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Form
Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 24
Preview
Metz
Metz
18th place
Form
VS
16:15
1 Mar 2026
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Stade Brestois 29
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Metz vs Stade Brestois 29: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 March, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)2.35
Stade Brestois 29 to Win
Probability 38%
Total Goals1.97
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score1.70
Yes
Probability 56%
Metz Total1.11
Home Under 2.5
Probability 86%
Stade Brestois 29 Total1.68
Away Under 1.5
Probability 60%
Double Chance1.38
Draw/Stade Brestois 29
Probability 70%
Asian Handicap1.21
Metz +1.5
Probability 83%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
16:15
Metz W 31%
:
Stade Brestois 29 W 38%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Metz
l l l d l
11 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
1.00 (11.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (100 total)
Shots on Target
3 (33% acc)
Corners
3.8 (42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.6 (128 total)
Offsides
1.4 (15 total)
11 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (12 total)
xG
1.00 (10.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.4 (92 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (33% acc)
Corners
3.5 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.8 per match
xGa
2.10 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
9.6 (106 total)
Offsides
1.2 (13 total)
22 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (22 total)
xG
1.00 (21.6 total)
Shots per Match
8.7 (192 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (33% acc)
Corners
3.7 (81 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
10.6 (234 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)
Stade Brestois 29
l l d w d
11 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (16 total)
xG
1.70 (18.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (155 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (34% acc)
Corners
5.5 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.4 (147 total)
Offsides
1 (11 total)
11 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (13 total)
xG
1.00 (10.7 total)
Shots per Match
8.9 (98 total)
Shots on Target
3 (34% acc)
Corners
2.7 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.3 (146 total)
Offsides
1.1 (12 total)
22 Played
7 Wins
6 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (29 total)
xG
1.30 (29.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (253 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
4.1 (91 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
13.3 (293 total)
Offsides
1 (23 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.35 vs 1.50
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.74%
0:1
9.41%
0:2
5.72%
0:3
2.32%
0:4
0.7%
0:5
0.17%
1
1:0
8.25%
1:1
12.23%
🔥
1:2
8.77%
1:3
4.1%
1:4
1.41%
1:5
0.38%
2
2:0
4.39%
2:1
7.69%
2:2
6.41%
2:3
3.43%
2:4
1.33%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
1.56%
3:1
3.15%
3:2
3.01%
3:3
1.83%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.27%
4
4:0
0.42%
4:1
0.95%
4:2
1.03%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.34%
4:5
0.13%
5
5:0
0.09%
5:1
0.23%
5:2
0.27%
5:3
0.21%
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.7%
0
17.7%
1
22.3%
2
20.3%
3
14.8%
4
9.1%
5
4.8%
6
2.2%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MetzHDPStade Brestois 29
4.0%
Very Low@ 15.00
-2.5
5.7%
@ 9.00Very Low
8.5%
Very Low@ 14.50
-2
11.4%
@ 8.10Very Low
13.0%
Very Low@ 7.10
-1.5
17.0%
@ 4.15Very Low
22.9%
Low@ 6.10
-1
28.0%
@ 3.40Low
32.8%
Low@ 3.30
-0.5
39.1%
@ 2.23Low
60.9%
High@ 1.72
+0.5
67.2%
@ 1.38High
72.0%
High@ 1.34
+1
77.1%
@ 1.14High
83.0%
Very High@ 1.22
+1.5
87.0%
@ 1.10Very High
88.7%
Very High@ 1.02
+2
91.5%
@ 1.01Very High
94.3%
Very High@ 1.05
+2.5
96.0%
@ 1.02Very High

Team Total Predictions

MetzOutcomeStade Brestois 29
36.2%
Low@ 2.87
Over 1.5
40.4%
@ 2.20Medium
63.8%
High@ 1.45
Under 1.5
59.6%
@ 1.71Medium
14.2%
Very Low@ 7.40
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 4.80Very Low
85.8%
Very High@ 1.11
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.19Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Metz will take on Stade Brestois 29 as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2026-03-01 at 2026-03-01 in the famous Stade Saint-Symphorien. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Metz, and the visiting side, Stade Brestois 29. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Stade Brestois 29. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-01 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 Sunday, Mar 1st, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 60.6%
EV: +19.4%
Stake: $2.58
1.97
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 61.9%
EV: +5.1%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Asian Handicap Metz +1.5
Value
Prob: 83%
EV: +1.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-18 02:35:19
spinner

Trends for Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 Football 1 Mar, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Metz struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

🎯 Betting Analysis

Metz vs Stade Brestois 29

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Metz is stronger in the second half (19 vs 14).
⚡ Final Stage: Metz is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Metz

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.21

✈️ Stade Brestois 29

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Metz - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7

✈️ Stade Brestois 29 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Metz - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Stade Brestois 29 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Metz shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 14 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Metz winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Metz excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Metz scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Stade Brestois 29 has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Stade Brestois 29 handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.12
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.05
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.03 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Metz):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Stade Brestois 29):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Metz
Stade Brestois 29

Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Mar, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
Angers
l d w w l
>
22
8
5
9
22
27
-5
29
12
22
7
6
9
29
34
-5
27
13
LE Havre
d d l w w
>
22
6
8
8
20
27
-7
26

17
Nantes
l l l l l
>
22
3
5
14
20
40
-20
14
18
Metz
l l l d l
>
22
3
4
15
22
49
-27
13
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Stade Brestois 29
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Metz
VS
Stade Brestois 29
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (7)
2 (10)
xG
1.00
2.90
Shots
7.4 (37)
15.2 (76)
Shots on Target
3.2 (16)
5.2 (26)
Corners
3.4 (17)
5.4 (27)
Defense
Conceded
2 (10)
1.4 (7)
xGa
2.90
1.00
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 (13)
1.4 (7)
Red Cards
0.4 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
14 (70)
14.2 (71)
Offsides
1 (5)
1.8 (9)
23 Nov
- 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
2.91
xG
1.04
3
2
Prob 60%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.89
7 Apr
- 11:00
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
4
3
10 Dec
- 14:00
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
0
1
24 Apr
- 13:00
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
0
1
26 Sep
- 13:00
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
1
2
Last 6 Matches
Metz
VS
Stade Brestois 29
0/6 (0%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.33 PPG 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
67% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.73 Avg xG 1.09
Metz
L L L D L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Metz
1 3
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Metz
0 0
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Angers
1 0
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Metz
2 5
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Strasbourg
2 1
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Lorient
1 1
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
L L D W D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Lille
1 1
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Stade Brestois 29
2 0
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Nice
2 2
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
0 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lyon
2 1
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
2 0
Auxerre

Metz vs Stade Brestois 29: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Metz and away matches for Stade Brestois 29

Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Stade Brestois 29
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
1
0% 0
50% 5
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
80% 8
30% 3
Double Chance
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
20% 2
70% 7
X2
100% 10
50% 5
Total Goals
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
0-1
30% 3
10% 1
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Metz
Under
Over
Stade Brestois 29
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
70% 7
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
xG
0.74
1.24
xGa
1.6
1.04
Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Stade Brestois 29
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
1X2
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
70% 7
40% 4
Double Chance
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
30% 3
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Stade Brestois 29
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
1
0% 0
50% 5
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
100% 10
50% 5
Total Goals
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1.00 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found