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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 19
Preview
Nacional
Nacional
14th place
Form
VS
15:30
25 Jan 2026
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
11th place
Form
AI Prediction No predictions available
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nacional vs Rio Ave: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 25 January, 2026 9:30

Winner (1x2)-
Nacional to Win
Probability 41%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 66%
Nacional Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 75%
Rio Ave Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 80%
Double Chance-
Nacional/Draw
Probability 68%
Asian Handicap-
Nacional +2.5
Probability 96%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15:30
Nacional W 41%
:
Rio Ave W 32%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nacional
l w d l d
8 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (82 total)
Shots on Target
4 (39% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
2.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
13.6 (109 total)
Offsides
2.1 (17 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
1.00 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
3.9 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.8 (133 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (20.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (198 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
3.9 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14.2 (242 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)
Rio Ave
w l d l w
8 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
1.20 (9.7 total)
Shots per Match
9 (72 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (46% acc)
Corners
3.8 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (3 total)
Fouls
11.5 (92 total)
Offsides
1 (8 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (12 total)
xG
0.90 (7.7 total)
Shots per Match
9 (81 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (40% acc)
Corners
3.8 (34 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.7 (132 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
8 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (22 total)
xG
1.00 (17.4 total)
Shots per Match
9 (153 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (42% acc)
Corners
3.8 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
13.2 (224 total)
Offsides
1.3 (22 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.73 vs 1.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.66%
0:1
6.54%
0:2
3.78%
0:3
1.46%
0:4
0.42%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
7.67%
1:1
10.98%
🔥
1:2
7.57%
1:3
3.39%
1:4
1.11%
1:5
0.29%
2
2:0
5.2%
2:1
8.88%
2:2
7.18%
2:3
3.71%
2:4
1.39%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
2.35%
3:1
4.66%
3:2
4.35%
3:3
2.57%
3:4
1.09%
3:5
0.36%
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.8%
4:2
1.91%
4:3
1.28%
4:4
0.61%
4:5
0.22%
5
5:0
0.22%
5:1
0.55%
5:2
0.65%
5:3
0.49%
5:4
0.26%
5:5
0.11%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.7%
0
14.2%
1
20.0%
2
20.3%
3
16.4%
4
11.3%
5
6.7%
6
3.4%
7
1.5%
8
0.5%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

NacionalHDPRio Ave
7.0%
Very Low
-2.5
4.1%
Very Low
13.1%
Very Low
-2
8.5%
Very Low
19.2%
Very Low
-1.5
12.9%
Very Low
30.3%
Low
-1
22.4%
Low
41.4%
Medium
-0.5
31.9%
Low
68.1%
High
+0.5
58.6%
Medium
77.6%
High
+1
69.7%
High
87.0%
Very High
+1.5
80.8%
Very High
91.5%
Very High
+2
86.9%
Very High
95.9%
Very High
+2.5
93.0%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

NacionalOutcomeRio Ave
82.3%
Very High
Over 0.5
78.4%
High
17.7%
Very Low
Under 0.5
21.7%
Low
51.6%
Medium
Over 1.5
45.2%
Medium
48.4%
Medium
Under 1.5
54.8%
Medium
25.1%
Low
Over 2.5
19.9%
Very Low
74.9%
High
Under 2.5
80.1%
Very High
9.8%
Very Low
Over 3.5
7.0%
Very Low
90.2%
Very High
Under 3.5
93.1%
Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Rio Ave as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-25 at 2026-01-25 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Rio Ave. The scoreline predictions suggest No predictions available. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-25 Time: 15:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nacional vs Rio Ave Sunday, Jan 25th, 2026 at 9:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Nacional vs Rio Ave Football 25 Jan, 2026 9:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Nacional create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Nacional vs Rio Ave

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nacional

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Rio Ave

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nacional - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Rio Ave - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nacional - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Rio Ave - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Rio Ave has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Rio Ave handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.126
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Rio Ave):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Nacional
Rio Ave

Nacional vs Rio Ave Head-to-head statistics for Sun 25 Jan, 2026 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
Alverca
w l l l w
>
17
6
2
9
17
27
-10
20
11
Rio Ave
w l d l w
>
17
4
8
5
22
29
-7
20
12
Estrela
w l d w d
>
17
4
7
6
23
27
-4
19
13
Santa Clara
w l d l d
>
17
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
14
Nacional
l w d l d
>
17
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
Team comparison
Prediction
No predictions available
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Nacional
VS
Rio Ave
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (5)
2 (6)
xG
1.10
1.50
Shots
12.3 (37)
16.3 (49)
Shots on Target
4 (12)
7 (21)
Corners
5.3 (16)
6.7 (20)
Defense
Conceded
2 (6)
1.7 (5)
xGa
1.50
1.10
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (5)
2 (6)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
14 (42)
11.7 (35)
Offsides
0.7 (2)
1.7 (5)
17 Aug
- 14:30
Rio Ave
Nacional
1.51
xG
0.98
1
1
10 May
- 14:30
Nacional
Rio Ave
1.75
xG
1.09
3
3
29 Dec
- 15:30
Rio Ave
Nacional
1.90
xG
0.52
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Rio Ave
1/6 (17%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.83 PPG 1.33
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
83% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.25 Avg xG 1.23
Nacional
L W D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
3 3
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Nacional
1 2
Benfica
Rio Ave
W L D L W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Rio Ave
3 1
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
4 0
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 18:00
GIL Vicente
2 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 18:00
AVS
1 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Rio Ave
1 1
Santa Clara

Nacional vs Rio Ave: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Rio Ave

Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Rio Ave
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
1X2
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Nacional
Rio Ave
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Nacional
Rio Ave
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Rio Ave
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Rio Ave
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Rio Ave
xG
1.32
1.1
xGa
1.96
1.55
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Rio Ave
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Nacional
Rio Ave
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Nacional
Rio Ave
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Rio Ave
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Rio Ave
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Rio Ave
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Nacional
Rio Ave
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Nacional
Rio Ave
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Rio Ave
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1.76 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found