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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Monaco
Monaco
21st place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
11th place
Form
AI Prediction +2.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 17 February, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)1.63
Paris Saint Germain to Win
Probability 59%
Total Goals1.55
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Both Teams to Score1.62
Yes
Probability 67%
Monaco Total1.40
Home Under 1.5
Probability 64%
Paris Saint Germain Total1.53
Away Over 1.5
Probability 69%
Double Chance1.18
Draw/Paris Saint Germain
Probability 82%
Asian Handicap1.21
Monaco +2.5
Probability 77%
Best Tip
Value
Goals Over/Under +2.5
Odds 1.55
Win Prob. 69.6% EV: +7.9%
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Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
14:00
Monaco W 18%
:
Paris Saint Germain W 59%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Monaco
d d w d w
16 Played
8 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (28 total)
xG
1.80 (28.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (214 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (36% acc)
Corners
5.3 (85 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
12.9 (206 total)
Offsides
2.2 (35 total)
14 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (15 total)
xG
1.20 (17.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (162 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
4.6 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.9 (181 total)
Offsides
1.7 (24 total)
30 Played
11 Wins
8 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (43 total)
xG
1.50 (46.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (376 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (34% acc)
Corners
5 (149 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
12.9 (387 total)
Offsides
2 (59 total)
Paris Saint Germain
w d w w l
14 Played
11 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (38 total)
xG
2.00 (28.6 total)
Shots per Match
20.1 (282 total)
Shots on Target
7.4 (37% acc)
Corners
6.1 (86 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.1 (128 total)
Offsides
1.4 (19 total)
16 Played
9 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (32 total)
xG
1.60 (26.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.9 (255 total)
Shots on Target
6 (38% acc)
Corners
5.9 (95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.3 (149 total)
Offsides
0.9 (14 total)
30 Played
20 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (70 total)
xG
1.80 (55.0 total)
Shots per Match
17.9 (537 total)
Shots on Target
6.7 (37% acc)
Corners
6 (181 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.2 (277 total)
Offsides
1.1 (33 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.34 vs 2.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.43%
0:1
5.93%
0:2
7.25%
0:3
5.9%
0:4
3.61%
0:5
1.76%
1
1:0
2.45%
1:1
6.8%
1:2
9.29%
🔥
1:3
8.37%
1:4
5.6%
1:5
2.98%
2
2:0
1.24%
2:1
3.85%
2:2
5.82%
2:3
5.77%
2:4
4.21%
2:5
2.43%
3
3:0
0.42%
3:1
1.43%
3:2
2.39%
3:3
2.59%
3:4
2.06%
3:5
1.28%
4
4:0
0.11%
4:1
0.4%
4:2
0.72%
4:3
0.85%
4:4
0.73%
4:5
0.49%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.17%
5:3
0.22%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.15%
Hotspot: 1:2 (9.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.4%
0
8.4%
1
15.3%
2
19.5%
3
19.3%
4
15.9%
5
10.6%
6
5.5%
7
2.2%
8
0.7%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MonacoHDPParis Saint Germain
1.7%
Very Low
-2.5
23.0%
@ 4.50Low
3.8%
Very Low
-2
32.5%
@ 3.73Low
5.9%
Very Low@ 12.50
-1.5
42.1%
@ 2.45Medium
11.2%
Very Low@ 11.50
-1
53.4%
@ 1.89Medium
16.5%
Very Low@ 5.25
-0.5
64.6%
@ 1.55High
35.4%
Low@ 2.60
+0.5
83.5%
@ 1.16Very High
46.6%
Medium@ 2.04
+1
88.8%
@ 1.04Very High
57.9%
Medium@ 1.65
+1.5
94.1%
@ 1.03Very High
67.5%
High@ 1.30
+2
96.2%
Very High
77.1%
High@ 1.21
+2.5
98.3%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

MonacoOutcomeParis Saint Germain
36.0%
Low@ 3.25
Over 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.52High
64.0%
High@ 1.37
Under 1.5
31.0%
@ 2.75Low
14.0%
Very Low@ 9.10
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.54Medium
86.0%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.54Medium
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Monaco will take on Paris Saint Germain as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-17 at 2026-02-17 in the famous . The referee for the game will be J. Manzano. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Monaco, and the visiting side, Paris Saint Germain. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-17 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain Tuesday, Feb 17th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 66.6%
EV: +7.9%
Stake: $4.03
1.62
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 69.6%
EV: +6.5%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Away Total Paris Saint Germain Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 69%
EV: +5.6%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Total Away Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 69%
EV: +5.6%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
Win to Nil Paris Saint Germain NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 75.8%
EV: +4.7%
Stake: $6.58
1.38
Win To Nil Away No
Value
Prob: 76.1%
EV: +3.6%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 18:15:41
spinner

Trends for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain Football 17 Feb, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 9 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Monaco keep clean sheets in 75% of home games — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Paris Saint Germain score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

+7 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 9 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Monaco

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Paris Saint Germain

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Monaco - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Paris Saint Germain - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Monaco - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Paris Saint Germain - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Paris Saint Germain is stronger in the first half (10 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Paris Saint Germain to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Paris Saint Germain has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Paris Saint Germain handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.057
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.007

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Monaco):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Monaco
Paris Saint Germain

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain Head-to-head statistics for Tue 17 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
29 Nov
- 16:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
0.52
xG
0.87
1
0
Prob 63%
Away Total Under 2.5
Odd 1.58
7 Feb
- 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
3.14
xG
1.00
4
1
18 Dec
- 20:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
2.48
xG
1.77
2
4
1 Mar
- 20:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
0
0
24 Nov
- 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
5
2
11 Feb
- 16:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3
1
28 Aug
- 18:45
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
1
1
20 Mar
- 12:00
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3
0
12 Dec
- 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Monaco
VS
Paris Saint Germain
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.50 PPG 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
33% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.11 Avg xG 2.33
Monaco
D D W D W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Monaco
3 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Nice
0 0
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 20:05
Monaco
4 0
Rennes
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Monaco
0 0
Juventus
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 18:00
LE Havre
0 0
Monaco
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Real Madrid
6 1
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Rennes
3 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Paris Saint Germain
5 0
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Strasbourg
1 2
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 1
Newcastle
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 19:00
Auxerre
0 1
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Sporting CP
2 1
Paris Saint Germain

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Monaco and away matches for Paris Saint Germain

Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
50% 5
20% 2
2-3
0% 0
50% 5
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Monaco
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
xG
1.37
1.98
xGa
1.22
0.9
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
70% 7
50% 5
2
10% 1
10% 1
Double Chance
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
12
30% 3
50% 5
1X
90% 9
90% 9
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Missing Players
Monaco
- Injured - Muscle Injury
3
d
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
13
d
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
10
m
- Injured - Calf Injury
22
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
15
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Paris Saint Germain
- Injured - Muscle Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
0.61 xG 2.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found