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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Nantes
Nantes
17th place
Form
VS
16:15
22 Feb 2026
LE Havre
LE Havre
13th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or LE Havre
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nantes vs LE Havre: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)3.12
LE Havre to Win
Probability 42%
Total Goals1.78
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Both Teams to Score1.88
Yes
Probability 64%
Nantes Total1.53
Home Under 1.5
Probability 68%
LE Havre Total1.41
Away Under 1.5
Probability 58%
Double Chance1.60
Draw/LE Havre
Probability 72%
Asian Handicap1.29
LE Havre +1
Probability 81%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Draw or LE Havre
Odds 1.6
Win Prob. 72.3% EV: +15.6%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
16:15
Nantes W 28%
:
LE Havre W 42%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nantes
l l l l l
11 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (9.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (114 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (27% acc)
Corners
3 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.3 (124 total)
Offsides
0.8 (9 total)
11 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
1.00 (10.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.7 (107 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (29% acc)
Corners
3.2 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.3 (135 total)
Offsides
1.7 (19 total)
22 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (20 total)
xG
0.90 (20.0 total)
Shots per Match
10 (221 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (28% acc)
Corners
3.1 (68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11.8 (259 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)
LE Havre
d d l w w
12 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (15 total)
xG
1.30 (15.7 total)
Shots per Match
12 (144 total)
Shots on Target
4 (33% acc)
Corners
5.2 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.2 (158 total)
Offsides
1.3 (16 total)
10 Played
1 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (5 total)
xG
0.80 (7.9 total)
Shots per Match
8.8 (88 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (35% acc)
Corners
3.6 (36 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.6 (126 total)
Offsides
1.6 (16 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
8 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (20 total)
xG
1.10 (23.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.5 (232 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (34% acc)
Corners
4.5 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.9 (284 total)
Offsides
1.5 (32 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.20 vs 1.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.3%
0:1
10.76%
0:2
6.97%
0:3
3.01%
0:4
0.97%
0:5
0.25%
1
1:0
7.68%
1:1
12.23%
🔥
1:2
9.4%
1:3
4.7%
1:4
1.73%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
3.56%
2:1
6.72%
2:2
6.03%
2:3
3.46%
2:4
1.44%
2:5
0.47%
3
3:0
1.1%
3:1
2.4%
3:2
2.47%
3:3
1.62%
3:4
0.76%
3:5
0.28%
4
4:0
0.25%
4:1
0.63%
4:2
0.74%
4:3
0.54%
4:4
0.29%
4:5
0.12%
5
5:0
0.05%
5:1
0.13%
5:2
0.17%
5:3
0.14%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.3%
0
18.4%
1
22.8%
2
20.2%
3
14.4%
4
8.6%
5
4.4%
6
1.9%
7
0.7%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

NantesHDPLE Havre
2.8%
Very Low@ 11.50
-2.5
7.1%
@ 15.50Very Low
6.5%
Very Low@ 9.10
-2
13.5%
@ 14.50Very Low
10.2%
Very Low@ 5.00
-1.5
19.9%
@ 6.40Very Low
19.2%
Very Low@ 4.28
-1
31.8%
@ 5.68Low
28.1%
Low@ 2.51
-0.5
43.7%
@ 3.00Medium
56.3%
Medium@ 1.44
+0.5
71.9%
@ 1.58High
68.2%
High@ 1.17
+1
80.9%
@ 1.29Very High
80.1%
Very High@ 1.12
+1.5
89.8%
@ 1.18Very High
86.5%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
93.5%
@ 1.00Very High
93.0%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
97.2%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

NantesOutcomeLE Havre
31.9%
Low@ 2.61
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 2.99Medium
68.1%
High@ 1.55
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.43Medium
11.4%
Very Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 8.00Very Low
88.6%
Very High@ 1.13
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.10Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nantes will take on LE Havre as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The referee for the game will be J. Pignard. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nantes, and the visiting side, LE Havre. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Le Havre. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-22 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nantes vs LE Havre Sunday, Feb 22nd, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Premium Tip Yes
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 63.7%
EV: +19.8%
Stake: $2.84
1.88
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 72.3%
EV: +15.6%
Stake: $4.17
1.60
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 72.3%
EV: +14.2%
Stake: $4.31
1.58
Win To Nil Home No
Value
Prob: 87.4%
EV: +9.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.25
Win to Nil Nantes NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 86.8%
EV: +7.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.24
Asian Handicap LE Havre +1.5
Value
Prob: 89.8%
EV: +6.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Asian Handicap LE Havre +1
Value
Prob: 80.9%
EV: +4.3%
Stake: $8.62
1.29
Home Total Nantes Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 68.1%
EV: +4.2%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Total Home Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 68.1%
EV: +4.2%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-20 21:31:22
spinner

