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Form
Form
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 • Matchweek 23
Preview
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
13th place
Form
VS
16:30
28 Feb 2026
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
9th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or Korona Kielce
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 28 February, 2026 10:30

Winner (1x2)2.70
Korona Kielce to Win
Probability 47%
Total Goals1.95
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Both Teams to Score1.72
Yes
Probability 62%
Motor Lublin Total1.57
Home Under 1.5
Probability 71%
Korona Kielce Total1.57
Away Under 1.5
Probability 54%
Double Chance1.52
Draw/Korona Kielce
Probability 75%
Asian Handicap1.21
Korona Kielce +1
Probability 84%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Draw or Korona Kielce
Odds 1.52
Win Prob. 75.3% EV: +14.5%
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Prediction League
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
16:30
Motor Lublin W 25%
:
Korona Kielce W 47%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Motor Lublin
d w l l w
11 Played
3 Wins
6 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (16 total)
xG
0.00 (0.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (138 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (30% acc)
Corners
5.5 (60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.5 (148 total)
Offsides
2.7 (30 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (14 total)
xG
0.30 (3.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.1 (122 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (38% acc)
Corners
5.3 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.7 (151 total)
Offsides
1.7 (19 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
9 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (30 total)
xG
0.20 (4.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (260 total)
Shots on Target
4 (33% acc)
Corners
5.4 (118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.6 (299 total)
Offsides
2.2 (49 total)
Korona Kielce
d w l w l
11 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (14 total)
xG
0.20 (2.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.7 (162 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (28% acc)
Corners
5.8 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.4 (136 total)
Offsides
1.7 (19 total)
11 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (13 total)
xG
0.20 (2.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (148 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (24% acc)
Corners
3.8 (42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12 (132 total)
Offsides
1.6 (18 total)
22 Played
8 Wins
6 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (27 total)
xG
0.20 (4.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (310 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (26% acc)
Corners
4.8 (106 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.2 (268 total)
Offsides
1.7 (37 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.12 vs 1.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.88%
0:1
11.29%
0:2
8.1%
0:3
3.87%
0:4
1.39%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
6.62%
1:1
11.67%
🔥
1:2
9.93%
1:3
5.49%
1:4
2.24%
1:5
0.72%
2
2:0
2.78%
2:1
5.82%
2:2
5.78%
2:3
3.68%
2:4
1.7%
2:5
0.61%
3
3:0
0.78%
3:1
1.88%
3:2
2.16%
3:3
1.56%
3:4
0.81%
3:5
0.33%
4
4:0
0.16%
4:1
0.45%
4:2
0.58%
4:3
0.48%
4:4
0.28%
4:5
0.13%
5
5:0
0.03%
5:1
0.08%
5:2
0.12%
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.9%
0
17.9%
1
22.5%
2
20.4%
3
14.7%
4
8.9%
5
4.6%
6
2.0%
7
0.7%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Motor LublinHDPKorona Kielce
2.1%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2.5
9.1%
@ 10.50Very Low
5.1%
Very Low@ 8.70
-2
16.5%
@ 9.50Very Low
8.2%
Very Low@ 4.80
-1.5
23.8%
@ 5.75Low
16.2%
Very Low@ 4.16
-1
36.3%
@ 4.86Low
24.2%
Low@ 2.50
-0.5
48.7%
@ 2.78Medium
51.3%
Medium@ 1.50
+0.5
75.9%
@ 1.55High
63.7%
High@ 1.19
+1
83.8%
@ 1.24Very High
76.2%
High@ 1.14
+1.5
91.8%
@ 1.18Very High
83.5%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
94.9%
@ 1.01Very High
90.9%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
97.9%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

