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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21
Preview
Metz
Metz
18th place
Form
VS
19:45
6 Feb 2026
Lille
Lille
5th place
Form
AI Prediction Combo Double chance : draw or Lille and +1.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Metz vs Lille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 6 February, 2026 13:45

Winner (1x2)-
Lille to Win
Probability 56%
Total Goals1.70
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score1.67
Yes
Probability 54%
Metz Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Lille Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 73%
Double Chance1.22
Draw/Lille
Probability 79%
Asian Handicap-
Lille +2.5
Probability 98%
Best Tip
Total - Home Metz Under 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.38
Win Prob. 68.8%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
19:45
Metz W 21%
:
Lille W 57%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Metz
l l d l l
9 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
1.10 (10.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.2 (83 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (35% acc)
Corners
4.1 (37 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.4 (103 total)
Offsides
1.3 (12 total)
10 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (12 total)
xG
1.00 (10.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.7 (87 total)
Shots on Target
3 (34% acc)
Corners
3.6 (36 total)
Defense
Conceded
3 per match
xGa
2.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
9.6 (96 total)
Offsides
1.2 (12 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (21 total)
xG
1.10 (20.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.9 (170 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (35% acc)
Corners
3.8 (73 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.5 (199 total)
Offsides
1.3 (24 total)
Lille
w l l l l
13 Played
8 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (26 total)
xG
1.80 (23.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.5 (202 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (35% acc)
Corners
6.8 (88 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.1 (131 total)
Offsides
1.2 (15 total)
13 Played
5 Wins
1 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (19 total)
xG
1.30 (17.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (164 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (34% acc)
Corners
5.2 (68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (5 total)
Fouls
11.9 (155 total)
Offsides
1.6 (21 total)
26 Played
13 Wins
2 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (45 total)
xG
1.50 (40.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (366 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (34% acc)
Corners
6 (156 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
11 (286 total)
Offsides
1.4 (36 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.13 vs 1.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.87%
0:1
9.3%
0:2
8.87%
0:3
5.64%
0:4
2.69%
0:5
1.03%
1
1:0
5.25%
1:1
10.27%
🔥
1:2
10.04%
1:3
6.54%
1:4
3.19%
1:5
1.25%
2
2:0
2.83%
2:1
5.68%
2:2
5.68%
2:3
3.79%
2:4
1.89%
2:5
0.75%
3
3:0
1.02%
3:1
2.09%
3:2
2.14%
3:3
1.46%
3:4
0.75%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.27%
4:1
0.58%
4:2
0.6%
4:3
0.42%
4:4
0.22%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.13%
5:2
0.14%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.9%
0
14.5%
1
22.0%
2
22.4%
3
17.3%
4
10.8%
5
5.3%
6
2.1%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MetzHDPLille
2.2%
Very Low
-2.5
15.8%
@ 5.50Very Low
5.0%
Very Low
-2
24.4%
@ 4.45Low
7.8%
Very Low@ 10.00
-1.5
33.1%
@ 2.82Low
14.5%
Very Low@ 9.30
-1
44.9%
@ 2.20Medium
21.1%
Low@ 4.10
-0.5
56.7%
@ 1.70Medium
43.3%
Medium@ 2.23
+0.5
78.9%
@ 1.23High
55.1%
Medium@ 1.72
+1
85.5%
@ 1.00Very High
66.9%
High@ 1.47
+1.5
92.2%
@ 1.04Very High
75.5%
High@ 1.20
+2
95.0%
Very High
84.2%
Very High@ 1.15
+2.5
97.7%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