Trends for Nantes vs LE Havre Football 22 Feb, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    LE Havre struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent away matches

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Nantes vs LE Havre

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nantes

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.11

✈️ LE Havre

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.28
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nantes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ LE Havre - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nantes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9

✈️ LE Havre - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: LE Havre has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider LE Havre handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.121
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.098 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nantes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (LE Havre):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Nantes
LE Havre

Nantes vs LE Havre Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
Angers
l d w w l
>
22
8
5
9
22
27
-5
29
13
LE Havre
d d l w w
>
22
6
8
8
20
27
-7
26
14
Nice
l w d d l
>
22
6
5
11
27
40
-13
23

16
Auxerre
l l d d w
>
22
4
5
13
17
30
-13
17
17
Nantes
l l l l l
>
22
3
5
14
20
40
-20
14
18
Metz
l l l d l
>
22
3
4
15
22
49
-27
13
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or LE Havre
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nantes
VS
LE Havre
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (4)
1.2 (6)
xG
0.70
2.00
Shots
12.2 (61)
11 (55)
Shots on Target
3 (15)
3 (15)
Corners
6.8 (34)
4.8 (24)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 (6)
0.8 (4)
xGa
2.00
0.70
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (10)
2 (10)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
11.6 (58)
14.8 (74)
Offsides
1.4 (7)
2 (10)
8 Nov
- 18:00
LE Havre
Nantes
0.89
xG
0.21
1
1
Prob 62%
Goals Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.75
30 Mar
- 15:15
LE Havre
Nantes
4.33
xG
0.90
3
2
24 Nov
- 16:00
Nantes
LE Havre
0.87
xG
0.81
0
2
14 Apr
- 11:00
LE Havre
Nantes
0
1
26 Nov
- 14:00
Nantes
LE Havre
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Nantes
VS
LE Havre
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
5/6 (83%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.50 PPG 1.83
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
67% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.37 Avg xG 0.75
Nantes
L L L L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Monaco
3 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Nantes
0 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Lorient
2 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Nantes
1 4
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Nantes
1 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Marseille
0 2
Nantes
LE Havre
D D L W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 14:00
LE Havre
2 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 16:15
LE Havre
2 1
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lens
1 0
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 18:00
LE Havre
0 0
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Rennes
1 1
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
LE Havre
2 1
Angers

Nantes vs LE Havre: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nantes and away matches for LE Havre

Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
LE Havre
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
LE Havre
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
Nantes
LE Havre
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
80% 8
40% 4
Double Chance
Nantes
LE Havre
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
20% 2
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Nantes
LE Havre
0-1
10% 1
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
30% 3
0% 0
Total Corners
Nantes
Under
Over
LE Havre
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
LE Havre
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Nantes
LE Havre
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
60% 6
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Nantes
LE Havre
xG
1.12
0.97
xGa
1.24
1.67
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
LE Havre
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
LE Havre
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Nantes
LE Havre
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
20% 2
70% 7
2
70% 7
20% 2
Double Chance
Nantes
LE Havre
12
80% 8
30% 3
1X
30% 3
80% 8
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Nantes
LE Havre
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
10% 1
20% 2
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
LE Havre
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
Number of goals
Nantes
Under
Over
LE Havre
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nantes
LE Havre
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Nantes
LE Havre
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Nantes
LE Havre
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Nantes
LE Havre
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nantes
LE Havre
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Missing Players
Nantes
10
m
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
98
d
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
- Injured - Lacking Match Fitness
LE Havre
- Suspended - Red Card
15
m
- Injured - Ribs Injury
94
m
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Health problems
99
g
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
0.79 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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