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Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough vs Southampton: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 10:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.13 vs 1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.23%
0:1
4.29%
0:2
2.85%
0:3
1.26%
0:4
0.42%
⭐
0:5
0.11%
⭐
1
1:0
6.36%
1:1
8.97%
⭐
1:2
6.31%
1:3
2.95%
⭐
1:4
1.03%
1:5
0.29%
⭐
2
2:0
6.26%
2:1
9.34%
🔥
2:2
6.93%
⭐
2:3
3.41%
2:4
1.25%
2:5
0.37%
3
3:0
4.11%
⭐
3:1
6.47%
⭐
3:2
5.05%
3:3
2.61%
3:4
1%
3:5
0.31%
4
4:0
2.02%
⭐
4:1
3.35%
⭐
4:2
2.75%
⭐
4:3
1.49%
4:4
0.6%
4:5
0.19%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
1.38%
⭐
5:2
1.19%
5:3
0.67%
⭐
5:4
0.28%
⭐
5:5
0.09%
⭐
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.3%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
14
6
2
53
23
30
48
2
12
6
4
33
24
9
42
3
▲
10
7
5
38
23
15
37
10
▲
8
8
6
31
28
3
32
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
1.91
xG
1.28
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Middlesbrough
VS
Southampton
4/6 (67%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.00
PPG
1.67
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
83%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.43
Avg xG
1.59
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Middlesbrough will take on Southampton as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Riverside Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Middlesbrough, and the visiting side, Southampton. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 15:00
Location: Riverside Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Middlesbrough vs Southampton Football 4 Jan, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 86% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Southampton create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Middlesbrough vs Southampton, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Middlesbrough(6 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/3100%Middlesbrough efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Middlesbrough score 1.60 goals/match at home (+21% above league average)
- UnbeatenRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
Southampton(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague11/1175%Southampton score 1.73 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Middlesbrough(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Middlesbrough score (1.60/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Southampton(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague11/11100%Southampton score (1.73/match) and concede (1.82/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/3100%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 3 H2H matches (100.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Middlesbrough(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Middlesbrough score 1.60 goals/match at home (+21% above league average)
Southampton(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague11/1175%Southampton score 1.73 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Teams average combined 3.3 goals per match
🛡️ Double Chance
Middlesbrough(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Middlesbrough are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- UnbeatenRecent18/2282%Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
Southampton(2 trends)
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Southampton are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent17/2277%Southampton are undefeated at half time in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Middlesbrough(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Middlesbrough score 1.60 goals/match at home (+21% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Middlesbrough scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/3100%Middlesbrough score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 1+Recent18/2282%Middlesbrough scored 1+ goals in 18 of their last 22 Championship matches
Southampton(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague11/1175%Southampton score 1.73 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Southampton scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Middlesbrough(2 trends) — avg 1.4 (-29% below league)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Middlesbrough receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2284.5%Middlesbrough average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 5.7 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Middlesbrough(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+14% above league)
- Many CornersLeague10/1079%Middlesbrough average 5.7 corners/match at home (+14% above league avg 5.0)
Southampton(3 trends) — avg 4.4 (-13% below league)
- Many CornersH2H3/3100%Southampton win 6+ corners in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Corner DominanceH2H3/3100%Southampton dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 3 of their last 3 Championship matches
- Few CornersLeague11/1178%Southampton average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-13% below league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 10.1 corners/match (Middlesbrough 5.7 + Southampton 4.4)
+9 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Middlesbrough vs Southampton
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Middlesbrough
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Southampton
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Middlesbrough - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Southampton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Middlesbrough - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Southampton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.279
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.027
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Middlesbrough):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Southampton):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Middlesbrough vs Southampton Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship
Middlesbrough vs Southampton: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Middlesbrough and away matches for Southampton
Number of goals
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Yes
80%
8
80%
8
No
20%
2
20%
2
1X2
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
50%
5
60%
6
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Middlesbrough
Southampton
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
40%
4
Total Goals
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
7.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Middlesbrough
Southampton
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Middlesbrough
Southampton
xG
1.22
1.58
xGa
0.97
1.24
Number of goals
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
0%
0
30%
3
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Middlesbrough
Southampton
12
100%
10
70%
7
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Number of goals
Middlesbrough
Under
Over
Southampton
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Middlesbrough
Southampton
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.60%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 62.80% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 37.20% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 43.88% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 56.12% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 35.85% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 64.15% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 18.86% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 81.14% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Played:
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
2
2
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
1.3
Goals
1
3
3
1
Goals Conceded
1.3
4
13
4.3
Yellow Cards
1.3
4
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
13
4.3
Corners
7
21
46
15.3
Fouls
7.3
22
10
3.3
Offsides
2
6
29
9.7
Shots
14
42
9
3
Shots on Goal
4
12
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 7 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 17 | 1.5 | 33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 10 | 1.2 | 14 | 1.1 | 24 |
| Yellow Cards | 0.8 | 8 | 2.2 | 26 | 1.5 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 57 | 6.1 | 73 | 5.9 | 130 |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 89 | 9.3 | 111 | 9.1 | 200 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 15 | 2.1 | 25 | 1.8 | 40 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 129 | 14.3 | 171 | 13.6 | 300 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 43 | 3.7 | 44 | 4 | 87 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 5 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 17 | 1.7 | 19 | 1.6 | 36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 11 | 1.8 | 20 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 16 | 2.3 | 25 | 1.9 | 41 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6.3 | 69 | 4.4 | 48 | 5.3 | 117 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 109 | 10.6 | 117 | 10.3 | 226 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 12 | 2.2 | 24 | 1.6 | 36 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 169 | 12.6 | 139 | 14 | 308 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 57 | 5.2 | 57 | 5.2 | 114 |
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