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Hull City
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3
Millwall
Millwall vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 10 March, 2026 14:45
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18
Played
10
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(26 total)
xG
1.30
(22.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(236 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(34% acc)
Corners
5.6
(101 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.4
(205 total)
Offsides
2.1
(38 total)
19
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(25 total)
xG
1.10
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(212 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(33% acc)
Corners
4.6
(88 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.1
(249 total)
Offsides
1.9
(37 total)
37
Played
19
Wins
8
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(51 total)
xG
1.20
(44.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(448 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(33% acc)
Corners
5.1
(189 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
14
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.3
(454 total)
Offsides
2
(75 total)
20
Played
7
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(27 total)
xG
1.00
(20.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(202 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.2
(103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11
(220 total)
Offsides
1.7
(33 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(28 total)
xG
1.10
(19.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(163 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(34% acc)
Corners
3.5
(60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12
(204 total)
Offsides
1
(17 total)
37
Played
15
Wins
9
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(55 total)
xG
1.10
(39.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(365 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(34% acc)
Corners
4.4
(163 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.5
(424 total)
Offsides
1.4
(50 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.52 vs 1.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.77%
0:1
8.39%
0:2
3.48%
0:3
1.01%
0:4
0.22%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
12.02%
1:1
12.14%
🔥
1:2
6.48%
1:3
2.18%
1:4
0.54%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
7.31%
2:1
9.4%
2:2
5.72%
2:3
2.22%
⭐
2:4
0.62%
⭐
2:5
0.14%
⭐
3
3:0
3.07%
3:1
4.58%
3:2
3.22%
⭐
3:3
1.43%
⭐
3:4
0.46%
⭐
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
0.96%
4:1
1.64%
4:2
1.31%
⭐
4:3
0.66%
⭐
4:4
0.24%
⭐
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.24%
5:1
0.46%
5:2
0.42%
⭐
5:3
0.24%
⭐
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Millwall will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 37 and will take place on 2026-03-10 at 2026-03-10 in the famous The Den.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Millwall, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Millwall or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-10
Time: 19:45
Location: The Den
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Millwall vs Derby Tuesday, Mar 10th, 2026 at 14:45 Football
AI Value Bets
3 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Millwall vs Derby Football 10 Mar, 2026 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Millwall create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Millwall vs Derby.
🏆 Match Winner — Derby @ 4.00 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby
Efficient ScoringH2H
Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends10 / 1070.5%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Derby demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.90 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Millwall Win or Draw @ 1.27 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsMillwall
UnbeatenH2H
Millwall are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Millwall are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 5100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby
Not WinH2H
Derby have not won in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Millwall to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Derby Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.50 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby
Above League AverageLeague
Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Derby scored 1+ goals in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Derby's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.73 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2290%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 2.8 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Derby aggressive drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.73
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.67 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsMillwall1 Trends — avg 5.7 (+15% above league)Many CornersLeague
Millwall average 5.7 corners/match at home (+15% above league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)Few CornersLeague
Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 10.1 corners/match (Millwall 5.7 + Derby 4.4) • Millwall dominance pushes total over threshold
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Millwall vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Millwall is stronger in the second half (13 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Millwall is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Millwall is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Millwall
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Millwall - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Millwall - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Millwall shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Millwall winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Millwall excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Millwall scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Millwall has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Millwall handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.018
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.06
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Millwall):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Millwall vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Tue 10 Mar, 2026 @ 14:45 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
20
9
7
58
35
23
69
3
▲
19
8
9
50
41
9
65
4
▼
18
10
7
61
35
26
64
6
15
12
8
54
45
9
57
7
▲
15
9
12
54
47
7
54
8
▼
14
11
10
57
46
11
53
Team comparison
Prediction
Derby AH+1
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Millwall
VS
Derby
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (6)
0.8 (4)
xG
1.80
0.70
Shots
12.2 (61)
10.8 (54)
Shots on Target
3.8 (19)
2.6 (13)
Corners
5.2 (26)
6.2 (31)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (4)
1.2 (6)
xGa
0.70
1.80
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 (7)
1.2 (6)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
10.8 (54)
10.2 (51)
Offsides
3 (15)
0.8 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Millwall
VS
Derby
5/6 (83%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.50
PPG
1.50
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
50%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.08
Avg xG
1.55
Millwall vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Millwall and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Millwall
Derby
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Millwall
Derby
1
70%
7
60%
6
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Millwall
Derby
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
30%
3
40%
4
Total Goals
Millwall
Derby
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
70%
7
60%
6
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Derby
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Millwall
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Millwall
Derby
xG
1.42
1.49
xGa
1.08
0.79
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Derby
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Millwall
Derby
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
70%
7
30%
3
2
0%
0
30%
3
Double Chance
Millwall
Derby
12
30%
3
70%
7
1X
100%
10
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Millwall
Derby
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Derby
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Millwall
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Millwall
Derby
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Millwall
Derby
1
70%
7
40%
4
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Millwall
Derby
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
30%
3
60%
6
Total Goals
Millwall
Derby
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Millwall
Derby
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury