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NAC Breda
NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 14:00
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9
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(9 total)
xG
1.40
(12.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(114 total)
Shots on Target
4
(32% acc)
Corners
5.2
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(93 total)
Offsides
0.9
(8 total)
9
Played
0
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(7 total)
xG
1.00
(8.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(116 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(28% acc)
Corners
5.4
(49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
2.10
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.1
(109 total)
Offsides
1.7
(15 total)
18
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(16 total)
xG
1.20
(20.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(230 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(30% acc)
Corners
5.3
(96 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
11.2
(202 total)
Offsides
1.3
(23 total)
8
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.9
(23 total)
xG
2.10
(16.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(123 total)
Shots on Target
6.6
(43% acc)
Corners
5.4
(43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(80 total)
Offsides
2
(16 total)
9
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(20 total)
xG
1.70
(15.0 total)
Shots per Match
16.3
(147 total)
Shots on Target
7.1
(44% acc)
Corners
5.3
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13.1
(118 total)
Offsides
2.2
(20 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(43 total)
xG
1.90
(31.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.9
(270 total)
Shots on Target
6.9
(43% acc)
Corners
5.4
(91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.6
(198 total)
Offsides
2.1
(36 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.40 vs 2.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.66%
0:1
6.03%
0:2
6.82%
0:3
5.15%
⭐
0:4
2.91%
⭐
0:5
1.32%
⭐
1
1:0
3.44%
1:1
8.08%
1:2
9.46%
🔥
1:3
7.38%
⭐
1:4
4.31%
⭐
1:5
2.02%
⭐
2
2:0
2.23%
2:1
5.41%
2:2
6.55%
2:3
5.28%
⭐
2:4
3.18%
⭐
2:5
1.53%
⭐
3
3:0
0.96%
3:1
2.41%
3:2
3.02%
3:3
2.51%
⭐
3:4
1.56%
⭐
3:5
0.77%
⭐
4
4:0
0.31%
4:1
0.81%
4:2
1.04%
4:3
0.89%
⭐
4:4
0.57%
⭐
4:5
0.29%
⭐
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.21%
5:2
0.29%
5:3
0.25%
⭐
5:4
0.17%
⭐
5:5
0.09%
Hotspot:
1:2 (9.5%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, NAC Breda will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Rat Verlegh Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, NAC Breda, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : NEC Nijmegen.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 20:00
Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen Football 17 Jan, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
NEC Nijmegen create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Chance Suppression
NAC Breda rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — NEC Nijmegen @ 2.28 ✅ 
NEC Nijmegen
- High xG PerformanceH2H3/3100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent15/1788%NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
NAC Breda
- Relegation BattleLeague90%NAC Breda are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%NAC Breda have not won in 14 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
NEC Nijmegen dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.59 ⚠️ 
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/989%NEC Nijmegen score (2.22/match) and concede (1.89/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H3/3100%At least one team failed to score in their last 3 Eredivisie matches
NAC Breda rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.63 ✅ 
NEC Nijmegen(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Combined 2.2 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — NEC Nijmegen Win or Draw @ 1.40 ✅ 
NEC Nijmegen
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%NEC Nijmegen are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
NAC Breda
- Relegation BattleLeague90%NAC Breda are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%NAC Breda have not won in 14 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — NEC Nijmegen to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — NEC Nijmegen Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.95 ⚠️
NEC Nijmegen
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
NEC Nijmegen's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 2.25 ⚠️
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+35% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
NEC Nijmegen aggressive (H2H) drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 2.25
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.20 ⚠️
NEC Nijmegen(1 trends) — avg 4.8 (-6% below league)
- Few CornersH2H3/3100%NEC Nijmegen win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Eredivisie matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.20
+16 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 NAC Breda
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.07
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 NAC Breda - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 NAC Breda - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: NEC Nijmegen often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of NEC Nijmegen scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider NEC Nijmegen to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.054
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.074
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (NAC Breda):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or NEC Nijmegen
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
+1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
NAC Breda
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.3 (1)
2 (6)
xG
1.10
2.20
Shots
11.3 (34)
13.7 (41)
Shots on Target
2.7 (8)
5.7 (17)
Corners
4.7 (14)
3 (9)
Defense
Conceded
2 (6)
0.3 (1)
xGa
2.20
1.10
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
2 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
1 (3)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
13 (39)
9.7 (29)
Offsides
2 (6)
0.7 (2)
Last 6 Matches
NAC Breda
VS
NEC Nijmegen
0/6 (0%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
0.33
PPG
2.33
0.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.67
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
17%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.02
Avg xG
1.98
NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for NAC Breda and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
NAC Breda
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
1X2
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
60%
6
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
20%
2
70%
7
Total Corners
NAC Breda
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
30%
3
xG(xGa)
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.09
1.62
xGa
1.3
1.55
Number of goals
NAC Breda
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Number of goals
NAC Breda
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
10%
1
60%
6
No
90%
9
40%
4
1X2
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
80%
8
30%
3
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
1.33
xG
2.30
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
6
10
Shots Off Goal
9
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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