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Monaco
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3
Lyon
Monaco vs Lorient: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 16 January, 2026 12:00
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12
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(20 total)
xG
2.00
(23.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(163 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(32% acc)
Corners
5.1
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.3
(148 total)
Offsides
2.5
(30 total)
11
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(14 total)
xG
1.30
(14.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(123 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(33% acc)
Corners
4.4
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.8
(141 total)
Offsides
1.6
(18 total)
23
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(34 total)
xG
1.70
(38.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.4
(286 total)
Shots on Target
4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.7
(109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(5 total)
Fouls
12.6
(289 total)
Offsides
2.1
(48 total)
9
Played
4
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(18 total)
xG
1.80
(16.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(119 total)
Shots on Target
5
(38% acc)
Corners
2.8
(25 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.4
(94 total)
Offsides
2.3
(21 total)
8
Played
0
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.3
(2 total)
xG
1.00
(8.0 total)
Shots per Match
10
(80 total)
Shots on Target
2.3
(23% acc)
Corners
3.3
(26 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.8
(78 total)
Offsides
1
(8 total)
17
Played
4
Wins
7
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(20 total)
xG
1.40
(24.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.7
(199 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(32% acc)
Corners
3
(51 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.1
(172 total)
Offsides
1.7
(29 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.96 vs 0.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.02%
⭐
0:1
5%
0:2
1.78%
0:3
0.42%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
13.35%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.91%
1:2
3.68%
1:3
0.91%
1:4
0.17%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
12.7%
⭐
2:1
9.81%
2:2
3.78%
2:3
0.97%
2:4
0.19%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
8.05%
⭐
3:1
6.47%
3:2
2.59%
3:3
0.69%
3:4
0.14%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
3.83%
4:1
3.19%
4:2
1.32%
4:3
0.36%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
1.46%
5:1
1.26%
5:2
0.54%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Monaco will take on Lorient as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-16 at 2026-01-16 in the famous Stade Louis-II.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Monaco, and the visiting side, Lorient. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lorient.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-16
Time: 18:00
Location: Stade Louis-II
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Monaco vs Lorient Friday, Jan 16th, 2026 at 12:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Monaco vs Lorient Football 16 Jan, 2026 12:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Toothless Attack
Lorient struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/8 recent away matches
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Monaco vs Lorient, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Monaco @ 1.64 ✅ 
Monaco
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Monaco score 2.00 goals/match at home (+40% above league average)
Lorient
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Lorient have not won in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Monaco confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.67 ⚠️ 
Monaco(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Monaco score (2.00/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 49%)
Lorient(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Lorient struggle to score in away matches (0.25/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H5/771.4%Both teams scored in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.45 ✅
Monaco(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Monaco score 2.00 goals/match at home (+40% above league average)
Lorient(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/875%Lorient struggle to score in away matches (0.25/match) - fail to score in 75% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Lorient scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Combined 2.0 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Monaco Win or Draw @ 1.19 ⚠️ 
Lorient
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Lorient have not won in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Monaco confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Monaco Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.57 ⚠️
Monaco
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Monaco score 2.00 goals/match at home (+40% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent12/1675%Monaco scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Monaco's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Monaco(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1690%Monaco average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+28% above league avg 2.0) — rank #1 in league
Lorient disciplined play balances Monaco aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.77 ⚠️ 
Lorient(1 trends) — avg 3.7 (-20% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Lorient average 3.7 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 4.7)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.77
+22 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Monaco vs Lorient
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Lorient is stronger in the second half (19 vs 14).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Lorient is stronger in the second half (19 vs 14).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Monaco
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Lorient
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Monaco - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Lorient - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Monaco - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
14
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Lorient - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
11
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (14 vs 9)
- First Half Result: Consider Lorient to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lorient shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 14 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Lorient winning the second half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.142
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.006
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Monaco):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lorient):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Monaco vs Lorient Head-to-head statistics for Fri 16 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
▼
6
5
6
24
22
2
23
9
7
2
8
27
30
-3
23
10
6
4
7
18
20
-2
22
11
6
4
7
23
27
-4
22
12
4
7
6
20
29
-9
19
13
▲
4
6
7
15
23
-8
18
Team comparison
Prediction
Lorient Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Monaco
VS
Lorient
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
4
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (10)
1.6 (11)
xG
0.10
2.50
Shots
14.6 (102)
8.9 (62)
Shots on Target
5 (35)
4.3 (30)
Corners
6.6 (46)
3.7 (26)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 (11)
1.4 (10)
xGa
2.50
0.10
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (12)
1.4 (10)
Red Cards
0.3 (2)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
15.7 (110)
11 (77)
Offsides
1.9 (13)
0.6 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Monaco
VS
Lorient
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
0.50
PPG
1.67
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
33%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.38
Avg xG
1.48
Monaco vs Lorient: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Monaco and away matches for Lorient
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Lorient
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Lorient
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2
Monaco
Lorient
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
10%
1
60%
6
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Monaco
Lorient
12
90%
9
40%
4
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Monaco
Lorient
0-1
60%
6
20%
2
2-3
0%
0
60%
6
4+
40%
4
20%
2
Total Corners
Monaco
Under
Over
Lorient
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Lorient
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Monaco
Lorient
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Monaco
Lorient
xG
1.24
1.39
xGa
1.66
0.94
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Lorient
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Lorient
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Monaco
Lorient
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Monaco
Lorient
12
50%
5
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Monaco
Lorient
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Lorient
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Lorient
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Lorient
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Monaco
Lorient
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Monaco
Lorient
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Monaco
Lorient
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Lorient
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Sprained ankle
1.73
xG
0.68
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found