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Millwall
2
1
Swansea
Millwall vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 10 March, 2026 14:45
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
14
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.10
(15.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(183 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(33% acc)
Corners
5.6
(78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.6
(163 total)
Offsides
2.2
(31 total)
12
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(12 total)
xG
1.10
(13.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(129 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.8
(57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.5
(162 total)
Offsides
1.9
(23 total)
26
Played
12
Wins
7
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(29 total)
xG
1.10
(28.8 total)
Shots per Match
12
(312 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(32% acc)
Corners
5.2
(135 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.5
(325 total)
Offsides
2.1
(54 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
12
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(18 total)
xG
0.80
(9.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(91 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(35 total)
xG
0.90
(23.9 total)
Shots per Match
9
(235 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(125 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.5
(300 total)
Offsides
1.4
(36 total)
No prediction data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Millwall will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 37 and will take place on 2026-03-10 at 2026-03-10 in the famous The Den.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Millwall, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-10
Time: 19:45
Location: The Den
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Millwall vs Derby Football 10 Mar, 2026 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Millwall create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Millwall vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Millwall(1 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H5/5100%Millwall are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
Derby(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H5/5100%Derby have not won in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H4/580%Both teams scored in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H4/580%Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance
Millwall(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H5/5100%Millwall are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/5100%Millwall are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H5/5100%Derby have not won in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Millwall(2 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent5/5100%Millwall scored 1+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
- Scored 1+Recent17/2277%Millwall scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
Derby(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent4/580%Derby scored 1+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 2.8 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Millwall disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Millwall(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+15% above league)
- Many CornersLeague11/1180%Millwall average 5.7 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 5.0)
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 10.1 corners/match (Millwall 5.7 + Derby 4.4)
+10 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Millwall vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Millwall is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Millwall is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Millwall is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Millwall
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Millwall - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Millwall - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Millwall shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Millwall winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Millwall excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Millwall scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.048
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.072
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Millwall):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Millwall vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Tue 10 Mar, 2026 @ 14:45 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
▲
11
10
5
36
25
11
43
5
▲
12
7
7
29
33
-4
43
6
▼
11
8
6
37
29
8
41
12
▲
10
7
9
37
38
-1
37
13
▼
9
8
9
35
35
0
35
14
▲
9
7
10
35
36
-1
34
Millwall
VS
Derby
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (6)
0.8 (4)
xG
1.80
0.70
Shots
12.2 (61)
10.8 (54)
Shots on Target
3.8 (19)
2.6 (13)
Corners
5.2 (26)
6.2 (31)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (4)
1.2 (6)
xGa
0.70
1.80
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 (7)
1.2 (6)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
10.8 (54)
10.2 (51)
Offsides
3 (15)
0.8 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Millwall
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.33
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.85
Avg xG
0.90
Millwall vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Millwall and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Derby
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
1X2
Millwall
Derby
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Millwall
Derby
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Millwall
Derby
0-1
40%
4
10%
1
2-3
40%
4
80%
8
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Derby
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Millwall
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Millwall
Derby
xG
1.1
0.98
xGa
1.18
1.12
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Derby
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Millwall
Derby
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Millwall
Derby
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Millwall
Derby
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Derby
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Derby
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
Millwall
Derby
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
70%
7
40%
4
2
0%
0
30%
3
Double Chance
Millwall
Derby
12
30%
3
60%
6
1X
100%
10
70%
7
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Millwall
Derby
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Derby
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5