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Moreirense
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1
Nacional
Moreirense vs Estrela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 3 May, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
12
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(16 total)
xG
0.70
(8.7 total)
Shots per Match
8.4
(101 total)
Shots on Target
3
(36% acc)
Corners
4.2
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13.5
(162 total)
Offsides
0.8
(10 total)
13
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(15 total)
xG
1.20
(15.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.1
(118 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(40% acc)
Corners
3.5
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.2
(184 total)
Offsides
1.6
(21 total)
25
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(31 total)
xG
1.00
(23.8 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(219 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(38% acc)
Corners
3.8
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
13.8
(346 total)
Offsides
1.2
(31 total)
13
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(16 total)
xG
1.40
(18.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(168 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(29% acc)
Corners
3.7
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
13.3
(173 total)
Offsides
2.1
(27 total)
12
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(12 total)
xG
0.80
(9.2 total)
Shots per Match
7.7
(92 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(43% acc)
Corners
2.8
(33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14.9
(179 total)
Offsides
1.6
(19 total)
25
Played
5
Wins
10
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(28 total)
xG
1.10
(27.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(260 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
3.2
(81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
14.1
(352 total)
Offsides
1.8
(46 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Moreirense will take on Estrela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 32 and will take place on 2026-05-03 at 2026-05-03 in the famous Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Moreirense, and the visiting side, Estrela. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-03
Time: 16:00
Location: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Moreirense vs Estrela Football 3 May, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Moreirense vs Estrela.
🏆 Match Winner
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Unlock Streak TrendsMoreirense1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Moreirense score 1.71 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 774.5%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela2 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Estrela are unbeaten in their last 4 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score
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Unlock Streak TrendsMoreirense1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Moreirense score (1.71/match) and concede (1.57/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsMoreirense1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Moreirense score 1.71 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 774.5%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance
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Unlock Streak TrendsMoreirense1 TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Moreirense are undefeated at half time in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela2 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Estrela are unbeaten in their last 4 5 matches
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+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsMoreirense2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Moreirense score 1.71 goals/match at home (+29% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 774.5%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Moreirense scored 1+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMoreirense2 Trends — avg 2.8 (+5% above league)Many CardsH2H
Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela2 Trends — avg 2.8 (+5% above league)Many CardsH2H
Estrela receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 5100%
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Estrela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 6.2 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela2 Trends — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)Few CornersH2H
Estrela win 4 or fewer corners in 4 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew CornersLeague
Estrela average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 783%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches -
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Moreirense vs Estrela
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Moreirense
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Estrela
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Moreirense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Moreirense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Estrela is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Estrela to win the first half
- Overall Result: Moreirense has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Moreirense handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.18
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Moreirense):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Moreirense vs Estrela Head-to-head statistics for Sun 3 May, 2026 @ 11:00 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
11
6
8
30
21
9
39
7
10
5
10
31
35
-4
35
8
9
7
9
46
42
4
34
11
7
5
13
32
53
-21
26
12
5
10
10
28
43
-15
25
13
5
9
11
26
44
-18
24
Moreirense
VS
Estrela
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (5)
1 (5)
xG
0.80
0.80
Shots
12.4 (62)
8.6 (43)
Shots on Target
3.2 (16)
2.6 (13)
Corners
5 (25)
2.8 (14)
Defense
Conceded
1 (5)
1 (5)
xGa
0.80
0.80
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (15)
2.8 (14)
Red Cards
0.2 (1)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
17.6 (88)
18.2 (91)
Offsides
1.2 (6)
2.4 (12)
Last 6 Matches
Moreirense
VS
Estrela
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.83
PPG
1.00
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.66
Avg xG
0.94
Moreirense vs Estrela: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Moreirense and away matches for Estrela
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Estrela
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Moreirense
Estrela
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Moreirense
Estrela
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Moreirense
Estrela
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
70%
7
30%
3
4+
0%
0
50%
5
Total Corners
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Estrela
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Moreirense
Estrela
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Moreirense
Estrela
xG
0.78
0.78
xGa
1.23
1.78
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Estrela
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Moreirense
Estrela
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Moreirense
Estrela
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Moreirense
Estrela
0-1
90%
9
80%
8
2-3
10%
1
10%
1
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Estrela
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
Estrela
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
Estrela
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Moreirense
Estrela
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Moreirense
Estrela
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Moreirense
Estrela
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
Estrela
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1.05
xG
0.97
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
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