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Motherwell
Motherwell
3rd place
- : -
6 Dec 2025 15:00
Livingston
Livingston
12th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Motherwell vs Livingston: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 15:00

1×2 Prediction
Motherwell
76%16%8%
MotherwellDrawLivingston
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
59%41%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
57%43%
NoYes
Team Total - Motherwell
Over 1.5
69%31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Team Total - Livingston
Under 1.5
85%15%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Motherwell/Draw
92%8%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Motherwell -1.5
61%39%
Home -1.5NOT Home -1.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Motherwell Over 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.85
68.8%
EV: +27.3%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Match Winner Motherwell to Win
Odds: 1.75
75.5%
EV: +32.1%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.65 vs 0.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.6%
0:1
2.22%
0:2
0.54%
0:3
0.09%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
11.84%
1:1
6.07%
1:2
1.55%
1:3
0.26%
1:4
0.03%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
15.23%
🔥
2:1
8.27%
2:2
2.23%
2:3
0.4%
2:4
0.05%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
13.06%
3:1
7.48%
3:2
2.13%
3:3
0.4%
3:4
0.06%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
8.4%
4:1
5.07%
4:2
1.51%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
4.32%
5:1
2.74%
5:2
0.86%
5:3
0.18%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 2:0 (15.2%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.6%
0
14.1%
1
21.8%
2
23.0%
3
18.4%
4
11.9%
5
4.7%
6
1.2%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Motherwell
vs
Livingston
Dec 6, 15:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Premiership

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Last 6 Matches
Motherwell
VS
Livingston
3/6 (50%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
2.00 PPG 0.33
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
33% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
- Avg xG -
Motherwell
D W W D D
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Falkirk
0 0
Motherwell
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Motherwell
0 0
Heart Of Midlothian
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
25 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Motherwell
2 0
Hibernian
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Kilmarnock
1 3
Motherwell
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Aberdeen
1 1
Motherwell
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
29 Oct 2025 - 19:45
Motherwell
2 0
Dundee Utd
Livingston
L D D L L
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Livingston
0 1
Aberdeen
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Rangers
2 1
Livingston
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Falkirk
1 1
Livingston
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
1 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Livingston
2 2
Hibernian
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Livingston
1 2
Motherwell
Scottish Premiership 2025-2026
18 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Hibernian
4 0
Livingston
82% Draw 5%
59% Over 2.5 41%
43% Both Teams Score 57%
2.66 xPTS 0.34
2.65 xG [Total: 3.21] 0.56
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 3
4 Corners [Total: 8] 4
3 Offsides [Total: 4] 1
11 Fouls [Total: 25] 13
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 4
In this exciting Scottish Premiership 2025-2026 matchup, Motherwell will take on Livingston as part of the 2025-2026 season in Scottish Premiership. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Fir Park. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Motherwell, and the visiting side, Livingston. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Motherwell or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 15:00 Location: Fir Park Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Motherwell vs Livingston Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 15:00 Football

Value Bets

10 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Asian Handicap Motherwell -1.5
Odds: 3.00
61%
EV: +83.0% Kelly: $20.76
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High Value
Asian Handicap Motherwell -1
Odds: 2.35
71.7%
EV: +68.5% Kelly: $25.37
Bet Now
High Value
Win to Nil Motherwell Win to Nil
Odds: 3.06
52.8%
EV: +61.4% Kelly: $14.91
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Safe Tip High Value
Match Winner Motherwell
Odds: 1.75
75.5%
EV: +32.1% Kelly: $21.43
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Best Tip High Value
Home Total Motherwell Over 1.5
Odds: 1.85
68.8%
EV: +27.3% Kelly: $16.08
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High Value
Correct Score 2:0
Odds: 8.50
14.4%
EV: +22.7% Kelly: $1.51
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Value
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Odds: 1.91
59%
EV: +12.7% Kelly: $6.98
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Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.22
91.6%
EV: +11.8% Kelly: $26.82
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 06:15:43
spinner

Trends for Motherwell vs Livingston Football 6 Dec, 2025 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📊
    League Position Mismatch

    Motherwell in top 3 vs Livingston in relegation zone — significant quality gap

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Motherwell have league's best defense — hard to break down

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Motherwell vs Livingston

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Livingston is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 0).
⏰ First Half: Livingston is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Motherwell

