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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Nantes
Nantes
16th place
Form
VS
20:05
7 Feb 2026
Lyon
Lyon
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Lyon
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nantes vs Lyon: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 7 February, 2026 14:05

Winner (1x2)-
Lyon to Win
Probability 68%
Total Goals1.97
Over 2.5
Probability 53%
Both Teams to Score1.91
Yes
Probability 57%
Nantes Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 96%
Lyon Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 65%
Double Chance1.19
Draw/Lyon
Probability 91%
Asian Handicap-
Lyon +2.5
Probability 99%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away Lyon Over 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.8
Win Prob. 78.5% EV: +41.4%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
20:05
Nantes W 9%
:
Lyon W 77%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nantes
l l w l l
10 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (8.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (102 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (28% acc)
Corners
2.8 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.1 (111 total)
Offsides
0.6 (6 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (8 total)
xG
0.90 (8.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (84 total)
Shots on Target
3 (32% acc)
Corners
3.1 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.2 (110 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (18 total)
xG
0.90 (17.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (186 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (30% acc)
Corners
2.9 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.6 (221 total)
Offsides
1.1 (21 total)
Lyon
w w w w w
12 Played
10 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (22 total)
xG
1.80 (22.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.8 (177 total)
Shots on Target
5 (34% acc)
Corners
5.5 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (58%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.8 (154 total)
Offsides
1.6 (19 total)
14 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (24 total)
xG
1.40 (19.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (160 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (43% acc)
Corners
4.9 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
13.1 (183 total)
Offsides
1.6 (22 total)
26 Played
17 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (46 total)
xG
1.60 (41.7 total)
Shots per Match
13 (337 total)
Shots on Target
5 (38% acc)
Corners
5.2 (135 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
14 (54%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
13 (337 total)
Offsides
1.6 (41 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.90 vs 2.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.52%
0:1
7.21%
0:2
10.3%
🔥
0:3
9.81%
0:4
7%
0:5
4%
1
1:0
2.16%
1:1
6.29%
1:2
9.14%
1:3
8.85%
1:4
6.42%
1:5
3.73%
2
2:0
0.93%
2:1
2.74%
2:2
4.05%
2:3
3.99%
2:4
2.94%
2:5
1.74%
3
3:0
0.26%
3:1
0.8%
3:2
1.2%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.54%
4
4:0
0.06%
4:1
0.17%
4:2
0.26%
4:3
0.27%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.13%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.05%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 0:2 (10.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.5%
0
9.4%
1
17.5%
2
21.9%
3
20.8%
4
15.8%
5
8.2%
6
3.0%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

NantesHDPLyon
0.6%
Very Low
-2.5
37.6%
@ 5.75Low
1.5%
Very Low
-2
48.1%
@ 4.65Medium
2.5%
Very Low@ 11.00
-1.5
58.6%
@ 2.82Medium
5.4%
Very Low@ 9.90
-1
68.5%
@ 2.15High
8.4%
Very Low@ 4.50
-0.5
78.4%
@ 1.65High
21.6%
Low@ 2.30
+0.5
91.6%
@ 1.19Very High
31.5%
Low@ 1.75
+1
94.6%
@ 1.04Very High
41.4%
Medium@ 1.45
+1.5
97.5%
@ 1.03Very High
51.9%
Medium@ 1.18
+2
98.5%
Very High
62.4%
High@ 1.14
+2.5
99.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

NantesOutcomeLyon
59.3%
Medium@ 1.62
Over 0.5
94.5%
@ 1.17Very High
40.7%
Medium@ 2.43
Under 0.5
5.5%
@ 5.50Very Low
22.8%
Low@ 4.15
Over 1.5
78.5%
@ 1.80High
77.3%
High@ 1.26
Under 1.5
21.5%
@ 2.10Low
6.3%
Very Low@ 13.00
Over 2.5
55.4%
@ 3.50Medium
93.7%
Very High@ 1.05
Under 2.5
44.6%
@ 1.32Medium
1.4%
Very Low@ 34.00
Over 3.5
33.0%
@ 8.00Low
98.7%
Very High@ 1.01
Under 3.5
67.0%
@ 1.09High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nantes will take on Lyon as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-07 at 2026-02-07 in the famous Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nantes, and the visiting side, Lyon. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Lyon. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-07 Time: 20:05 Location: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nantes vs Lyon Saturday, Feb 7th, 2026 at 14:05 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

