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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 16
Preview
Nacional
Nacional
13th place
Form
VS
15:30
11 Jan 2026
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Nacional or Draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nacional vs Santa Clara: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 11 January, 2026 9:30

1×2 Prediction
Nacional
44%31%25%
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
57%43%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
51%49%
YesNo
Team Total - Nacional
Under 1.5
59%41%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Santa Clara
Under 1.5
72%28%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Nacional/Draw
75%25%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Nacional +1
84%16%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip Value
Double Chance Nacional or Draw
Odds: 1.5
75.2%
EV: +12.9%
Bet Now
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15:30
Nacional W 44%
:
Santa Clara W 25%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nacional
l l w d l
7 Played
2 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9 total)
xG
1.30 (9.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.9 (69 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (39% acc)
Corners
4.1 (29 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.6 (4 total)
Fouls
13.6 (95 total)
Offsides
2.3 (16 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
1.00 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
3.9 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.8 (133 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (18 total)
xG
1.10 (18.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (185 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
4 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14.3 (228 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
Santa Clara
d w l d l
12 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (10 total)
xG
0.80 (10.0 total)
Shots per Match
8.6 (103 total)
Shots on Target
3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.2 (50 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12.9 (155 total)
Offsides
1.4 (17 total)
10 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (8 total)
xG
0.60 (6.2 total)
Shots per Match
7 (70 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (34% acc)
Corners
2.2 (22 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.1 (91 total)
Offsides
1.2 (12 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
6 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (18 total)
xG
0.70 (16.1 total)
Shots per Match
7.9 (173 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (35% acc)
Corners
3.3 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.2 (246 total)
Offsides
1.3 (29 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.40 vs 1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.68%
0:1
8.77%
0:2
3.29%
0:3
0.82%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
13.1%
🔥
1:1
13.09%
1:2
6.14%
1:3
1.84%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
7.34%
2:1
9.17%
2:2
5.27%
2:3
1.89%
2:4
0.48%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
2.74%
3:1
4.11%
3:2
2.82%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.36%
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
0.77%
4:1
1.34%
4:2
1.08%
4:3
0.53%
4:4
0.18%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.17%
5:1
0.34%
5:2
0.32%
5:3
0.18%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.7%
0
21.9%
1
23.7%
2
18.9%
3
12.1%
4
6.7%
5
3.2%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

NacionalHDPSanta Clara
5.9%
Very Low
-2.5
1.6%
@ 12.00Very Low
12.3%
Very Low
-2
4.5%
@ 11.00Very Low
18.6%
Very Low@ 6.20
-1.5
7.3%
@ 6.00Very Low
31.4%
Low@ 5.30
-1
15.9%
@ 5.16Very Low
44.2%
Medium@ 2.79
-0.5
24.4%
@ 2.75Low
75.5%
High@ 1.53
+0.5
55.8%
@ 1.47Medium
84.1%
Very High@ 1.25
+1
68.6%
@ 1.17High
92.7%
Very High@ 1.13
+1.5
81.4%
@ 1.12Very High
95.5%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
87.7%
Very High
98.4%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
94.1%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

NacionalOutcomeSanta Clara
75.3%
High@ 1.46
Over 0.5
64.3%
@ 1.44High
24.7%
Low@ 2.81
Under 0.5
35.7%
@ 2.84Low
40.8%
Medium@ 3.25
Over 1.5
27.5%
@ 3.25Low
59.2%
Medium@ 1.36
Under 1.5
72.5%
@ 1.41High
16.7%
Very Low@ 9.00
Over 2.5
8.6%
@ 9.00Very Low
83.4%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 2.5
91.4%
@ 1.08Very High
5.4%
Very Low@ 26.00
Over 3.5
2.1%
@ 26.00Very Low
94.6%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
97.9%
@ 1.02Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Santa Clara as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2026-01-11 at 2026-01-11 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Santa Clara. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Nacional or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-11 Time: 15:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nacional vs Santa Clara Sunday, Jan 11th, 2026 at 9:30 Football

Value Bets

6 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.50
75.2%
EV: +12.8% Stake: $5.00
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Best Tip Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.47
75.2%
EV: +10.6% Stake: $5.32
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Nacional +1
Odds: 1.25
84.1%
EV: +5.1% Stake: $10.00
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Santa Clara NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.20
86.4%
EV: +3.6% Stake: $10.00
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Value
Total Away Under 1.5
Odds: 1.41
72.5%
EV: +2.2% Stake: $6.10
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-07 02:30:17
spinner

Trends for Nacional vs Santa Clara Football 11 Jan, 2026 9:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Nacional create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Nacional vs Santa Clara

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (12 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nacional

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Santa Clara

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.03
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nacional - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Santa Clara - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nacional - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Santa Clara - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nacional shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 6 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Nacional winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Santa Clara has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Santa Clara handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.068
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.014
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.083 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Santa Clara):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Nacional
Santa Clara

Nacional vs Santa Clara Head-to-head statistics for Sun 11 Jan, 2026 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
Estrela
w l d w d
>
17
4
7
6
23
27
-4
19
13
Nacional
l l w d l
>
16
4
4
8
18
23
-5
16
14
Santa Clara
d w l d l
>
16
4
4
8
11
16
-5
16
15
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
Team comparison
Prediction
Nacional or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nacional
VS
Santa Clara
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
0.5 (1)
xG
0.90
0.90
Shots
8.5 (17)
17.5 (35)
Shots on Target
4 (8)
5.5 (11)
Corners
3 (6)
4.5 (9)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
xGa
0.90
0.90
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (6)
5 (10)
Red Cards
0.5 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
15.5 (31)
18.5 (37)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
2 (4)
30 Mar
- 14:30
Santa Clara
Nacional
0.83
xG
0.52
1
0
4 Nov
- 20:15
Nacional
Santa Clara
1.35
xG
1.05
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Santa Clara
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.83 PPG 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.50
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
83% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.13 Avg xG 0.83
Nacional
L L W D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Nacional
1 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Estrela
1 1
Nacional
Santa Clara
D W L D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Santa Clara
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Santa Clara
0 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 18:45
SC Braga
1 0
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Santa Clara
1 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Rio Ave
1 1
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 20:30
Santa Clara
1 2
Sporting CP

Nacional vs Santa Clara: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Santa Clara

Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Santa Clara
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Santa Clara
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
Nacional
Santa Clara
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Nacional
Santa Clara
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Nacional
Santa Clara
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
30% 3
0% 0
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Santa Clara
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Santa Clara
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Santa Clara
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Santa Clara
xG
1.21
1.01
xGa
1.76
0.96
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Santa Clara
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Santa Clara
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Nacional
Santa Clara
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
50% 5
60% 6
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Nacional
Santa Clara
12
50% 5
40% 4
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Nacional
Santa Clara
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Santa Clara
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Santa Clara
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Santa Clara
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2
Nacional
Santa Clara
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
20% 2
50% 5
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Nacional
Santa Clara
12
80% 8
50% 5
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Nacional
Santa Clara
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Santa Clara
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
1.30 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
No Posts Found