MetzOutcomeLille
67.7%
High@ 1.45
Over 0.5
85.9%
@ 1.13Very High
32.3%
Low@ 2.80
Under 0.5
14.1%
@ 7.00Very Low
31.2%
Low@ 3.20
Over 1.5
58.3%
@ 1.64Medium
68.8%
High@ 1.38
Under 1.5
41.7%
@ 2.26Medium
10.6%
Very Low@ 9.00
Over 2.5
31.3%
@ 3.02Low
89.4%
Very High@ 1.09
Under 2.5
68.8%
@ 1.39High
2.8%
Very Low@ 23.00
Over 3.5
13.6%
@ 6.50Very Low
97.2%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
86.4%
@ 1.13Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Metz will take on Lille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 21 and will take place on 2026-02-06 at 2026-02-06 in the famous Stade Saint-Symphorien. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Metz, and the visiting side, Lille. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Lille and +1.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-06 Time: 19:45 Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Metz vs Lille Friday, Feb 6th, 2026 at 13:45 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-27 02:28:19
spinner

Trends for Metz vs Lille Football 6 Feb, 2026 13:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Metz struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Metz vs Lille

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Metz is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Metz

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.21

✈️ Lille

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.17

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Metz - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7

✈️ Lille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Metz - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
10
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
14
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
14
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Lille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Metz is stronger in the first half (12 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider Metz to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Lille has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lille handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.108
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.036
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Metz):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lille):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Metz
Lille

Metz vs Lille Head-to-head statistics for Fri 6 Feb, 2026 @ 13:45 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
Lyon
l w w w w
>
19
11
3
5
32
20
12
36
5
Lille
w w l l l
>
19
10
2
7
34
29
5
32
6
Rennes
l w w d l
>
19
8
7
4
30
27
3
31

17
Auxerre
w l l l l
>
19
3
3
13
14
29
-15
12
18
Metz
l l d l l
>
19
3
3
13
21
45
-24
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Lille and +1.5 goals
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Metz
VS
Lille
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (5)
2.6 (13)
xG
1.30
2.70
Shots
8.2 (41)
16.4 (82)
Shots on Target
3 (15)
5.8 (29)
Corners
3.2 (16)
6.4 (32)
Defense
Conceded
2.6 (13)
1 (5)
xGa
2.70
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (8)
2 (10)
Red Cards
0.2 (1)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
12 (60)
11.2 (56)
Offsides
1.8 (9)
1.2 (6)
26 Oct
- 14:00
Lille
Metz
2.68
xG
1.29
6
1
Prob 82%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.36
28 Apr
- 11:00
Metz
Lille
1
2
3 Dec
- 16:05
Lille
Metz
2
0
18 Feb
- 20:00
Lille
Metz
0
0
8 Aug
- 15:00
Metz
Lille
3
3
Last 6 Matches
Metz
VS
Lille
0/6 (0%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
0.17 PPG 1.50
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
2.50 Avg Goals Conceded 2.50
83% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.81 Avg xG 0.98
Metz
L L D L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Metz
2 5
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Strasbourg
2 1
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Lorient
1 1
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Metz
2 3
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 16:15
Auxerre
3 1
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Metz
0 1
Rennes
Lille
W L L L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lille
1 4
Strasbourg
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
22 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Celta Vigo
2 1
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
3 0
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 20:05
Lille
0 2
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:15
Auxerre
3 4
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 17:45
BSC Young Boys
1 0
Lille

Metz vs Lille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Metz and away matches for Lille

Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Metz
Lille
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
Metz
Lille
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
10% 1
0% 0
2
60% 6
50% 5
Double Chance
Metz
Lille
12
90% 9
100% 10
1X
40% 4
50% 5
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Metz
Lille
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Metz
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Metz
Lille
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Metz
Lille
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
50% 5
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Metz
Lille
xG
1.22
1.39
xGa
1.45
1.39
Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Metz
Lille
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2
Metz
Lille
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Metz
Lille
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Metz
Lille
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Metz
Lille
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
Number of goals
Metz
Under
Over
Lille
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Metz
Lille
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Metz
Lille
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Metz
Lille
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Metz
Lille
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Metz
Lille
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1.07 xG 1.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found