoli score well (1.33/match) but have strong defense at home (0.33 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Napoli(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Napoli concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTRecent16/2176%Chelsea are undefeated at half time in 16 of their last 21 UEFA Champions League matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Napoli(6 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%Napoli concede only 0.33 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent9/9100%Napoli rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 9 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- Scored 1+Recent8/989%Napoli scored 1+ goals in 8 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- Scored 1+Recent14/1782%Napoli scored 1+ goals in 14 of their last 17 UEFA Champions League matches
- Scored 2+Recent7/978%Napoli scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent7/978%Napoli score in first half in 7 of their last 9 UEFA Champions League (Home) matches
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent16/2176%Chelsea conceded under 1.5 goals in 16 of their last 21 UEFA Champions League matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Napoli(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague5/584.5%Napoli average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 2.1)
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent8/1080%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League (Away) matches
Napoli disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Napoli(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+22% above league)
- Many CornersLeague3/385%Napoli average 5.7 corners/match at home (+22% above league avg 4.6)
Moderate corner environment -
+11 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Napoli vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Chelsea is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1).
🔄 Second Half: Napoli is stronger in the second half (13 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Napoli is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Napoli is stronger in the second half (13 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Napoli is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Napoli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Napoli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Napoli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Chelsea often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Chelsea scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Napoli shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Napoli winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Napoli excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 2 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Napoli scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.338
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.011
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Napoli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Napoli vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Jan, 2026 @ 15:00 UEFA Champions League
Napoli vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Napoli and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Napoli
Chelsea
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Napoli
Chelsea
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Napoli
Chelsea
0-1
50%
5
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Napoli
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Napoli
Chelsea
xG
1.34
1.74
xGa
1.19
1.1
Number of goals
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Napoli
Chelsea
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Napoli
Chelsea
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Napoli
Chelsea
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Napoli
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Napoli
Chelsea
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Napoli
Chelsea
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Napoli
Chelsea
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Napoli
Chelsea
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Napoli
Chelsea
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1.8 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 7 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5.7 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 5.4 | 27 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 43 | 6.5 | 13 | 11.2 | 56 |
| Offsides | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 44 | 5.5 | 11 | 11 | 55 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 11 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.8 | 14 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3 | 9 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.4 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 1 | 2.5 | 5 | 1.2 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 8 | 2.5 | 5 | 2.6 | 13 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 | 2 | |
| Corners | 6 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 5.2 | 26 |
| Fouls | 15 | 45 | 12.5 | 25 | 14 | 70 |
| Offsides | 3.3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2.8 | 14 |
| Shots | 15 | 45 | 12 | 24 | 13.8 | 69 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 25 |
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