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Moreirense vs Benfica: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 13:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
Moreirense
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Moreirense vs Benfica Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 13:00 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Moreirense vs Benfica Football 14 Dec, 2025 13:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🧱
Defensive Fortress
Benfica have league's best defense — hard to break down
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⚡
Second Half Surge
Moreirense score in 2nd half 83% of matches — expect late goals
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Moreirense vs Benfica, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Moreirense(5 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/4100%Moreirense have not won in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Benfica
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Moreirense score 2.00 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent14/1688%Moreirense efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 14 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1681%Moreirense are unbeaten in 13 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent24/3080%Moreirense efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 24 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
Benfica(13 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/4100%Benfica are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches vs Moreirense
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/475%Benfica efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Moreirense
- Good Goal RatioH2H3/475%Benfica have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Moreirense
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Benfica score 1.83 goals/match in away matches (+37% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Benfica concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Benfica are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/665%Benfica rank 3 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.83 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Benfica have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Benfica have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- UnbeatenRecent14/1593%Benfica are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent14/1593%Benfica efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 14 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- UnbeatenRecent27/3090%Benfica are unbeaten in their last 27 30 matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent25/3083%Benfica efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Moreirense(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/683%Moreirense score (2.00/match) and concede (1.17/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 83% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Benfica(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/667%Benfica score well (1.83/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.33 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Moreirense(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Moreirense score 2.00 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
Benfica(5 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H3/475%Benfica have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Moreirense
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Benfica score 1.83 goals/match in away matches (+37% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/665%Benfica rank 3 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.83 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Benfica have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent30/30100%Benfica have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Moreirense(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/4100%Moreirense have not won in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Benfica
- Undefeated at HTRecent15/1694%Moreirense are undefeated at half time in 15 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent26/3087%Moreirense are undefeated at half time in 26 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
- UnbeatenRecent13/1681%Moreirense are unbeaten in 13 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
Benfica(6 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H4/4100%Benfica are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches vs Moreirense
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/4100%Benfica are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches vs Moreirense
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Benfica concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Benfica are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- UnbeatenRecent14/1593%Benfica are unbeaten in their last 14 15 matches
- UnbeatenRecent27/3090%Benfica are unbeaten in their last 27 30 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Moreirense(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Moreirense score 2.00 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
Benfica(8 trends)
- Defensive SolidarityH2H4/4100%Benfica rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Moreirense
- Scored 1+H2H3/475%Benfica scored 1+ goals in their last 3 4 matches vs Moreirense
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H3/475%Benfica conceded under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Moreirense
- Above League AverageLeague6/675%Benfica score 1.83 goals/match in away matches (+37% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague6/670%Benfica concede only 0.33 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- League Top ScorerLeague6/665%Benfica rank 3 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.83 goals/match vs league avg 2.68)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Benfica rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Primeira Liga (Away) matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent30/30100%Benfica rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 30 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Moreirense(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1286%Moreirense average 3.1 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.7) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent14/1688%Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 14 of their last 16 Primeira Liga (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Primeira Liga matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Moreirense(1 trends) — avg 4.3 (-15% below league)
- Few CornersRecent21/2875%Moreirense win 4 or fewer corners in 21 of their last 28 Primeira Liga matches
Benfica(1 trends) — avg 6.7 (+32% above league)
- Many CornersH2H4/4100%Benfica win 6+ corners in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches vs Moreirense
+19 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Moreirense vs Benfica
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Moreirense is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Moreirense
✈️ Benfica
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Moreirense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Benfica - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Moreirense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Benfica - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Moreirense shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Moreirense winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Moreirense excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Moreirense scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Benfica has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Benfica handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Moreirense):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Benfica):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Moreirense vs Benfica Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 13:00 Primeira Liga
Moreirense vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Moreirense and away matches for Benfica
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0.4% Low N/A | 10.5% Low N/A |
| -2 | 1.6% Low N/A | 19.3% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 2.8% Low N/A | 28.1% Low N/A |
| -1 | 8.3% Low N/A | 42.8% Low N/A |
| -0.5 | 13.7% Low N/A | 57.4% Medium N/A |
| +0.5 | 42.5% Low N/A | 86.3% High N/A |
| +1 | 57.2% Medium N/A | 91.7% High N/A |
| +1.5 | 71.9% High N/A | 97.2% High N/A |
| +2 | 80.7% High N/A | 98.4% High N/A |
| +2.5 | 89.5% High N/A | 99.6% High N/A |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.95%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 19.48% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 80.52% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 48.79% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 51.21% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 4.89% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 95.11% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 22.70% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 77.30% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
0
2
2
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 7 | 1.7 | 10 | 1.4 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 3.3 | 20 | 2.5 | 15 | 2.9 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 2.7 | 16 | 3.8 | 45 |
| Fouls | 14.2 | 85 | 14.7 | 88 | 14.4 | 173 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 8 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.3 | 15 |
| Shots | 10.8 | 65 | 7.5 | 45 | 9.2 | 110 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 26 | 2.2 | 13 | 3.3 | 39 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 14 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.1 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 5 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.8 | 17 | 2.7 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.5 | 6 |
| Corners | 7 | 42 | 4.5 | 27 | 5.8 | 69 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 69 | 12.7 | 76 | 12.1 | 145 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 14 | 0.8 | 5 | 1.6 | 19 |
| Shots | 16.8 | 101 | 15.7 | 94 | 16.3 | 195 |
| Shots on Goal | 7 | 42 | 4.8 | 29 | 5.9 | 71 |


Primeira Liga 2025-2026