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Millwall vs Portsmouth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 9:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
16
Played
9
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.30
(21.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(220 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
5.6
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.2
(179 total)
Offsides
2.2
(35 total)
17
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(20 total)
xG
1.10
(19.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(192 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(33% acc)
Corners
4.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.9
(219 total)
Offsides
2.1
(35 total)
33
Played
16
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(42 total)
xG
1.20
(40.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(412 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(33% acc)
Corners
5.2
(170 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.1
(398 total)
Offsides
2.1
(70 total)
17
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(19 total)
xG
1.40
(23.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(251 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(29% acc)
Corners
6
(102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.2
(156 total)
Offsides
1.8
(30 total)
14
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(9 total)
xG
0.70
(9.5 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(107 total)
Shots on Target
2.5
(33% acc)
Corners
4.7
(66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.8
(151 total)
Offsides
1.4
(20 total)
31
Played
8
Wins
9
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(28 total)
xG
1.10
(33.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(358 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(30% acc)
Corners
5.4
(168 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.9
(307 total)
Offsides
1.6
(50 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.59 vs 0.56
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.27%
0:1
2.12%
0:2
0.43%
0:3
0.06%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
12.83%
1:1
5.99%
1:2
1.37%
1:3
0.21%
1:4
0.02%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
15.6%
🔥
⭐
2:1
8.3%
2:2
2.14%
2:3
0.36%
2:4
0.04%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
12.64%
⭐
3:1
7.55%
⭐
3:2
2.17%
3:3
0.4%
3:4
0.05%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
7.69%
⭐
4:1
5.09%
⭐
4:2
1.62%
⭐
4:3
0.33%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
3.74%
⭐
5:1
2.72%
⭐
5:2
0.95%
⭐
5:3
0.21%
⭐
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
2:0 (15.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Millwall will take on Portsmouth as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous The Den.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Millwall, and the visiting side, Portsmouth. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Millwall or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-21
Time: 15:00
Location: The Den
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Millwall vs Portsmouth Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 9:00 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Millwall vs Portsmouth Football 21 Feb, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Millwall create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Millwall vs Portsmouth.
🏆 Match Winner — Millwall @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsMillwall
Efficient ScoringH2H
Millwall efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 3100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsPortsmouth
Not WinRecent
Portsmouth have not won in 16 of their last 21 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Millwall to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.95 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPortsmouth1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Portsmouth struggle to score in away matches (0.70/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 366.7%
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPortsmouth2 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Portsmouth struggle to score in away matches (0.70/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Portsmouth scored 0-1 goals in 17 of their last 21 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 366.7%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Millwall Win or Draw @ 1.20 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsPortsmouth
Not WinRecent
Portsmouth have not won in 16 of their last 21 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Millwall confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Millwall Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.93 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsMillwall
Scored 1+Recent
Millwall scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Millwall scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 2277%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Millwall's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsPortsmouth2 Trends — avg 1.9 (-3% below league)High Card MatchesLeague
Portsmouth average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+19% above league avg 1.8) — rank #2 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends21 / 2190%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Portsmouth receive 2+ cards in 17 of their last 21 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 3.3 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Millwall disciplined play balances Portsmouth aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.60 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsMillwall1 Trends — avg 5.7 (+15% above league)Many CornersLeague
Millwall average 5.7 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends11 / 1180%
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Unlock Streak TrendsPortsmouth1 Trends — avg 4.0 (-20% below league)Few CornersLeague
Portsmouth average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 9.7 corners/match (Millwall 5.7 + Portsmouth 4.0) • Millwall dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Millwall vs Portsmouth
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Millwall is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Millwall
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.17
✈️ Portsmouth
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Millwall - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
✈️ Portsmouth - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Millwall - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Portsmouth - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Millwall excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 9 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Millwall scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Millwall has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Millwall handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.043
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Millwall):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Portsmouth):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Millwall vs Portsmouth Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
17
8
6
63
35
28
59
3
▲
16
8
8
41
37
4
56
4
▼
15
9
6
51
29
22
54
21
9
7
16
32
47
-15
34
22
▼
8
9
13
27
39
-12
33
23
6
10
16
28
44
-16
28
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Millwall or draw
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Millwall
VS
Portsmouth
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
1.3 (4)
xG
1.10
0.90
Shots
9.3 (28)
12.3 (37)
Shots on Target
2 (6)
4.3 (13)
Corners
6 (18)
4.7 (14)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (4)
1.3 (4)
xGa
0.90
1.10
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (3)
2 (6)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
15.7 (47)
10.7 (32)
Offsides
2.7 (8)
2 (6)
Last 6 Matches
Millwall
VS
Portsmouth
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.17
PPG
1.33
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
50%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.72
Avg xG
1.51
Millwall vs Portsmouth: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Millwall and away matches for Portsmouth
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Portsmouth
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Millwall
Portsmouth
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Millwall
Portsmouth
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Millwall
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Portsmouth
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Millwall
Portsmouth
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Millwall
Portsmouth
xG
1.49
1.26
xGa
1.1
0.89
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Portsmouth
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Millwall
Portsmouth
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Millwall
Portsmouth
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Portsmouth
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Portsmouth
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Portsmouth
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Millwall
Portsmouth
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Millwall
Portsmouth
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Millwall
Portsmouth
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Portsmouth
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1.86
xG
0.44
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
Portsmouth Dominates Swansea City 4-0 in Championship Match
Championship Match: Coventry City vs Millwall Ends in 0-0 Draw
Unexpected Football Rivalries | FourFourTwo