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NAC Breda
NAC Breda vs Excelsior: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 6 February, 2026 13:00
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10
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(12 total)
xG
1.30
(13.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(128 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(32% acc)
Corners
4.9
(49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.5
(105 total)
Offsides
1.1
(11 total)
10
Played
0
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(9 total)
xG
1.00
(10.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(122 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(29% acc)
Corners
5.3
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
2.00
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.2
(122 total)
Offsides
1.7
(17 total)
20
Played
3
Wins
6
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(21 total)
xG
1.20
(23.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(250 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(30% acc)
Corners
5.1
(102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
11.4
(227 total)
Offsides
1.4
(28 total)
10
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(10 total)
xG
1.40
(13.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(119 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(32% acc)
Corners
3.8
(38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.5
(125 total)
Offsides
1.1
(11 total)
10
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(10 total)
xG
1.10
(10.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(107 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(35% acc)
Corners
4.4
(44 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.6
(126 total)
Offsides
0.5
(5 total)
20
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(20 total)
xG
1.20
(24.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(226 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(33% acc)
Corners
4.1
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.6
(251 total)
Offsides
0.8
(16 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.14 vs 1.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.58%
0:1
3.99%
0:2
3.08%
0:3
1.59%
0:4
0.61%
⭐
0:5
0.19%
⭐
1
1:0
5.33%
1:1
8.43%
1:2
6.67%
1:3
3.51%
⭐
1:4
1.39%
⭐
1:5
0.44%
⭐
2
2:0
5.51%
2:1
8.91%
🔥
2:2
7.2%
⭐
2:3
3.87%
⭐
2:4
1.56%
⭐
2:5
0.5%
⭐
3
3:0
3.79%
3:1
6.27%
⭐
3:2
5.18%
⭐
3:3
2.85%
⭐
3:4
1.17%
⭐
3:5
0.39%
⭐
4
4:0
1.96%
4:1
3.31%
⭐
4:2
2.79%
⭐
4:3
1.57%
⭐
4:4
0.66%
⭐
4:5
0.22%
5
5:0
0.81%
5:1
1.4%
⭐
5:2
1.2%
⭐
5:3
0.69%
⭐
5:4
0.3%
⭐
5:5
0.1%
Hotspot:
2:1 (8.9%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, NAC Breda will take on Excelsior as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-06 at 2026-02-06 in the famous Rat Verlegh Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, NAC Breda, and the visiting side, Excelsior. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : NAC Breda or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-06
Time: 19:00
Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for NAC Breda vs Excelsior Friday, Feb 6th, 2026 at 13:00 Football
AI Value Bets
4 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for NAC Breda vs Excelsior Football 6 Feb, 2026 13:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Suppression
NAC Breda rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
-
Clinical Finishing
Excelsior convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — deadly in front of goal with ruthless finishing
Comprehensive betting trends for NAC Breda vs Excelsior, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Excelsior @ 4.25 ⚠️ 
NAC Breda
- Relegation BattleLeague90%NAC Breda are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%NAC Breda have not won in 14 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Excelsior confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.70 ⚠️ 
Excelsior(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Excelsior score (1.14/match) and concede (2.43/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 62%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.02 ⚠️ 
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Excelsior Win or Draw @ 1.94 ⚠️
NAC Breda
- Relegation BattleLeague90%NAC Breda are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%NAC Breda have not won in 14 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Excelsior confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Excelsior Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.10 ⚠️
Excelsior
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
Excelsior's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.05 ⚠️
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 4.3 (-16% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/781%Excelsior average 4.3 corners/match in away matches (-16% below league avg 5.1)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.05
+5 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Excelsior is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Excelsior is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: NAC Breda is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Excelsior is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: NAC Breda is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 NAC Breda
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Excelsior
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 NAC Breda - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 NAC Breda - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Excelsior often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Excelsior scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Excelsior is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider Excelsior to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NAC Breda shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NAC Breda winning the second half
- Overall Result: NAC Breda has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider NAC Breda handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.177
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.032
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.002 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (NAC Breda):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
NAC Breda vs Excelsior Head-to-head statistics for Fri 6 Feb, 2026 @ 13:00 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : NAC Breda or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
NAC Breda
VS
Excelsior
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
1 (1)
xG
1.70
1.00
Shots
22 (22)
5 (5)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
2 (2)
Corners
6 (6)
1 (1)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
0 (0)
xGa
1.00
1.70
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
4 (4)
Fouls
12 (12)
21 (21)
Offsides
0 (0)
1 (1)
Last 6 Matches
NAC Breda
VS
Excelsior
0/6 (0%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.50
PPG
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
50%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.97
Avg xG
1.29
NAC Breda vs Excelsior: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for NAC Breda and away matches for Excelsior
Number of goals
NAC Breda
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
1X2
NAC Breda
Excelsior
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
60%
6
30%
3
Double Chance
NAC Breda
Excelsior
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
40%
4
70%
7
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
NAC Breda
Excelsior
0-1
60%
6
20%
2
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
NAC Breda
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
NAC Breda
Excelsior
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
30%
3
xG(xGa)
NAC Breda
Excelsior
xG
0.96
1.35
xGa
1.24
1.87
Number of goals
NAC Breda
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
NAC Breda
Excelsior
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
NAC Breda
Excelsior
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
NAC Breda
Excelsior
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Number of goals
NAC Breda
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
NAC Breda
Excelsior
1
10%
1
10%
1
X
60%
6
60%
6
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
NAC Breda
Excelsior
12
40%
4
40%
4
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
90%
9
90%
9
Total Goals
NAC Breda
Excelsior
0-1
80%
8
40%
4
2-3
10%
1
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda
Excelsior
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
1.75
xG
1.31
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1
No Posts Found