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4 Jan 2026-15:00
Millwall
Millwall
6th place
- : -
4 Jan 2026 10:00
Swansea
Swansea
19th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Millwall vs Swansea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 10:00

1×2 Prediction
Millwall
54%27%19%
MillwallDrawSwansea
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
58%42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
53%47%
NoYes
Team Total - Millwall
Under 2.5
80%20%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Swansea
Under 2.5
95%5%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Millwall/Draw
81%19%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Millwall +2.5
99%1%
Home +2.5NOT Home +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
10:00
Millwall W 55%
:
Swansea W 19%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.54 vs 0.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.18%
0:1
7.64%
0:2
2.86%
0:3
0.72%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
14.76%
🔥
1:1
11.99%
1:2
4.84%
1:3
1.3%
1:4
0.26%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
10.7%
2:1
9.36%
2:2
4.05%
2:3
1.16%
2:4
0.25%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
5.17%
3:1
4.84%
3:2
2.24%
3:3
0.68%
3:4
0.15%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.87%
4:1
1.87%
4:2
0.92%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.54%
5:1
0.58%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.2%
0
22.4%
1
25.6%
2
20.1%
3
12.2%
4
6.1%
5
2.5%
6
0.8%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Preston
w d d w d
>
22
9
9
4
30
23
7
36
6
Millwall
w w d l l
>
22
10
5
7
25
31
-6
35
7
QPR
l w w l w
>
22
10
4
8
32
34
-2
34

18
Sheffield Utd
w w d l w
>
22
8
2
12
28
31
-3
26
19
Swansea
l w w l w
>
22
7
5
10
24
30
-6
26
20
Blackburn
d d d l w
>
21
7
4
10
22
26
-4
25
1.28 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Millwall
VS
Swansea
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.67 PPG 1.50
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.15 Avg xG 0.94
Millwall
W W D L L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Blackburn
2 0
Millwall
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Millwall
1 3
Hull City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Derby
1 1
Millwall
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Bristol City
0 1
Millwall
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Millwall
3 2
Southampton
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Millwall
1 0
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea
L W W L W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Swansea
2 1
Wrexham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Stoke City
2 1
Swansea
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Swansea
1 0
Portsmouth
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Swansea
2 0
Oxford United
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
West Brom
3 2
Swansea
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Swansea
1 2
Derby
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Millwall will take on Swansea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous The Den. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Millwall, and the visiting side, Swansea. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Millwall or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-04 Time: 15:00 Location: The Den Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Millwall vs Swansea Sunday, Jan 4th, 2026 at 10:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Millwall vs Swansea Football 4 Jan, 2026 10:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Millwall create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Millwall vs Swansea

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Swansea is stronger in the second half (14 vs 10).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Millwall

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Swansea

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Millwall - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Swansea - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Millwall - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Swansea - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Swansea shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Swansea winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Millwall):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Swansea):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Millwall
Swansea

Millwall vs Swansea Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship

Millwall vs Swansea: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Millwall and away matches for Swansea

Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Swansea
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
1X2
Millwall
Swansea
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Millwall
Swansea
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Millwall
Swansea
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
30% 3
70% 7
4+
50% 5
20% 2
Total Corners
Millwall
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Swansea
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Millwall
Swansea
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
50% 5
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Millwall
Swansea
xG
1.13
0.8
xGa
1.24
0.97
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Swansea
Yes
20% 2
0% 0
No
80% 8
100% 10
1X2
Millwall
Swansea
1
0% 0
20% 2
X
60% 6
20% 2
2
40% 4
60% 6
Double Chance
Millwall
Swansea
12
40% 4
80% 8
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
100% 10
80% 8
Total Goals
Millwall
Swansea
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Swansea
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Swansea
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Swansea
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Millwall
Swansea
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Millwall
Swansea
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Millwall
Swansea
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Swansea
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Millwall or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
10.8%
Low
N/A
1.2%
Low
N/A
-2
19.0%
Low
N/A
3.4%
Low
N/A
-1.5
27.3%
Low
N/A
5.6%
Low
N/A
-1
40.5%
Low
N/A
12.5%
Low
N/A
-0.5
53.8%
Medium
N/A
19.4%
Low
N/A
+0.5
80.6%
High
N/A
46.2%
Low
N/A
+1
87.5%
High
N/A
59.5%
Medium
N/A
+1.5
94.4%
High
N/A
72.7%
High
N/A
+2
96.6%
High
N/A
81.0%
High
N/A
+2.5
98.8%
High
N/A
89.2%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.545.55%LowN/A
Under 1.554.45%MediumN/A
AwayOver 1.520.57%LowN/A
Under 1.579.43%HighN/A
HomeOver 2.520.13%LowN/A
Under 2.579.87%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.55.33%LowN/A
Under 2.594.67%HighN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
27 Sep
- 11:30
Swansea
Millwall
1.07
xG
0.88
1
1
Prob 67%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.56
26 Apr
- 14:00
Millwall
Swansea
1.50
xG
0.91
1
0
26 Oct
- 14:00
Swansea
Millwall
1.93
xG
0.37
0
1
4 May
- 11:30
Swansea
Millwall
0
1
30 Sep
- 14:00
Millwall
Swansea
0
3
14 Mar
- 19:45
Millwall
Swansea
2
1
16 Aug
- 18:45
Swansea
Millwall
2
2
5 Apr
- 18:45
Millwall
Swansea
0
1
15 Sep
- 18:45
Swansea
Millwall
0
0
club logo
Millwall
Swansea
Played: 9
Wins
4
Draws
3
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
8
0.9
Goals
0.9
8
8
0.9
Goals Conceded
0.9
8
19
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.6
14
1
0.1
Red Cards
0.1
1
4
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.3
3
50
5.6
Corners
5.4
49
104
11.6
Fouls
9
81
18
2
Offsides
0.4
4
114
12.7
Shots
13.2
119
28
3.1
Shots on Goal
5.2
47
Home Away All
Played 11 11 22
Wins 6 4 10
Draws 1 4 5
Losses 4 3 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.2 13 1.1 12 1.1 25
Goals Conceded 1.4 15 1.5 16 1.4 31
Yellow Cards 1.3 14 2.1 23 1.7 37
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.5 5 0.2 2 0.3 7
Corners 5.7 63 4.6 51 5.2 114
Fouls 11.5 126 13.7 151 12.6 277
Offsides 2.3 25 2 22 2.1 47
Shots 13.5 149 10.6 117 12.1 266
Shots on Goal 4 44 3.5 38 3.7 82
Home Away All
Played 12 10 22
Wins 5 2 7
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 4 6 10
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 15 0.9 9 1.1 24
Goals Conceded 1.3 16 1.4 14 1.4 30
Yellow Cards 1.8 22 2.3 23 2 45
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 3 0.2 2 0.2 5
Corners 4.8 58 4.6 46 4.7 104
Fouls 9.5 114 10.4 104 9.9 218
Offsides 1.8 21 2.4 24 2 45
Shots 11.8 141 10.4 104 11.1 245
Shots on Goal 3.7 44 3.7 37 3.7 81
Championship Match: Coventry City vs Millwall Ends in 0-0 Draw
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