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Benfica
Nacional vs FC Porto: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 15 February, 2026 12:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
11
1
0
25
3
22
34
2
10
1
1
31
6
25
31
12
3
3
6
10
14
-4
12
13
▼
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
▼
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
FC Porto
2/6 (33%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.33
PPG
2.67
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.50
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.17
Avg xG
1.36
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.70
xG [Total: 2.68]
1.98
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
5
Corners [Total: 11]
6
3
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
13
Fouls [Total: 27]
14
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
5
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on FC Porto as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-02-15 at 2026-02-15 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, FC Porto. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-15
Time: 17:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Nacional vs FC Porto Football 15 Feb, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
FC Porto score in 2nd half 83% of matches — expect late goals
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs FC Porto, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FC Porto(5 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 2.33 goals/match in away matches (+74% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%FC Porto create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/667%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (2.17/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 44%)
FC Porto(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/667%FC Porto score well (2.33/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.33 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H3/3100%At least one team failed to score in their last 3 Primeira Liga H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Nacional(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
FC Porto(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 2.33 goals/match in away matches (+74% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
FC Porto(2 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Nacional(1 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Nacional scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
FC Porto(6 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityH2H3/3100%FC Porto rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Nacional
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%FC Porto score 2.33 goals/match in away matches (+74% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/670%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.33 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%FC Porto concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent16/16100%FC Porto rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 16 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent30/30100%FC Porto rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 30 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Nacional(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs FC Porto
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1286%Nacional average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.7) — rank #5 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
FC Porto(2 trends)
- Many CardsRecent14/1688%FC Porto receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%FC Porto receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 7.7 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FC Porto(1 trends) — avg 6.2 (+35% above league)
- Many CornersLeague6/685%FC Porto average 6.2 corners/match in away matches (+35% above league avg 4.6)
Moderate corner environment -
+19 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs FC Porto
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07
✈️ FC Porto
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.04
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ FC Porto - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
10
✈️ FC Porto - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider FC Porto to win the first half
- Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.042
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.056
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Porto):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nacional vs FC Porto Head-to-head statistics for Sun 15 Feb, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Nacional vs FC Porto: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for FC Porto
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
30%
3
70%
7
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
70%
7
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
FC Porto
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Nacional
FC Porto
xG
1.14
1.47
xGa
1.65
0.71
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Nacional
FC Porto
Played:
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
0
0
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
2
0.7
Goals
1.3
4
4
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.7
2
13
4.3
Yellow Cards
3
9
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.7
2
14
4.7
Corners
5.7
17
37
12.3
Fouls
9.3
28
6
2
Offsides
2
6
23
7.7
Shots
11.3
34
10
3.3
Shots on Goal
4
12
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 3.2 | 19 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 61 | 11 | 66 | 10.6 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 23 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 6 | 11 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.8 | 11 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.1 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.5 | 15 | 2.5 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.8 | 5 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.8 | 9 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 6.2 | 37 | 5.5 | 66 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 79 | 14.2 | 85 | 13.7 | 164 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 1.8 | 11 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 77 | 16.3 | 98 | 14.6 | 175 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.5 | 33 | 5.8 | 35 | 5.7 | 68 |
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