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Nacional
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2
Benfica
Nacional vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 8 February, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
3
3
6
10
14
-4
12
13
▼
3
3
6
12
17
-5
12
14
▼
2
5
5
13
18
-5
11
15
2
3
7
13
26
-13
9
16
▲
2
3
7
7
20
-13
9
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Casa Pia
2/6 (33%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.33
PPG
0.33
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2.83
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.17
Avg xG
0.86
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.08
xG [Total: 2.03]
0.95
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
4
5
Corners [Total: 8]
3
3
Offsides [Total: 4]
1
13
Fouls [Total: 28]
15
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
2
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-08 at 2026-02-08 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-08
Time: 17:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Nacional vs Casa Pia Football 8 Feb, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Nacional vs Casa Pia, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Casa Pia(1 trends)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Casa Pia have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/667%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (2.17/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 44%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Nacional(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Casa Pia(1 trends)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%Casa Pia have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Nacional(2 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H3/3100%Nacional conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 3 3 matches vs Casa Pia
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Nacional scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Nacional(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Primeira Liga matches vs Casa Pia
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1286%Nacional average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.7) — rank #5 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Casa Pia(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%Casa Pia average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+17% above league avg 2.7) — rank #3 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 4.7 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Casa Pia(1 trends) — avg 3.5 (-23% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Casa Pia average 3.5 corners/match in away matches (-23% below league avg 4.6)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Nacional vs Casa Pia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Casa Pia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Casa Pia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
10
✈️ Casa Pia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Casa Pia to win the first half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.174
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Nacional vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Sun 8 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Nacional vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Casa Pia
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Casa Pia
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Casa Pia
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
20%
2
50%
5
Total Corners
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Casa Pia
xG
1.14
0.85
xGa
1.65
1.62
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Casa Pia
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Casa Pia
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Nacional
Casa Pia
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Nacional
Casa Pia
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Nacional
Casa Pia
Played:
3
Wins
2
2
Draws
0
0
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
1.7
Goals
0.7
2
2
0.7
Goals Conceded
1.7
5
8
2.7
Yellow Cards
2
6
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
12
4
Corners
4.7
14
45
15
Fouls
14.3
43
5
1.7
Offsides
0.7
2
42
14
Shots
11
33
14
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.7
11
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 13 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 3.2 | 19 | 2.8 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0.5 | 3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.3 | 26 | 4.7 | 28 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.9 | 23 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 61 | 11 | 66 | 10.6 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.8 | 23 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 2.2 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 16 | 3.5 | 21 | 3.1 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4 | 24 | 3.5 | 21 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Fouls | 14 | 84 | 14.5 | 87 | 14.3 | 171 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 5 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.1 | 13 |
| Shots | 8.3 | 50 | 8.7 | 52 | 8.5 | 102 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.8 | 17 | 2.8 | 17 | 2.8 | 34 |
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