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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
Nantes
Nantes
16th place
Form
VS
16:15
18 Jan 2026
Paris FC
Paris FC
15th place
Form
AI Prediction Paris FC Under 1.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nantes vs Paris FC: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)2.28
Paris FC to Win
Probability 41%
Total Goals1.87
Under 2.5
Probability 59%
Both Teams to Score2.00
No (NG)
Probability 51%
Nantes Total1.08
Home Under 2.5
Probability 91%
Paris FC Total1.67
Away Under 1.5
Probability 63%
Double Chance1.35
Draw/Paris FC
Probability 69%
Asian Handicap1.22
Nantes +1.5
Probability 82%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away Paris FC Under 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.67
Win Prob. 63% EV: +5.3%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
16:15
Nantes W 31%
:
Paris FC W 41%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nantes
d l l l w
8 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (8 total)
xG
0.90 (6.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (78 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (29% acc)
Corners
2.9 (23 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.6 (85 total)
Offsides
0.4 (3 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (8 total)
xG
0.90 (8.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (84 total)
Shots on Target
3 (32% acc)
Corners
3.1 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.2 (110 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
17 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (16 total)
xG
0.90 (15.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (162 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (31% acc)
Corners
3 (51 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.5 (195 total)
Offsides
1.1 (18 total)
Paris FC
l d d l l
8 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.50 (11.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (115 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (27% acc)
Corners
6.1 (49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11 (88 total)
Offsides
2.9 (23 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
1.00 (9.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (86 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (34% acc)
Corners
3 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.6 (95 total)
Offsides
1.4 (13 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (22 total)
xG
1.20 (21.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (201 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (30% acc)
Corners
4.5 (76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.8 (183 total)
Offsides
2.1 (36 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.06 vs 1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.05%
0:1
12.47%
0:2
7.73%
0:3
3.2%
0:4
0.99%
0:5
0.25%
1
1:0
10.16%
1:1
13.1%
🔥
1:2
8.43%
1:3
3.61%
1:4
1.16%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
5.13%
2:1
6.87%
2:2
4.58%
2:3
2.04%
2:4
0.68%
2:5
0.18%
3
3:0
1.73%
3:1
2.4%
3:2
1.66%
3:3
0.76%
3:4
0.26%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.44%
4:1
0.63%
4:2
0.45%
4:3
0.21%
4:4
0.08%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.09%
5:1
0.13%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.1%
0
22.6%
1
26.0%
2
20.2%
3
12.0%
4
5.8%
5
2.3%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

NantesHDPParis FC
3.2%
Very Low@ 14.50
-2.5
6.3%
@ 8.50Very Low
7.2%
Very Low@ 16.50
-2
12.3%
@ 7.70Very Low
11.2%
Very Low@ 7.20
-1.5
18.3%
@ 4.15Very Low
20.6%
Low@ 6.35
-1
29.9%
@ 3.40Low
30.0%
Low@ 3.45
-0.5
41.5%
@ 2.18Medium
58.5%
Medium@ 1.72
+0.5
70.0%
@ 1.35High
70.1%
High@ 1.34
+1
79.4%
@ 1.12High
81.7%
Very High@ 1.22
+1.5
88.8%
@ 1.04Very High
87.7%
Very High@ 1.03
+2
92.8%
@ 1.01Very High
93.7%
Very High@ 1.05
+2.5
96.8%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

NantesOutcomeParis FC
65.4%
High@ 1.40
Over 0.5
72.5%
@ 1.26High
34.7%
Low@ 2.91
Under 0.5
27.5%
@ 4.00Low
28.6%
Low@ 3.02
Over 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.26Low
71.4%
High@ 1.38
Under 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.67High
9.2%
Very Low@ 8.00
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 5.20Very Low
90.8%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.19Very High
2.3%
Very Low@ 23.00
Over 3.5
4.2%
@ 13.00Very Low
97.7%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
95.8%
@ 1.05Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nantes will take on Paris FC as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nantes, and the visiting side, Paris FC. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Nantes or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-18 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nantes vs Paris FC Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 58.8%
EV: +10.0%
Stake: $2.87
1.87
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 63%
EV: +5.3%
Stake: $3.73
1.67
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-04 18:03:14
spinner

Trends for Nantes vs Paris FC Football 18 Jan, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

  • 🎯
    Clinical Finishing

    Paris FC convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing

🎯 Betting Analysis

Nantes vs Paris FC

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nantes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Paris FC

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
17
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nantes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Paris FC - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.12
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.41
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.71
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.53

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nantes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Paris FC - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.106
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.02
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.002

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nantes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris FC):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Nantes
Paris FC

Nantes vs Paris FC Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
14
Nice
l l l l d
>
17
5
3
9
20
30
-10
18
15
Paris FC
l d d l l
>
17
4
4
9
22
31
-9
16
16
Nantes
d l l l w
>
17
3
5
9
16
28
-12
14
17
Auxerre
d d w l l
>
17
3
3
11
14
27
-13
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Paris FC Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nantes
VS
Paris FC
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
1 (1)
xG
0.90
1.10
Shots
10 (10)
14 (14)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
3 (3)
Corners
2 (2)
8 (8)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
2 (2)
xGa
1.10
0.90
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
3 (3)
Fouls
13 (13)
9 (9)
Offsides
1 (1)
9 (9)
24 Oct
- 18:45
Paris FC
Nantes
1.12
xG
0.88
1
2
Prob 70%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.68
Last 6 Matches
Nantes
VS
Paris FC
1/6 (17%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
0.83 PPG 0.33
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
67% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.13 Avg xG 1.25
Nantes
D L L L W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Marseille
0 2
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Angers
4 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Nantes
1 2
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lyon
3 0
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Nantes
1 1
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 18:00
LE Havre
1 1
Nantes
Paris FC
L D D L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
2 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:05
Paris FC
0 3
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 16:15
LE Havre
0 0
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Paris FC
1 1
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lille
4 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Paris FC
0 1
Rennes

Nantes vs Paris FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nantes and away matches for Paris FC

Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Paris FC
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
1X2
Nantes
Paris FC
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
60% 6
60% 6
Double Chance
Nantes
Paris FC
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
40% 4
40% 4
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Nantes
Paris FC
0-1
0% 0
30% 3
2-3
80% 8
50% 5
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Nantes
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Paris FC
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Nantes
Paris FC
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
30% 3
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Nantes
Paris FC
xG
1.01
1.02
xGa
1.7
1.4
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Paris FC
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Nantes
Paris FC
1
30% 3
0% 0
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Nantes
Paris FC
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
70% 7
100% 10
Total Goals
Nantes
Paris FC
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Paris FC
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Paris FC
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Nantes
Paris FC
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
70% 7
40% 4
Double Chance
Nantes
Paris FC
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
30% 3
60% 6
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Nantes
Paris FC
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Paris FC
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1.08 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found