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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Nacional
Nacional
14th place
Form
VS
17:00
8 Feb 2026
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
15th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Nacional vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 8 February, 2026 11:00

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
17:00
Nacional
:
Casa Pia

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Nacional
l w d l d
8 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (82 total)
Shots on Target
4 (39% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
2.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
13.6 (109 total)
Offsides
2.1 (17 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
1.00 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
3.9 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.8 (133 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (20.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (198 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
3.9 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14.2 (242 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)
Casa Pia
l d w d l
8 Played
0 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (7 total)
xG
0.60 (5.1 total)
Shots per Match
7.1 (57 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (33% acc)
Corners
3.4 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.8 (126 total)
Offsides
0.9 (7 total)
9 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
1.00 (9.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.2 (83 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (35% acc)
Corners
3.8 (34 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15 (135 total)
Offsides
1.1 (10 total)
17 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (17 total)
xG
0.80 (14.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (140 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (34% acc)
Corners
3.6 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.4 (261 total)
Offsides
1 (17 total)

No prediction data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Nacional will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-08 at 2026-02-08 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Nacional, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-08 Time: 17:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Nacional vs Casa Pia Sunday, Feb 8th, 2026 at 11:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Nacional vs Casa Pia Football 8 Feb, 2026 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Nacional create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Nacional vs Casa Pia

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Nacional is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Nacional

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Casa Pia

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.1

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Nacional - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Nacional - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Nacional excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Nacional scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Nacional has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Nacional handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.081
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Nacional):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Nacional
Casa Pia

Nacional vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Sun 8 Feb, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
Santa Clara
w l d l d
>
17
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
14
Nacional
l w d l d
>
17
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
16
Arouca
l w d d l
>
17
3
5
9
18
42
-24
14
Nacional
VS
Casa Pia
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (5)
0.7 (2)
xG
1.00
0.80
Shots
14 (42)
11 (33)
Shots on Target
4.7 (14)
3.7 (11)
Corners
4 (12)
4.7 (14)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (2)
1.7 (5)
xGa
0.80
1.00
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 (8)
2 (6)
Fouls
15 (45)
14.3 (43)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
0.7 (2)
30 Aug
- 14:30
Casa Pia
Nacional
0.66
xG
1.22
0
2
16 Mar
- 15:30
Nacional
Casa Pia
0.86
xG
1.04
3
1
25 Oct
- 17:45
Casa Pia
Nacional
0.79
xG
1.04
1
0
Last 6 Matches
Nacional
VS
Casa Pia
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.83 PPG 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
83% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.25 Avg xG 0.64
Nacional
L W D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
3 3
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Nacional
1 2
Benfica
Casa Pia
L D W D L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Rio Ave
3 1
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
1 2
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
1 1
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Santa Clara
1 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 2
Alverca

Nacional vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Nacional and away matches for Casa Pia

Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
1X2
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Nacional
Casa Pia
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Nacional
Casa Pia
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
40% 4
50% 5
Total Corners
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Nacional
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Nacional
Casa Pia
xG
1.32
0.75
xGa
1.96
1.66
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
Nacional
Casa Pia
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Nacional
Casa Pia
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
Number of goals
Nacional
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
50% 5
Double Chance
Nacional
Casa Pia
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Nacional
Casa Pia
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Nacional
Casa Pia
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1.74 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
No Posts Found