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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 22
Preview
Nacional
Nacional
14th place
Form
VS
17:00
15 Feb 2026
FC Porto
FC Porto
1st place
Form
Match Info -
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nacional vs FC Porto: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 15 February, 2026 11:00

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
• 17:00
Nacional
:
FC Porto

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nacional
l w d l d
8 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (82 total)
Shots on Target
4 (39% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
2.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
13.6 (109 total)
Offsides
2.1 (17 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
1.00 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
3.9 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.8 (133 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (20.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (198 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
3.9 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14.2 (242 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)
FC Porto
w w w w w
11 Played
10 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (23 total)
xG
2.00 (21.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.5 (159 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (39% acc)
Corners
4.9 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.2 (134 total)
Offsides
1.6 (18 total)
12 Played
10 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (22 total)
xG
1.50 (18.6 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (173 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (37% acc)
Corners
6 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.6 (163 total)
Offsides
1.9 (23 total)
23 Played
20 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (45 total)
xG
1.70 (40.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (332 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (38% acc)
Corners
5.5 (126 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
15 (65%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
12.9 (297 total)
Offsides
1.8 (41 total)

No prediction data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on FC Porto as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-02-15 at 2026-02-15 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, FC Porto. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-15 Time: 17:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nacional vs FC Porto Sunday, Feb 15th, 2026 at 11:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Nacional vs FC Porto Football 15 Feb, 2026 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

+6 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights

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Comprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs FC Porto, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.

🏆 Match Winner

FC Porto(9 trends)

  • High xG PerformanceH2H3/3100%
    FC Porto create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
  • Top Table FormLeague75%
    FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
  • Above League AverageLeague8/875%
    FC Porto score 2.38 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
  • League Top ScorerLeague8/870%
    FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.38 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
  • League Best DefenseLeague8/870%
    FC Porto concede only 0.25 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
  • UnbeatenRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
  • High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
  • High ScoringRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
  • Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches

⚽ Both Teams To Score

Nacional(1 trends)

  • BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%
    Nacional score (1.29/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 44%)

FC Porto(1 trends)

  • Strong DefenseLeague6/875%
    FC Porto score well (2.38/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.25 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches

Head-to-Head(1 trends)

  • BTTS NoH2H3/3100%
    At least one team failed to score in their last 3 Primeira Liga matches

🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals

FC Porto(4 trends)

  • Above League AverageLeague8/875%
    FC Porto score 2.38 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
  • League Top ScorerLeague8/870%
    FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.38 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
  • High ScoringRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
  • Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches

Head-to-Head(1 trends)

  • Under 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%
    Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
💡Combined 2.4 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals

🛡️ Double Chance

FC Porto(4 trends)

  • Top Table FormLeague75%
    FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
  • League Best DefenseLeague8/870%
    FC Porto concede only 0.25 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
  • UnbeatenRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
  • Undefeated at HTRecent15/15100%
    FC Porto are undefeated at half time in their last 15 15 matches

⚡ Team Total Goals

FC Porto(3 trends)

  • Above League AverageLeague8/875%
    FC Porto score 2.38 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
  • League Top ScorerLeague8/870%
    FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.38 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
  • League Best DefenseLeague8/870%
    FC Porto concede only 0.25 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)

🟨 Cards Over/Under

Nacional(2 trends) — avg 2.7 (+1% above league)

  • Many CardsH2H3/3100%
    Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
  • Many CardsRecent12/1580%
    Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches

FC Porto(1 trends) — avg 2.4 (-11% below league)

  • Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%
    FC Porto average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 2.7) — rank #3 lowest in league

Head-to-Head(1 trends)

  • High Card MatchesH2H%
    Average 7.7 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
💡FC Porto disciplined play balances Nacional aggression —

🚩 Corners Over/Under

FC Porto(1 trends) — avg 5.2 (+15% above league)

  • Many CornersLeague8/880%
    FC Porto average 5.2 corners/match in away matches (+15% above league avg 4.6)
💡Moderate corner environment -

+11 Streak trends are hidden

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Nacional vs FC Porto

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (13 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nacional

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12

✈️ FC Porto

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.09
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nacional - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ FC Porto - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nacional - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9

✈️ FC Porto - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nacional shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Nacional winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.184
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.067
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.083 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Porto):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Nacional
FC Porto

Nacional vs FC Porto Head-to-head statistics for Sun 15 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
FC Porto
FC Porto
w w w w w
>
17
16
1
0
36
4
32
49
2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
d w w w d
>
17
13
3
1
47
9
38
42
13 ▲
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
w l d l d
>
17
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
14 ▼
Nacional
Nacional
l w d l d
>
17
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Nacional
VS
FC Porto
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (2)
1.3 (4)
xG
0.70
1.40
Shots
7.7 (23)
11.3 (34)
Shots on Target
3.3 (10)
4 (12)
Corners
4.7 (14)
5.7 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (4)
0.7 (2)
xGa
1.40
0.70
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
2 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4.3 (13)
3 (9)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
12.3 (37)
9.3 (28)
Offsides
2 (6)
2 (6)
13 Sep
- 17:00
FC Porto
Nacional
1.88
xG
0.08
1
0
Prob 86%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.22
17 May
- 17:00
FC Porto
Nacional
1.88
xG
1.19
3
0
Prob 75%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.34
12 Jan
- 15:30
Nacional
FC Porto
0.92
xG
0.36
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
FC Porto
1/6 (17%) Victories 6/6 (100%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
0.83 PPG 3.00
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
83% BTTS % 33%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.25 Avg xG 2.06
Nacional
L W D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
3 3
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Nacional
1 2
Benfica
FC Porto
W W W W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Santa Clara
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 20:15
FC Porto
2 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 18:45
Alverca
0 3
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 20:45
FC Porto
3 1
Estrela
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
FC Porto
2 1
Malmo FF
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Tondela
0 2
FC Porto

Nacional vs FC Porto: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for FC Porto

Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
80% 8
30% 3
No
20% 2
70% 7
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
20% 2
90% 9
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
40% 4
0% 0
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
60% 6
100% 10
X2
80% 8
10% 1
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
40% 4
10% 1
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
0% 0
70% 7
No
100% 10
30% 3
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
FC Porto
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Nacional
FC Porto
xG
1.32
1.77
xGa
1.96
0.54
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
20% 2
0% 0
No
80% 8
100% 10
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
60% 6
100% 10
No
40% 4
0% 0
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
50% 5
10% 1
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
20% 2
70% 7
No
80% 8
30% 3
0.60 xG 2.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots Off Goal 9
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found