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Nacional vs FC Porto: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 15 February, 2026 12:00
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No betting tips available for this match.
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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
1
0
33
4
29
43
2
12
2
1
42
8
34
38
11
▼
3
8
4
19
24
-5
17
12
▼
4
4
7
17
21
-4
16
13
▼
4
4
7
11
15
-4
16
0.74
xG
2.77
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots Off Goal
9
4
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
FC Porto
1/6 (17%)
Victories
6/6 (100%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
0.83
PPG
3.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.33
67%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
0.96
Avg xG
1.94
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on FC Porto as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-02-15 at 2026-02-15 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, FC Porto. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-15
Time: 17:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Nacional vs FC Porto Football 15 Feb, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs FC Porto, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FC Porto(9 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H3/3100%FC Porto create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%FC Porto score 2.38 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.38 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%FC Porto concede only 0.25 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent15/15100%FC Porto are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%FC Porto create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%FC Porto score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Nacional score (1.29/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 44%)
FC Porto(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/875%FC Porto score well (2.38/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.25 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H3/3100%At least one team failed to score in their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Porto(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%FC Porto score 2.38 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.38 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%FC Porto score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%FC Porto have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Combined 2.4 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
FC Porto(4 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague75%FC Porto are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%FC Porto concede only 0.25 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent15/15100%FC Porto are unbeaten in their last 15 15 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent15/15100%FC Porto are undefeated at half time in their last 15 15 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
FC Porto(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%FC Porto score 2.38 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/870%FC Porto rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.38 goals/match vs league avg 2.66)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%FC Porto concede only 0.25 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Nacional(2 trends) — avg 2.8 (+4% above league)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
FC Porto(1 trends) — avg 2.4 (-11% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%FC Porto average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 2.7) — rank #3 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 7.7 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
FC Porto disciplined play balances Nacional aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FC Porto(1 trends) — avg 5.2 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/880%FC Porto average 5.2 corners/match in away matches (+15% above league avg 4.6)
Moderate corner environment -
+11 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs FC Porto
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Nacional is stronger in the second half (11 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
✈️ FC Porto
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.06
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ FC Porto - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
✈️ FC Porto - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nacional shows superior performance after the break (11 vs 4 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Nacional winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.109
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.057
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Porto):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Nacional vs FC Porto Head-to-head statistics for Sun 15 Feb, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Nacional vs FC Porto: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for FC Porto
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
30%
3
90%
9
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
40%
4
0%
0
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
60%
6
100%
10
X2
70%
7
10%
1
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
70%
7
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
FC Porto
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
70%
7
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Nacional
FC Porto
xG
1.3
1.68
xGa
1.78
0.6
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
30%
3
70%
7
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
20%
2
0%
0
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
80%
8
100%
10
X2
70%
7
30%
3
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
70%
7
90%
9
No
30%
3
10%
1
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Nacional
FC Porto
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Nacional
FC Porto
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Nacional
FC Porto
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
FC Porto
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Nacional
FC Porto
Played:
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
0
0
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
2
0.7
Goals
1.3
4
4
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.7
2
13
4.3
Yellow Cards
3
9
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.7
2
14
4.7
Corners
5.7
17
37
12.3
Fouls
9.3
28
6
2
Offsides
2
6
23
7.7
Shots
11.3
34
10
3.3
Shots on Goal
4
12
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 14 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 19 | 2.5 | 20 | 2.6 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.1 | 29 | 4 | 32 | 4.1 | 61 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 95 | 14.5 | 116 | 14.1 | 211 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 16 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 28 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 69 | 12.8 | 102 | 11.4 | 171 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 27 | 3.9 | 31 | 3.9 | 58 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 8 | 14 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 14 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.2 | 33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 16 | 2.1 | 17 | 2.2 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 5 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.7 | 11 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 33 | 5.3 | 42 | 5 | 75 |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 90 | 13.4 | 107 | 13.1 | 197 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 1.9 | 29 |
| Shots | 13.9 | 97 | 15.4 | 123 | 14.7 | 220 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.7 | 40 | 5.9 | 47 | 5.8 | 87 |
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