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Asian Handicap Lyon -1.5
High Value
Prob: 58.6%
EV: +65.2%
Stake: $1.37
2.82
Asian Handicap Lyon -1
High Value
Prob: 68.5%
EV: +47.2%
Stake: $2.17
2.15
Away Total Lyon Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 78.5%
EV: +41.4%
Stake: $3.13
1.80
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 71.5%
EV: +40.9%
Stake: $2.58
1.97
Match Winner Lyon
High Value
Prob: 77.2%
EV: +30.5%
Stake: $3.62
1.69
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 86.4%
EV: +10.6%
Stake: $8.93
1.28
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 56.6%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $2.75
1.91
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 90.8%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.19
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-27 02:28:19
spinner

Trends for Nantes vs Lyon Football 7 Feb, 2026 14:05

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

🎯 Betting Analysis

Nantes vs Lyon

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Lyon is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Lyon is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Nantes is stronger in the second half (14 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Nantes is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nantes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.36
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Lyon

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nantes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Lyon - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nantes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
1
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Lyon - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Lyon often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Lyon scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Lyon is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Lyon to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nantes shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Nantes winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nantes excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nantes scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Lyon has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lyon handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.273
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.001
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nantes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lyon):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Nantes
Lyon

Nantes vs Lyon Head-to-head statistics for Sat 7 Feb, 2026 @ 14:05 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Marseille
l w l w w
>
19
12
2
5
44
20
24
38
4
Lyon
l w w w w
>
19
11
3
5
32
20
12
36
5
Lille
w w l l l
>
19
10
2
7
34
29
5
32

15
LE Havre
d l w d d
>
19
4
8
7
16
24
-8
20
16
Nantes
l l w l l
>
19
3
5
11
18
34
-16
14
17
Auxerre
w l l l l
>
19
3
3
13
14
29
-15
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Lyon
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nantes
VS
Lyon
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
3 Draws
6 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (5)
1.7 (15)
xG
1.00
2.00
Shots
11.6 (104)
14 (126)
Shots on Target
4.4 (40)
6.2 (56)
Corners
5 (45)
5.4 (49)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (15)
0.6 (5)
xGa
2.00
1.00
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
5 (56%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (16)
1.2 (11)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.2 (2)
Fouls
9.6 (86)
12 (108)
Offsides
1.6 (14)
2 (18)
30 Nov
- 19:45
Lyon
Nantes
1.59
xG
0.86
3
0
Prob 66%
Asian Handicap A+1.5
Odd 1.69
26 Jan
- 16:15
Nantes
Lyon
1.26
xG
1.11
1
1
6 Oct
- 13:00
Lyon
Nantes
3.28
xG
0.88
2
0
7 Apr
- 18:45
Nantes
Lyon
1
3
20 Dec
- 20:00
Lyon
Nantes
1
0
17 Mar
- 20:00
Lyon
Nantes
1
1
11 Jan
- 18:00
Nantes
Lyon
0
0
14 May
- 19:00
Lyon
Nantes
3
2
27 Aug
- 19:00
Nantes
Lyon
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Nantes
VS
Lyon
1/6 (17%) Victories 6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
0.50 PPG 2.50
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
2.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
67% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.30 Avg xG 1.86
Nantes
L L W L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Nantes
1 4
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Nantes
1 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Marseille
0 2
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Angers
4 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Nantes
1 2
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lyon
3 0
Nantes
Lyon
W W W W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Metz
2 5
Lyon
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
22 Jan 2026 - 17:45
BSC Young Boys
0 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lyon
2 1
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Monaco
1 3
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Lyon
1 0
LE Havre
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Lyon
2 1
GO Ahead Eagles

Nantes vs Lyon: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nantes and away matches for Lyon

Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Both teams to score
Nantes
Lyon
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
Nantes
Lyon
1
10% 1
80% 8
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
70% 7
10% 1
Double Chance
Nantes
Lyon
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
30% 3
90% 9
X2
90% 9
20% 2
Total Goals
Nantes
Lyon
0-1
0% 0
40% 4
2-3
70% 7
30% 3
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Nantes
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Lyon
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Nantes
Lyon
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
40% 4
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Nantes
Lyon
xG
1.07
1.87
xGa
1.5
1.09
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Lyon
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Nantes
Lyon
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Nantes
Lyon
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Nantes
Lyon
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
10% 1
40% 4
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Lyon
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
Lyon
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Nantes
Lyon
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
10% 1
50% 5
2
70% 7
10% 1
Double Chance
Nantes
Lyon
12
90% 9
50% 5
1X
30% 3
90% 9
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Nantes
Lyon
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
Lyon
Yes
20% 2
80% 8
No
80% 8
20% 2
Missing Players
Nantes
Lyon
- Injured - Knee injury
0.67 xG 2.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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