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Mirassol
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1
RB Bragantino
Mirassol vs Bahia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 11 April, 2026 16:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
5
Played
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(6 total)
xG
1.30
(6.3 total)
Shots per Match
16.8
(84 total)
Shots on Target
6
(36% acc)
Corners
7.4
(37 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
10.2
(51 total)
Offsides
1.8
(9 total)
4
Played
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(4 total)
xG
0.90
(3.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(50 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(28% acc)
Corners
5
(20 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12
(48 total)
Offsides
0.8
(3 total)
9
Played
1
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(10 total)
xG
1.10
(10.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.9
(134 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(33% acc)
Corners
6.3
(57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11
(99 total)
Offsides
1.3
(12 total)
5
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(8 total)
xG
1.40
(7.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(69 total)
Shots on Target
6.2
(45% acc)
Corners
5.4
(27 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(1 total)
Fouls
15.4
(77 total)
Offsides
1.8
(9 total)
4
Played
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(5 total)
xG
1.00
(4.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.8
(35 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(37% acc)
Corners
4.5
(18 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(1 total)
Fouls
14.5
(58 total)
Offsides
2
(8 total)
9
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(13 total)
xG
1.30
(11.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(104 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(42% acc)
Corners
5
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
15
(135 total)
Offsides
1.9
(17 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.37 vs 1.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.25%
0:1
3.5%
0:2
1.44%
0:3
0.39%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
9.2%
1:1
8.45%
1:2
3.84%
1:3
1.15%
1:4
0.26%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
9.95%
⭐
2:1
10.09%
🔥
2:2
5.03%
2:3
1.64%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
7.17%
⭐
3:1
7.96%
⭐
3:2
4.32%
⭐
3:3
1.53%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
3.87%
⭐
4:1
4.68%
⭐
4:2
2.75%
⭐
4:3
1.05%
⭐
4:4
0.3%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
1.68%
⭐
5:1
2.18%
⭐
5:2
1.38%
⭐
5:3
0.57%
⭐
5:4
0.17%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
2:1 (10.1%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Mirassol will take on Bahia as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-11 at 2026-04-11 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Mirassol, and the visiting side, Bahia. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Bahia.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-11
Time: 21:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Mirassol vs Bahia Saturday, Apr 11th, 2026 at 16:30 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Mirassol vs Bahia Football 11 Apr, 2026 16:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Mirassol score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Mirassol vs Bahia.
🏆 Match Winner — Mirassol @ 2.30 ⚠️ 
Mirassol
UnbeatenH2H
Mirassol are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Bahia
Not WinH2H
Bahia have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Mirassol to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.81 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
🛡️ Double Chance — Mirassol Win or Draw @ 1.38 ✅
Mirassol
UnbeatenH2H
Mirassol are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
Mirassol are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Bahia
Not WinH2H
Bahia have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Mirassol to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals
Mirassol2 TrendsScored 1+Recent
Mirassol scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
First Half SpecialistsRecent
Mirassol score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Bahia1 TrendsScored 1+Recent
Bahia scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
🟨 Cards Over/Under
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 7.0 cards per match in their last 1 H2H matches
%
💡Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.12 ⚠️
Mirassol1 Trends — avg 6.2 (+24% above league)Few CornersH2H
Mirassol win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.12
🎯 Betting Analysis
Mirassol vs Bahia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Mirassol is stronger in the first half (17 vs 12).
🔄 Second Half: Bahia is stronger in the second half (14 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Bahia is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
🔄 Second Half: Bahia is stronger in the second half (14 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Bahia is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Mirassol
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Bahia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Mirassol - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
✈️ Bahia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Mirassol - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Bahia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Mirassol is stronger in the first half (17 vs 12)
- First Half Result: Consider Mirassol to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Bahia shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Bahia winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Bahia excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 2 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Bahia scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.348
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.034
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Mirassol):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bahia):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Mirassol vs Bahia Head-to-head statistics for Sat 11 Apr, 2026 @ 16:30 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Bahia
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Mirassol
VS
Bahia
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
3 (6)
1 (2)
xG
1.80
1.20
Shots
9.5 (19)
15 (30)
Shots on Target
6 (12)
4 (8)
Corners
3 (6)
6 (12)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
3 (6)
xGa
1.20
1.80
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (5)
1 (2)
Fouls
11.5 (23)
9 (18)
Offsides
2.5 (5)
1 (2)
Last 6 Matches
Mirassol
VS
Bahia
0/6 (0%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.17
PPG
1.67
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.89
Avg xG
1.37
Mirassol vs Bahia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Mirassol and away matches for Bahia
Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Bahia
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Mirassol
Bahia
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Mirassol
Bahia
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Mirassol
Bahia
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
10%
1
70%
7
4+
50%
5
10%
1
Total Corners
Mirassol
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Bahia
Yes
0%
0
40%
4
No
100%
10
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Mirassol
Bahia
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Mirassol
Bahia
xG
1.22
1.18
xGa
1.38
1.2
Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Bahia
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Mirassol
Bahia
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Mirassol
Bahia
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Mirassol
Bahia
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Bahia
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Bahia
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
Mirassol
Bahia
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
50%
5
60%
6
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Mirassol
Bahia
12
50%
5
40%
4
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Mirassol
Bahia
0-1
50%
5
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Bahia
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
2.09
xG
0.93
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
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