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Nacional
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2
Benfica
Nacional vs Tondela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 10:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.32 vs 1.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.98%
⭐
0:1
9.65%
⭐
0:2
3.89%
⭐
0:3
1.04%
⭐
0:4
0.21%
⭐
0:5
0.03%
⭐
1
1:0
10.97%
1:1
13.68%
🔥
⭐
1:2
7.46%
⭐
1:3
2.53%
1:4
0.61%
1:5
0.12%
⭐
2
2:0
5.02%
2:1
8.48%
⭐
2:2
6.18%
2:3
2.67%
⭐
2:4
0.79%
2:5
0.18%
3
3:0
1.53%
⭐
3:1
3.27%
⭐
3:2
3.03%
3:3
1.65%
⭐
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.16%
⭐
4
4:0
0.35%
4:1
0.9%
⭐
4:2
1.02%
⭐
4:3
0.68%
⭐
4:4
0.3%
⭐
4:5
0.1%
⭐
5
5:0
0.06%
⭐
5:1
0.19%
⭐
5:2
0.26%
⭐
5:3
0.21%
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
1:1 (13.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
3
3
6
10
14
-4
12
13
▼
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
▼
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
16
▲
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
17
▼
2
3
7
13
34
-21
9
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Tondela
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.33
PPG
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
67%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.17
Avg xG
0.92
1.32
xG [Total: 2.53]
1.21
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 6]
4
5
Corners [Total: 10]
5
3
Offsides [Total: 5]
3
13
Fouls [Total: 32]
19
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 8]
4
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Tondela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 14 and will take place on 2025-12-13 at 2025-12-13 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Tondela. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Nacional or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-13
Time: 15:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Nacional vs Tondela Football 13 Dec, 2025 10:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent away matches
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs Tondela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Tondela(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/667%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (2.17/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Nacional(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Tondela(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent9/1275%Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Tondela(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent10/1283%Tondela have not won in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Nacional(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Nacional scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/771%Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 71% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Nacional(2 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1286%Nacional average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.7) — rank #5 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Tondela(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent6/786%Tondela receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent9/1275%Tondela receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Tondela(2 trends) — avg 3.9 (-16% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/781%Tondela average 3.9 corners/match in away matches (-16% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent10/1283%Tondela win 4 or fewer corners in 10 of their last 12 Primeira Liga matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+7 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs Tondela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Nacional is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 0).
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (8 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Tondela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
12
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.33
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
10
✈️ Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Nacional often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 0)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Nacional scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nacional shows superior performance after the break (8 vs 4 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Nacional winning the second half
- Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.099
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.009 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.073 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nacional vs Tondela Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 10:30 Primeira Liga
Nacional vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Tondela
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Tondela
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Tondela
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
50%
5
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Tondela
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
50%
5
50%
5
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Tondela
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Tondela
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Tondela
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Tondela
xG
1.14
1.22
xGa
1.65
1.65
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Tondela
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Tondela
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Tondela
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Tondela
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Tondela
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Tondela
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Tondela
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Tondela
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Tondela
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Tondela
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Nacional or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 38.02% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 61.98% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 34.10% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 65.90% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 14.75% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 85.25% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 12.27% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 87.73% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Nacional
Tondela
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 3.2 | 19 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 61 | 11 | 66 | 10.6 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 23 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 7 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.4 | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.6 | 7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 7 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.7 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 11 | 3 | 21 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 14 | 3.9 | 27 | 3.4 | 41 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 66 | 15.4 | 108 | 14.5 | 174 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 17 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 66 | 9.3 | 65 | 10.9 | 131 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.2 | 21 | 3.4 | 24 | 3.8 | 45 |
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