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Livingston

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.28
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Motherwell - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Livingston - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Motherwell - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Livingston - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Livingston often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 0)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Livingston scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Livingston is stronger in the first half (13 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Livingston to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Motherwell has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Motherwell handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.118
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.078
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Motherwell):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Livingston):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Motherwell
Livingston

Motherwell vs Livingston Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 15:00 Scottish Premiership

Motherwell vs Livingston: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Motherwell and away matches for Livingston

Number of goals

Number of goals
Motherwell
Under
Over
Livingston
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Motherwell
Livingston
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Motherwell
Livingston
1
50% 5
0% 0
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
20% 2
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Motherwell
Livingston
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
50% 5
100% 10

Total Goals

Total Goals
Motherwell
Livingston
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
20% 2
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
Motherwell
Under
Over
Livingston
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Motherwell
Livingston
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Motherwell
Livingston
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Motherwell
Livingston
xG
0
2.69
xGa
0
0.78

Number of goals

Number of goals
Motherwell
Under
Over
Livingston
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Motherwell
Livingston
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Motherwell
Livingston
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
10% 1
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Motherwell
Livingston
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
60% 6
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Motherwell
Livingston
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Motherwell
Livingston
Yes
80% 8
40% 4
No
20% 2
60% 6

Number of goals

Number of goals
Motherwell
Under
Over
Livingston
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Motherwell
Livingston
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Motherwell
Livingston
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
20% 2
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
Motherwell
Livingston
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Motherwell
Livingston
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Motherwell
Livingston
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
Motherwell Over 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
37.9%
Low
5.90
0.1%
Low
N/A
-2
49.4%
Low
5.00
0.5%
Low
N/A
-1.5
61.0%
Medium
3.00
0.9%
Low
9.70
-1
71.7%
High
2.35
3.0%
Low
8.60
-0.5
82.4%
High
1.75
5.0%
Low
4.50
+0.5
95.0%
High
1.19
17.6%
Low
2.16
+1
97.0%
High
1.04
28.3%
Low
1.65
+1.5
99.0%
High
1.04
39.0%
Low
1.42
+2
99.4%
High
N/A
50.5%
Medium
1.22
+2.5
99.9%
High
N/A
62.1%
Medium
1.13
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.90%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.574.21%High1.86
Under 1.525.79%Low2.06
AwayOver 1.510.89%Low3.75
Under 1.589.11%High1.29
HomeOver 2.549.40%Low3.55
Under 2.550.60%Medium1.30
AwayOver 2.51.93%Low11.00
Under 2.598.07%High1.06
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
25 Oct
- 14:00
Livingston
Motherwell
1
2
28 Feb
- 20:00
Livingston
Motherwell
1
3
30 Dec
- 15:00
Motherwell
Livingston
3
1
7 Oct
- 14:00
Livingston
Motherwell
2
0
club logo
Motherwell
Livingston
Played: 4
Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
1
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
8
2
Goals
1.3
5
5
1.3
Goals Conceded
2
8
10
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.8
7
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
16
4
Corners
1.8
7
46
11.5
Fouls
14
56
10
2.5
Offsides
2
8
41
10.3
Shots
11.5
46
13
3.3
Shots on Goal
3
12
Home Away All
Played 7 8 15
Wins 3 2 5
Draws 3 5 8
Losses 1 1 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.4 10 1.5 12 1.5 22
Goals Conceded 0.7 5 1.3 10 1 15
Yellow Cards 1 7 1.5 12 1.3 19
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.6 4 0.3 2 0.4 6
Corners 3.7 26 3.5 28 3.6 54
Fouls 11 77 12 96 11.5 173
Offsides 2.7 19 2.1 17 2.4 36
Shots 13.1 92 9.9 79 11.4 171
Shots on Goal 4.6 32 3 24 3.7 56
Home Away All
Played 6 8 14
Wins 1 0 1
Draws 1 4 5
Losses 4 4 8
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 8 0.9 7 1.1 15
Goals Conceded 1.7 10 2 16 1.9 26
Yellow Cards 3.3 20 2.3 18 2.7 38
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Corners 4.3 26 4.4 35 4.4 61
Fouls 17 102 12.4 99 14.4 201
Offsides 2.2 13 0.9 7 1.4 20
Shots 10 60 8.8 70 9.3 130
Shots on Goal 3.7 22 3.6 29 3.6 51
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