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Moreirense vs Tondela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 11 January, 2026 12:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
6
5
4
18
10
8
23
7
▲
6
3
6
21
24
-3
21
8
▼
6
3
6
16
21
-5
21
16
▼
3
4
8
15
37
-22
13
17
2
3
10
9
27
-18
9
18
0
4
11
11
39
-28
4
1.82
xG
1.21
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
4
Last 6 Matches
Moreirense
VS
Tondela
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.00
PPG
0.67
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.05
Avg xG
1.50
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Moreirense will take on Tondela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2026-01-11 at 2026-01-11 in the famous Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Moreirense, and the visiting side, Tondela. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-11
Time: 18:00
Location: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Moreirense vs Tondela Sunday, Jan 11th, 2026 at 12:00 Football
No prediction data available for this match.
Trends for Moreirense vs Tondela Football 11 Jan, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Tondela struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Moreirense vs Tondela, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Moreirense @ 2.43 ⚠️ 
Moreirense
- Above League AverageLeague7/774.5%Moreirense score 1.71 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
Tondela
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Moreirense confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.95 ⚠️ 
Moreirense(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Moreirense score (1.71/match) and concede (1.57/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Tondela(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.68 ⚠️
Moreirense(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/774.5%Moreirense score 1.71 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
Tondela(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Tondela struggle to score in away matches (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Tondela scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Moreirense Win or Draw @ 1.38 ⚠️
Moreirense
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1580%Moreirense are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Tondela
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Tondela are currently 17th in the table (2nd from bottom)
Moreirense confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Moreirense Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.63 ⚠️ 
Moreirense
- Above League AverageLeague7/774.5%Moreirense score 1.71 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
Moreirense's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Moreirense(1 trends) — avg 2.7
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Tondela(1 trends) — avg 2.9 (+8% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Tondela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🎯 Betting Analysis
Moreirense vs Tondela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Moreirense is stronger in the first 15 minutes (3 vs 0).
🔄 Second Half: Moreirense is stronger in the second half (18 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Moreirense is stronger in the second half (18 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Moreirense
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Tondela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
15
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Moreirense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Tondela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.47
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Moreirense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Tondela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Moreirense often scores in the first 15 minutes (3 vs 0)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Moreirense scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Moreirense shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Moreirense winning the second half
- Overall Result: Moreirense has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Moreirense handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.125
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.059
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.012 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.085 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Moreirense):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tondela):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Moreirense vs Tondela Head-to-head statistics for Sun 11 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga
Moreirense vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Moreirense and away matches for Tondela
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Tondela
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
Moreirense
Tondela
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Moreirense
Tondela
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Moreirense
Tondela
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Moreirense
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Tondela
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Moreirense
Tondela
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Moreirense
Tondela
xG
0.97
1.19
xGa
1.77
1.53
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Tondela
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Moreirense
Tondela
1
10%
1
10%
1
X
60%
6
70%
7
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Moreirense
Tondela
12
40%
4
30%
3
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
90%
9
90%
9
Total Goals
Moreirense
Tondela
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Tondela
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Tondela
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Moreirense
Tondela
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
Moreirense
Tondela
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Moreirense
Tondela
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Tondela
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Moreirense
Tondela
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 12 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.4 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 11 | 1.6 | 13 | 1.6 | 24 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.1 | 22 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.7 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 33 | 3.5 | 28 | 4.1 | 61 |
| Fouls | 14.7 | 103 | 15 | 120 | 14.9 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 8 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.3 | 19 |
| Shots | 10.7 | 75 | 8.6 | 69 | 9.6 | 144 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 28 | 3.1 | 25 | 3.5 | 53 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.6 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 1.8 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 15 | 3.4 | 27 | 2.8 | 42 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Corners | 3 | 21 | 4.6 | 37 | 3.9 | 58 |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 85 | 15.5 | 124 | 13.9 | 209 |
| Offsides | 3 | 21 | 2.4 | 19 | 2.7 | 40 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 86 | 10.8 | 86 | 11.5 | 172 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.7 | 26 | 3.6 | 29 | 3.7 | 55 |
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