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Motherwell vs ST Mirren: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 9:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.53 vs 0.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.93%
0:1
2.95%
0:2
1.11%
0:3
0.28%
0:4
0.05%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
9.59%
1:1
7.56%
1:2
2.97%
1:3
0.78%
1:4
0.15%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
11.71%
🔥
⭐
2:1
9.65%
2:2
3.97%
2:3
1.08%
2:4
0.22%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
9.53%
⭐
3:1
8.21%
⭐
3:2
3.52%
⭐
3:3
1%
3:4
0.21%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
5.81%
⭐
4:1
5.22%
⭐
4:2
2.33%
⭐
4:3
0.69%
⭐
4:4
0.15%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
2.84%
⭐
5:1
2.66%
⭐
5:2
1.23%
⭐
5:3
0.38%
⭐
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
2:0 (11.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
2.80
xG
0.56
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Motherwell
VS
ST Mirren
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
0.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
0%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
In this exciting Scottish Premiership 2025-2026 matchup, Motherwell will take on ST Mirren as part of the 2025-2026 season in Scottish Premiership. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-03 at 2026-01-03 in the famous Fir Park.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Motherwell, and the visiting side, ST Mirren. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Motherwell or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-03
Time: 15:00
Location: Fir Park
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Motherwell vs ST Mirren Saturday, Jan 3rd, 2026 at 9:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Motherwell vs ST Mirren Football 3 Jan, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Motherwell have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Motherwell vs ST Mirren, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Motherwell @ 1.96 ✅ 
Motherwell
- UnbeatenH2H6/786%Motherwell are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
- Above League AverageLeague9/970.5%Motherwell score 1.56 goals/match at home (+21% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Motherwell concede only 0.56 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Motherwell are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
ST Mirren
- Not WinRecent12/1675%ST Mirren have not won in 12 of their last 16 Scottish Premiership matches
Motherwell dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.91 ⚠️ 
Motherwell(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/967%Motherwell score well (1.56/match) but have strong defense at home (0.56 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
ST Mirren(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%ST Mirren score (1.14/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 50%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✅ 
Motherwell(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/970.5%Motherwell score 1.56 goals/match at home (+21% above league average)
ST Mirren(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%ST Mirren scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Scottish Premiership matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Motherwell Win or Draw @ 1.25 ✅ 
Motherwell
- UnbeatenH2H6/786%Motherwell are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Motherwell concede only 0.56 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Motherwell are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
ST Mirren
- Not WinRecent12/1675%ST Mirren have not won in 12 of their last 16 Scottish Premiership matches
Motherwell demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Motherwell Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.10 ✅ 
Motherwell
- Above League AverageLeague9/970.5%Motherwell score 1.56 goals/match at home (+21% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent14/1878%Motherwell scored 1+ goals in 14 of their last 18 Scottish Premiership matches
Motherwell's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Motherwell(1 trends) — avg 1.5 (-24% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Motherwell average 1.3 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 2.1) — rank #2 lowest in league
ST Mirren(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%ST Mirren receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Scottish Premiership matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.7 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Motherwell disciplined play balances ST Mirren aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.74 ✅
Motherwell(2 trends) — avg 3.9 (-23% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Motherwell average 3.9 corners/match at home (-23% below league avg 5.0)
- Few CornersRecent12/1675%Motherwell win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 16 Scottish Premiership matches
ST Mirren(1 trends) — avg 6.7 (+33% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%ST Mirren average 6.7 corners/match in away matches (+33% above league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 10.6 corners/match (Motherwell 3.9 + ST Mirren 6.7) • ST Mirren dominance pushes total over threshold
+8 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Motherwell vs ST Mirren
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: ST Mirren is stronger in the first half (6 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Motherwell
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.06
✈️ ST Mirren
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Motherwell - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ ST Mirren - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Motherwell - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
✈️ ST Mirren - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: ST Mirren is stronger in the first half (6 vs 2)
- First Half Result: Consider ST Mirren to win the first half
- Overall Result: Motherwell has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Motherwell handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.036
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.008
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Motherwell):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (ST Mirren):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Scottish Premiership
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Motherwell and away matches for ST Mirren
Number of goals
Motherwell
Under
Over
ST Mirren
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Motherwell
ST Mirren
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Motherwell
ST Mirren
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Motherwell
ST Mirren
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Total Corners
Motherwell
Under
Over
ST Mirren
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Motherwell
ST Mirren
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
40%
4
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Number of goals
Motherwell
Under
Over
ST Mirren
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Motherwell
ST Mirren
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
60%
6
70%
7
2
0%
0
20%
2
Double Chance
Motherwell
ST Mirren
12
40%
4
30%
3
1X
100%
10
80%
8
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Motherwell
ST Mirren
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Yes
100%
10
60%
6
No
0%
0
40%
4
Number of goals
Motherwell
Under
Over
ST Mirren
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Motherwell
ST Mirren
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Motherwell
ST Mirren
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Motherwell
ST Mirren
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Motherwell or draw
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.70%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 71.91% | High | 2.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 28.09% | Low | 1.78 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 20.60% | Low | 3.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 79.40% | High | 1.32 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 46.42% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 53.58% | Medium | 1.22 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 5.35% | Low | 11.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.65% | High | 1.06 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Played:
7
Wins
2
2
Draws
4
4
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
6
0.9
Goals
0.7
5
5
0.7
Goals Conceded
0.9
6
13
1.9
Yellow Cards
3.3
23
1
0.1
Red Cards
0.4
3
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.4
3
31
4.4
Corners
5.7
40
64
9.1
Fouls
14.4
101
7
1
Offsides
0.9
6
75
10.7
Shots
11.9
83
28
4
Shots on Goal
4.7
33
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 6 | 9 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 14 | 1.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 5 | 1.1 | 11 | 0.8 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 1 | 9 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.3 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.7 | 6 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.5 | 9 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 31 | 3.3 | 33 | 3.4 | 64 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 98 | 12 | 120 | 11.5 | 218 |
| Offsides | 2.6 | 23 | 2.3 | 23 | 2.4 | 46 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 120 | 10.3 | 103 | 11.7 | 223 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 45 | 3.2 | 32 | 4.1 | 77 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 7 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.7 | 7 | 1.1 | 8 | 0.9 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.4 | 24 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 5 | 0 | 0.3 | 5 | |
| Corners | 5.7 | 57 | 6.7 | 47 | 6.1 | 104 |
| Fouls | 12 | 120 | 12.3 | 86 | 12.1 | 206 |
| Offsides | 2 | 20 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.9 | 32 |
| Shots | 12.1 | 121 | 12.3 | 86 | 12.2 | 207 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 39 | 2.9 | 20 | 3.5 | 59 |
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