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Marseille
Marseille vs Monaco: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 14:45
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.44 vs 1.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.3%
0:1
3.34%
0:2
1.69%
0:3
0.57%
0:4
0.14%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
7.66%
1:1
8.14%
1:2
4.31%
1:3
1.52%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
8.89%
⭐
2:1
9.9%
🔥
2:2
5.49%
2:3
2.02%
2:4
0.56%
2:5
0.12%
3
3:0
6.88%
⭐
3:1
8.01%
⭐
3:2
4.64%
3:3
1.78%
3:4
0.51%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
3.99%
⭐
4:1
4.85%
⭐
4:2
2.93%
⭐
4:3
1.17%
4:4
0.35%
4:5
0.08%
5
5:0
1.85%
⭐
5:1
2.35%
⭐
5:2
1.48%
⭐
5:3
0.61%
⭐
5:4
0.19%
5:5
0.05%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.9%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
9
3
2
27
12
15
30
3
9
2
4
35
15
20
29
4
9
2
4
29
17
12
29
6
7
3
4
21
15
6
24
7
7
2
6
26
26
0
23
8
7
1
6
25
19
6
22
Last 6 Matches
Marseille
VS
Monaco
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.83
PPG
1.00
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.86
Avg xG
1.06
2.44
xG [Total: 3.57]
1.13
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 10]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 25]
13
7
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
4
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Marseille will take on Monaco as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Orange Vélodrome.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Marseille, and the visiting side, Monaco. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Winner : Marseille and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-14
Time: 19:45
Location: Orange Vélodrome
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Marseille vs Monaco Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 14:45 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Marseille vs Monaco Football 14 Dec, 2025 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Marseille create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Chance Suppression
Marseille rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Marseille vs Monaco, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Marseille @ 1.88 ✅ 
Marseille
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Marseille score 3.29 goals/match at home (+129% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Marseille create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Marseille score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1587%Marseille efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- WonRecent12/1580%Marseille have won 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Marseille efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent23/3077%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.47 ⚠️ 
Marseille(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/757%Marseille score (3.29/match) and concede (1.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 57% of matches (league avg: 50%)
Monaco(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Monaco score (1.43/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 50%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.52 ✅
Marseille(5 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Marseille score 3.29 goals/match at home (+129% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Marseille score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent23/3077%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Teams average combined 3.3 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Marseille Win or Draw @ 1.28 ✅ 
Marseille
- Top Table FormLeague65%Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1587%Marseille are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent23/3077%Marseille are undefeated at half time in 23 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Marseille Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.60 ✅
Marseille
- Scored 1+H2H6/875%Marseille scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Monaco
- League Top ScorerLeague7/775%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.29 goals/match vs league avg 2.88)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Marseille score 3.29 goals/match at home (+129% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent24/3080%Marseille scored 1+ goals in 24 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Marseille(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1583%Marseille average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.0) — rank #5 in league
Monaco(3 trends)
- Many CardsH2H6/875%Monaco receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Marseille
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Monaco average 2.7 cards/match in all matches (+31% above league avg 2.0) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Monaco receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 4.1 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74 ⚠️ 
Marseille(1 trends) — avg 5.4 (+16% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/781%Marseille average 5.4 corners/match at home (+16% above league avg 4.7)
Monaco(1 trends) — avg 5 (+5% above league)
- Few CornersH2H7/888%Monaco win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches vs Marseille
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74
+16 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Marseille vs Monaco
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Marseille
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.18
✈️ Monaco
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Marseille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Monaco - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Marseille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
11
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Monaco - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Marseille scoring first
- Overall Result: Marseille has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Marseille handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.029
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Marseille):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Monaco):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Marseille vs Monaco Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Monaco: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Marseille and away matches for Monaco
Number of goals
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Marseille
Monaco
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Marseille
Monaco
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Marseille
Monaco
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Marseille
Monaco
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
0%
0
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Marseille
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Monaco
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Marseille
Monaco
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Marseille
Monaco
xG
1.41
1.57
xGa
0.97
1.5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Marseille
Monaco
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Marseille
Monaco
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Marseille
Monaco
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Marseille
Monaco
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Monaco
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Monaco
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Marseille
Monaco
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Marseille
Monaco
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Marseille
Monaco
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Marseille
Monaco
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
0%
0
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Monaco
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Winner : Marseille and +1.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.77%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 70.02% | High | 1.60 |
| Under 1.5 | 29.98% | Low | 2.35 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 31.19% | Low | 2.48 |
| Under 1.5 | 68.81% | Medium | 1.55 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 44.07% | Low | 2.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 55.93% | Medium | 1.42 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 10.57% | Low | 6.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 89.43% | High | 1.15 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Marseille
Monaco
Played:
8
Wins
3
3
Draws
2
2
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
12
1.5
Goals
1.6
13
13
1.6
Goals Conceded
1.5
12
12
1.5
Yellow Cards
2.4
19
0
Red Cards
0.3
2
1
0.1
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
47
5.9
Corners
3
24
96
12
Fouls
12.9
103
14
1.8
Offsides
1.6
13
107
13.4
Shots
9
72
37
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.9
39
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3.3 | 23 | 1.5 | 12 | 2.3 | 35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 8 | 0.9 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 13 | 2.3 | 18 | 2.1 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 38 | 5.8 | 46 | 5.6 | 84 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 89 | 10.8 | 86 | 11.7 | 175 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 9 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 16 |
| Shots | 14.1 | 99 | 13 | 104 | 13.5 | 203 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.1 | 43 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.5 | 82 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 16 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 14 | 3.1 | 22 | 2.4 | 36 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.4 | 35 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.3 | 65 |
| Fouls | 11.4 | 91 | 13.9 | 97 | 12.5 | 188 |
| Offsides | 3 | 24 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.3 | 35 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 108 | 10.3 | 72 | 12 | 180 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.3 | 34 | 3 | 21 | 3.7 | 55 |
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