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Marseille
Marseille vs Nantes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 8:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
9
3
2
27
12
15
30
3
9
2
4
35
15
20
29
4
9
2
4
29
17
12
29
15
3
5
6
18
28
-10
14
16
2
5
7
12
22
-10
11
17
3
2
9
14
31
-17
11
Last 6 Matches
Marseille
VS
Nantes
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.83
PPG
0.83
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.17
50%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.86
Avg xG
0.77
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
1.75
xG [Total: 2.38]
0.63
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 8]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
12
Fouls [Total: 25]
12
7
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
2
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Marseille will take on Nantes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Orange Vélodrome.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Marseille, and the visiting side, Nantes. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 14:00
Location: Orange Vélodrome
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Marseille vs Nantes Football 4 Jan, 2026 8:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
League Position Mismatch
Marseille in top 3 vs Nantes in relegation zone — significant quality gap
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Marseille create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Marseille vs Nantes, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Marseille(12 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H8/8100%Marseille are unbeaten in their last 8 8 matches vs Nantes
- Efficient ScoringH2H8/8100%Marseille efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 8 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Nantes
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Marseille score 3.29 goals/match at home (+129% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Marseille create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Marseille score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1587%Marseille efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- WonRecent12/1580%Marseille have won 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Marseille efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent23/3077%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Nantes(3 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Nantes are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent11/1479%Nantes have not won in 11 of their last 14 Ligue 1 (Away) matches
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Nantes have not won in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Marseille(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Marseille score (3.29/match) and concede (1.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 50%)
Nantes(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/757%Nantes struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 57% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Marseille(5 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Marseille score 3.29 goals/match at home (+129% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Marseille score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent23/3077%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Nantes(1 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H7/888%Nantes scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Marseille
Teams average combined 3.3 goals per match
🛡️ Double Chance
Marseille(5 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H8/8100%Marseille are unbeaten in their last 8 8 matches vs Nantes
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/875%Marseille are undefeated at half time in their last 6 8 matches vs Nantes
- Top Table FormLeague65%Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1587%Marseille are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent23/3077%Marseille are undefeated at half time in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Nantes(3 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Nantes are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent11/1479%Nantes have not won in 11 of their last 14 Ligue 1 (Away) matches
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Nantes have not won in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Marseille(6 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H8/8100%Marseille scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches vs Nantes
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H6/875%Marseille conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 6 8 matches vs Nantes
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Marseille score 3.29 goals/match at home (+129% above league average)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%Marseille rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Scored 1+Recent24/3080%Marseille scored 1+ goals in 24 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Nantes(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague4/757%Nantes struggle to score in away matches (0.71/match) - fail to score in 57% of matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Marseille(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/875%Marseille receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Nantes
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1583%Marseille average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.0) — rank #5 in league
Nantes(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1483%Nantes average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-12% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
Nantes disciplined play balances Marseille aggression — • H2H average: 4.8 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Marseille(2 trends) — avg 5.4 (+16% above league)
- Corner DominanceH2H6/875%Marseille dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 6 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Nantes
- Many CornersLeague7/781%Marseille average 5.4 corners/match at home (+16% above league avg 4.7)
Nantes(4 trends) — avg 3.7 (-21% below league)
- Few CornersH2H6/875%Nantes win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Marseille
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Nantes average 3.7 corners/match in away matches (-21% below league avg 4.7)
- Few CornersRecent12/1392%Nantes win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 13 Ligue 1 (Away) matches
- Few CornersRecent25/2986%Nantes win 4 or fewer corners in 25 of their last 29 Ligue 1 matches
Combined average: 9.1 corners/match (Marseille 5.4 + Nantes 3.7) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+15 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Marseille vs Nantes
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Marseille is stronger in the second half (17 vs 12).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Marseille is stronger in the second half (17 vs 12).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Marseille
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.18
✈️ Nantes
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Marseille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Nantes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Marseille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
11
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Nantes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Marseille scoring first
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Marseille shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Marseille winning the second half
- Overall Result: Marseille has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Marseille handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.142
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.059
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Marseille):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nantes):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Marseille vs Nantes Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 8:00 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Nantes: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Marseille and away matches for Nantes
Number of goals
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Marseille
Nantes
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Marseille
Nantes
1
40%
4
10%
1
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Marseille
Nantes
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
90%
9
Total Goals
Total Goals
Marseille
Nantes
0-1
30%
3
10%
1
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Marseille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Nantes
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Marseille
Nantes
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Marseille
Nantes
xG
1.41
0.88
xGa
0.97
1.69
Number of goals
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Marseille
Nantes
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Marseille
Nantes
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Marseille
Nantes
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Marseille
Nantes
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Nantes
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Marseille
Nantes
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Marseille
Nantes
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Marseille
Nantes
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Marseille
Nantes
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Nantes
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Marseille
Nantes
Played:
8
Wins
7
7
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
15
1.9
Goals
0.6
5
5
0.6
Goals Conceded
1.9
15
17
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
17
1
0.1
Red Cards
0.4
3
4
0.5
Clean Sheets
0
44
5.5
Corners
3.8
30
92
11.5
Fouls
12.8
102
12
1.5
Offsides
2.5
20
131
16.4
Shots
8.3
66
41
5.1
Shots on Goal
2.4
19
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3.3 | 23 | 1.5 | 12 | 2.3 | 35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 8 | 0.9 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 13 | 2.3 | 18 | 2.1 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 38 | 5.8 | 46 | 5.6 | 84 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 89 | 10.8 | 86 | 11.7 | 175 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 9 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 16 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 99 | 13 | 104 | 13.5 | 203 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.1 | 43 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.5 | 82 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 7 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.9 | 12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 13 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 11 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.7 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 22 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.1 | 44 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 78 | 11.3 | 79 | 11.2 | 157 |
| Offsides | 0.4 | 3 | 1.6 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| Shots | 10 | 70 | 8.9 | 62 | 9.4 | 132 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.7 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 2.4 | 33 |
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