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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 12 8 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Finished
Marseille
Marseille
3rd place
Form
3 : 0
3.61
xG
0.47
Full Time
Half Time: 2-0
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
11th place
Form
25'
A. Gomes
33'
M. Greenwood
82'
P. Aubameyang
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 8 November, 2025 10:00

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
5'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
4'
Winner (1x2)-
Marseille to Win
Probability 82%
Total Goals1.73
Over 2.5
Probability 79%
Both Teams to Score1.87
Yes
Probability 61%
Marseille Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 84%
Stade Brestois 29 Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Double Chance1.13
Marseille/Draw
Probability 92%
Asian Handicap-
Marseille +2.5
Probability 100%

📋 Preview: Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 2025-2026, Matchweek 12

📖 Introduction

As the Ligue 1 season approaches its twelfth week, second-placed Marseille, with 22 points, will host Stade Brestois 29, currently sitting in thirteenth with 10 points. This match presents an opportunity for Marseille to solidify their title challenge, while Brestois will seek to break a winless streak and climb away from the relegation zone.

🏠 Marseille Analysis

Marseille's recent form showcases a blend of resilience and attacking prowess, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. At home, they have been particularly formidable, remaining unbeaten with four wins and a draw, scoring an impressive average of 3.6 goals per game while conceding only 1.2. Their expected goals metrics indicate a strong offensive output, generating approximately 2.07 xG per match, suggesting they create high-quality chances consistently. Following a disappointing defeat to Atalanta in their last outing, Marseille will be eager to return to winning ways before heading into their next fixture against Nice.

✈️ Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

In contrast, Stade Brestois 29 has struggled significantly, managing only three draws and two losses in their last five encounters, indicating a troubling trend. Their away record is less than encouraging, with just one victory in five attempts, averaging a mere 1.2 goals scored while conceding 1.8 per game. The team’s expected goals performance reflects their struggles, as they have only managed about 1.33 xG in away matches, often failing to convert chances into goals. After a goalless draw against Lyon, Brestois is in dire need of a turnaround to regain confidence heading into their upcoming match against Metz.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The historical context favors Marseille in this matchup, with the home side winning four of the last eight encounters, while Brestois has claimed three victories, and one match ended in a draw. Interestingly, these matchups have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.38 goals per game, indicating that fans can expect an entertaining contest.

🔑 Key Factors

One of the critical matchups to watch will be Marseille's potent attack against Brestois's vulnerable defense. Marseille's ability to create chances, reflected in their high xG, positions them well to exploit any weaknesses in Brestois's backline. Moreover, Brestois's recent form reflects a lack of momentum, which could be detrimental against a side looking to bounce back after a setback. The potential for xG regression also looms; while Marseille's expected goals suggest they may not always convert their chances, Brestois’s struggles to score could compound their issues if they cannot tighten up defensively.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 73.1%, scoreline 2-0. The statistical analysis indicates a strong likelihood of a home win, with Marseille's offensive capabilities and Brestois's current struggles suggesting a comfortable victory for the hosts.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Match Winner @ 1.5 (73.1%). End: Bet responsibly.

Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
A. Gomes
Goal 1:0 25'
A. Gomes
M. Greenwood
Goal (from penalty) 2:0 33'
M. Greenwood
33' Substitute
In:D. Guindo
Out:B. Locko
D. Guindo
37' Yellow Card
P. Mboup
Diving
P. Mboup
46' Substitute
In:R. Labeau-Lascary
Out:M. Baldé
R. Labeau-Lascary
46' Substitute
In:L. Tousart
Out:P. Mboup
L. Tousart
M. O'Riley
Substitute 70'
In:M. O'Riley
Out:A. Gomes
74' Substitute
In:H. Makalou
Out:H. Magnetti
H. Makalou
C. Egan-Riley
Substitute 79'
In:C. Egan-Riley
Out:N. Aguerd
Robinio Vaz
Substitute 79'
In:Robinio Vaz
Out:M. Greenwood
P. Aubameyang
Goal 3:0 82'
P. Aubameyang
Assistant: M. O'Riley
83' Substitute
In:É. Dina Ebimbe
Out:J. Chotard
É. Dina Ebimbe
Substitute 86'
In:Tadjidine Mmadi
Out:P. Aubameyang
D. Bakola
Substitute 87'
In:D. Bakola
Out:P. Højbjerg

📋 Preview: Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 2025-2026, Matchweek 12

📖 Introduction

As the Ligue 1 season approaches its twelfth week, second-placed Marseille, with 22 points, will host Stade Brestois 29, currently sitting in thirteenth with 10 points. This match presents an opportunity for Marseille to solidify their title challenge, while Brestois will seek to break a winless streak and climb away from the relegation zone.

🏠 Marseille Analysis

Marseille's recent form showcases a blend of resilience and attacking prowess, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. At home, they have been particularly formidable, remaining unbeaten with four wins and a draw, scoring an impressive average of 3.6 goals per game while conceding only 1.2. Their expected goals metrics indicate a strong offensive output, generating approximately 2.07 xG per match, suggesting they create high-quality chances consistently. Following a disappointing defeat to Atalanta in their last outing, Marseille will be eager to return to winning ways before heading into their next fixture against Nice.

