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Ligue 1 2025-2026 | Matchweek 16
13 Dec 2025-18:00
Metz
Metz
17th place
- : -
13 Dec 2025 12:00
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
2nd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Metz vs Paris Saint Germain: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 13 December, 2025 12:00

1×2 Prediction
Paris Saint Germain
11%21%68%
MetzDrawParis Saint Germain
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
52%48%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
58%42%
NoYes
Team Total - Metz
Under 2.5
97%3%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Paris Saint Germain
Under 2.5
69%31%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Paris Saint Germain
89%11%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Paris Saint Germain +2.5
100%0%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5

No betting tips available for this match.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.66 vs 1.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.18%
0:1
15.2%
🔥
0:2
14.12%
0:3
8.75%
0:4
4.06%
0:5
1.51%
1
1:0
4.73%
1:1
9.46%
1:2
9.41%
1:3
6.21%
1:4
3.07%
1:5
1.21%
2
2:0
1.37%
2:1
2.93%
2:2
3.11%
2:3
2.18%
2:4
1.14%
2:5
0.47%
3
3:0
0.26%
3:1
0.6%
3:2
0.68%
3:3
0.51%
3:4
0.28%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
0.04%
4:1
0.09%
4:2
0.11%
4:3
0.09%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.01%
5:2
0.01%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (15.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.2%
0
19.9%
1
24.9%
2
21.3%
3
14.0%
4
7.5%
5
3.0%
6
0.9%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Metz
vs
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 13, 18:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Lens
l w w w w
>
14
10
1
3
24
12
12
31
2
14
9
3
2
27
12
15
30
3
Marseille
d w w w d
>
14
9
2
3
35
14
21
29

16
Nantes
l l d d l
>
14
2
5
7
12
22
-10
11
17
Metz
w w w l l
>
14
3
2
9
14
31
-17
11
18
Auxerre
l l l d d
>
14
2
3
9
8
20
-12
9
Last 6 Matches
Metz
VS
Paris Saint Germain
3/6 (50%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.50 PPG 2.17
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.59 Avg xG 1.72
Metz
W W W L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Metz
0 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
3 2
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Metz
2 1
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Nantes
0 2
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 18:00
Metz
2 0
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Lille
6 1
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
L W W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Monaco
1 0
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
5 3
Tottenham
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
3 0
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lyon
2 3
Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
4 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 2
Bayern München
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 0
Nice
11% Draw 68%
48% Over 2.5 52%
42% Both Teams Score 58%
0.64 xPTS 2.36
0.66 xG [Total: 2.60] 1.94
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 1
3 Corners [Total: 8] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 2] 1
12 Fouls [Total: 22] 10
3 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 6
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Metz will take on Paris Saint Germain as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-13 at 2025-12-13 in the famous Stade Saint-Symphorien. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Metz, and the visiting side, Paris Saint Germain. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-13 Time: 18:00 Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Metz vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 12:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Metz vs Paris Saint Germain Football 13 Dec, 2025 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Paris Saint Germain score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Metz struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent home matches

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Metz vs Paris Saint Germain

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Metz is stronger in the final minutes (14 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Metz

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.19

✈️ Paris Saint Germain

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Metz - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7

✈️ Paris Saint Germain - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Metz - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Paris Saint Germain - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
14
Negative Sequences
8
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Metz excels in the closing minutes (14 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Metz scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Paris Saint Germain has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Paris Saint Germain handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.045
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.037
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Metz):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris Saint Germain):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Metz
Paris Saint Germain

Metz vs Paris Saint Germain Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 12:00 Ligue 1

Metz vs Paris Saint Germain: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Metz and away matches for Paris Saint Germain

Number of goals

Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
40% 4
60% 6
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
60% 6
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
40% 4
80% 8
X2
70% 7
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
40% 4
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Metz
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
xG
1.2
1.82
xGa
1.7
1.27

Number of goals

Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
1
0% 0
40% 4
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
100% 10
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
1
30% 3
70% 7
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
90% 9
X2
70% 7
30% 3

Total Goals

Total Goals
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
0-1
20% 2
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
20% 2
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
0.4%
Low
N/A
20.2%
Low
N/A
-2
1.5%
Low
N/A
30.9%
Low
N/A
-1.5
2.5%
Low
N/A
41.5%
Low
N/A
-1
6.6%
Low
N/A
54.8%
Medium
N/A
-0.5
10.8%
Low
N/A
68.2%
Medium
N/A
+0.5
31.8%
Low
N/A
89.2%
High
N/A
+1
45.1%
Low
N/A
93.3%
High
N/A
+1.5
58.5%
Medium
N/A
97.5%
High
N/A
+2
69.1%
Medium
N/A
98.5%
High
N/A
+2.5
79.8%
High
N/A
99.6%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.81%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.514.20%LowN/A
Under 1.585.80%HighN/A
AwayOver 1.557.75%MediumN/A
Under 1.542.25%LowN/A
HomeOver 2.52.95%LowN/A
Under 2.597.05%HighN/A
AwayOver 2.530.71%LowN/A
Under 2.569.29%MediumN/A
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
19 May
- 19:00
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
20 Dec
- 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
3
1
21 May
- 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
Metz
5
0
22 Sep
- 19:00
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
club logo
Metz
Paris Saint Germain
Played: 4
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
4
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
2
0.5
Goals
3
12
12
3
Goals Conceded
0.5
2
9
2.3
Yellow Cards
1
4
2
0.5
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
2
11
2.8
Corners
5.5
22
39
9.8
Fouls
8.5
34
6
1.5
Offsides
2.3
9
23
5.8
Shots
18.8
75
6
1.5
Shots on Goal
7.5
30
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 2 0 2
Losses 3 6 9
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.7 5 1.3 9 1 14
Goals Conceded 1 7 3.4 24 2.2 31
Yellow Cards 1.1 8 1.6 11 1.4 19
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.1 1 0.2 3
Corners 4 28 4.1 29 4.1 57
Fouls 12 84 9.3 65 10.6 149
Offsides 1.1 8 1.3 9 1.2 17
Shots 8.4 59 9.3 65 8.9 124
Shots on Goal 2.6 18 3.3 23 2.9 41
Home Away All
Played 6 8 14
Wins 5 4 9
Draws 1 2 3
Losses 0 2 2
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 12 1.9 15 1.9 27
Goals Conceded 0.5 3 1.1 9 0.9 12
Yellow Cards 1.5 9 1 8 1.2 17
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.8 5 0.3 2 0.5 7
Corners 6.5 39 5.4 43 5.9 82
Fouls 10.5 63 9.8 78 10.1 141
Offsides 1.2 7 0.8 6 0.9 13
Shots 20.8 125 14 112 16.9 237
Shots on Goal 7 42 5.5 44 6.1 86
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