Motor LublinOutcomeKorona Kielce
29.5%
Low@ 2.41
Over 1.5
45.8%
@ 2.50Medium
70.5%
High@ 1.59
Under 1.5
54.2%
@ 1.53Medium
9.9%
Very Low@ 5.50
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 6.00Low
90.1%
Very High@ 1.15
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.14High
In this exciting Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 matchup, Motor Lublin will take on Korona Kielce as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ekstraklasa. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-28 at 2026-02-28 in the famous Motor Lublin Arena. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Motor Lublin, and the visiting side, Korona Kielce. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Korona Kielce. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-28 Time: 16:30 Location: Motor Lublin Arena Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce Saturday, Feb 28th, 2026 at 10:30 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 75.3%
EV: +15.3%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 75.3%
EV: +14.5%
Stake: $4.81
1.52
Premium Tip Motor Lublin Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Home Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 70.5%
EV: +10.7%
Stake: $4.39
1.57
Asian Handicap Korona Kielce +1.5
Value
Prob: 91.8%
EV: +8.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 61.7%
EV: +6.2%
Stake: $3.47
1.72
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 61.7%
EV: +6.2%
Stake: $3.47
1.72
Win To Nil Home No
Value
Prob: 89.7%
EV: +5.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
Win to Nil Motor Lublin NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 89.1%
EV: +4.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
Asian Handicap Korona Kielce +1
Value
Prob: 83.8%
EV: +4.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.24
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-25 02:15:39
spinner

Trends for Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce Football 28 Feb, 2026 10:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Motor Lublin is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Motor Lublin is stronger in the first half (15 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Motor Lublin

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Korona Kielce

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Motor Lublin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Korona Kielce - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Motor Lublin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Korona Kielce - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Motor Lublin often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 1)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Motor Lublin scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Motor Lublin is stronger in the first half (15 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Motor Lublin to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Korona Kielce has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Korona Kielce handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.249
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.119
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Motor Lublin):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Korona Kielce):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce Head-to-head statistics for Sat 28 Feb, 2026 @ 10:30 Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Lechia Gdansk
w w d w l
>
22
9
5
8
44
43
1
32
9
Korona Kielce
d w l w l
>
22
8
6
8
27
24
3
30
10
Radomiak Radom
w d d l d
>
21
7
7
7
36
33
3
28

12
GKS Katowice
l w w d l
>
21
8
3
10
28
31
-3
27
13
Motor Lublin
d w l l w
>
22
6
9
7
30
37
-7
27
14
Piast Gliwice
l w w l l
>
22
7
5
10
23
26
-3
26
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Korona Kielce
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Motor Lublin
VS
Korona Kielce
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
2 (2)
Shots
13 (13)
17 (17)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
8 (8)
Corners
6 (6)
5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
0 (0)
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
5 (5)
4 (4)
Fouls
13 (13)
15 (15)
Offsides
1 (1)
1 (1)
23 Aug
- 15:30
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Motor Lublin
VS
Korona Kielce
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
83% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
- Avg xG -
Motor Lublin
D W L L W
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
20 Feb 2026 - 17:00
Piast Gliwice
1 2
Motor Lublin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 11:15
Motor Lublin
2 3
Lechia Gdansk
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Jagiellonia
4 1
Motor Lublin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 11:15
Motor Lublin
2 1
Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Motor Lublin
1 1
Jagiellonia
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 11:15
Arka Gdynia
1 0
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
D W L W L
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
22 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Korona Kielce
1 2
Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
13 Feb 2026 - 17:00
Radomiak Radom
0 2
Korona Kielce
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
6 Feb 2026 - 17:00
Korona Kielce
1 2
Zaglebie Lubin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Legia Warszawa
1 2
Korona Kielce
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
8 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Korona Kielce
1 1
Wisla Plock
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 16:30
Korona Kielce
0 1
Cracovia Krakow

Motor Lublin vs Korona Kielce: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Motor Lublin and away matches for Korona Kielce

Number of goals
Motor Lublin
Under
Over
Korona Kielce
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Yes
90% 9
60% 6
No
10% 1
40% 4
1X2
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Motor Lublin
Under
Over
Korona Kielce
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
xG
0.61
0.34
xGa
2.37
1.94
Number of goals
Motor Lublin
Under
Over
Korona Kielce
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Yes
60% 6
10% 1
No
40% 4
90% 9
1X2
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
Number of goals
Motor Lublin
Under
Over
Korona Kielce
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
0.92 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 10
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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