✈️ Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

In contrast, Stade Brestois 29 has struggled significantly, managing only three draws and two losses in their last five encounters, indicating a troubling trend. Their away record is less than encouraging, with just one victory in five attempts, averaging a mere 1.2 goals scored while conceding 1.8 per game. The team’s expected goals performance reflects their struggles, as they have only managed about 1.33 xG in away matches, often failing to convert chances into goals. After a goalless draw against Lyon, Brestois is in dire need of a turnaround to regain confidence heading into their upcoming match against Metz.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The historical context favors Marseille in this matchup, with the home side winning four of the last eight encounters, while Brestois has claimed three victories, and one match ended in a draw. Interestingly, these matchups have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.38 goals per game, indicating that fans can expect an entertaining contest.

🔑 Key Factors

One of the critical matchups to watch will be Marseille's potent attack against Brestois's vulnerable defense. Marseille's ability to create chances, reflected in their high xG, positions them well to exploit any weaknesses in Brestois's backline. Moreover, Brestois's recent form reflects a lack of momentum, which could be detrimental against a side looking to bounce back after a setback. The potential for xG regression also looms; while Marseille's expected goals suggest they may not always convert their chances, Brestois’s struggles to score could compound their issues if they cannot tighten up defensively.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 73.1%, scoreline 2-0. The statistical analysis indicates a strong likelihood of a home win, with Marseille's offensive capabilities and Brestois's current struggles suggesting a comfortable victory for the hosts.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Match Winner @ 1.5 (73.1%). End: Bet responsibly.

Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 Formation Lineups for Sat 8 Nov, 2025 @ 10:00 Ligue 1

Formation
7.2
Marseille
4-2-3-1
6.4
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1
G. Rulli
7.2
Rulli 1
Emerson
7.2
Emerson 33
N. Aguerd
6.9
79'
Aguerd 21
B. Pavard
7.2
Pavard 28
A. Murillo
7.3
Murillo 62
A. Vermeeren
7
Vermeeren 18
P. Højbjerg
7.6
87'
Højbjerg 23
Igor Paixão
7.7
Paixão 14
A. Gomes
8
70'
Gomes 8
M. Greenwood
7.3
79'
Greenwood 10
P. Aubameyang
7
86'
Aubameyang 97
R. Majecki
6.2
Majecki 1
B. Locko
6.7
33'
Locko 2
S. Coulibaly
6.2
Coulibaly 44
B. Chardonnet
6
Chardonnet 5
K. Lala
5.9
Lala 77
H. Magnetti
7.3
74'
Magnetti 8
J. Chotard
6.2
83'
Chotard 13
P. Mboup
6.5
46'
Mboup 99
R. Del Castillo
5.9
Castillo 10
M. Baldé
6.5
46'
Baldé 17
L. Ajorque
6.9
Ajorque 19
field field
Substitutes
O'Riley
7.5
70'
O'Riley 17
Egan-Riley
6.7
79'
Egan-Riley 4
Vaz
6.5
79'
Vaz 34
Bakola
87'
Bakola 50
Guindo
6.3
33'
Guindo 27
Labeau-Lascary
6.7
46'
Labeau-Lascary 14
Tousart
6.3
46'
Tousart 24
Makalou
6.3
74'
Makalou 33
Ebimbe
83'
Ebimbe 7
LineUps
Marseille
1
g
7.2
62
d
7.3
28
d
7.2
21
d
79'
6.9
33
m
7.2
87'
7.6
7
33'79'
7.3
8
m
25'70'
8
7.7
82'86'
7
Substitutes
79'
6.7
17
m
70'
7.5
50
m
87'
22
d
7
f
79'
6.5
Coach
Stade Brestois 29
6.2
77
d
5.9
6.2
2
d
33'
6.7
13
m
83'
6.2
74'
7.3
17
m
46'
6.5
5.9
99
m
37'46'
6.5
19
f
6.9
Substitutes
27
d
33'
6.3
24
m
46'
6.3
46'
6.7
30
g
4
d
12
d
33
m
74'
6.3
83'
Coach
Missing Players
Marseille
- Injured - Muscle Injury
6
d
- Suspended - Red Card
9
f
- Injured - Shoulder Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
32
d
- Injured - Ankle Injury
26
m
- Injured - Head Injury
20
m
- Injured - Thigh Injury
22
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
Stade Brestois 29
23
m
- Injured - Knee Injury

Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 Head-to-head statistics for Sat 8 Nov, 2025 @ 10:00 Ligue 1

Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Off Target 8 Blocked 4
On Target 7
On Target 2
Off Target 2
3 Goals 0
64 Ball Possession 36
19 Shots 4
7 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 1
658 Total passes 376
92 Passes accurate % 81
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
12 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Offsides 2
6 Corners 2
3.61 Expected Goals 0.47

Stats for Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 Saturday, Nov 8th, 2025 at 10:00 Football

Marseille
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Stade Brestois 29
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
A. Gomes
8.0
Midfielder
2
Igor Paixão
7.7
3
H. Magnetti
Midfielder
7.3
4
L. Ajorque
Forward
6.9