Marseille vs Monaco Football Match Stats & Results Sunday, 14 December, 2025 14:45
Marseille vs. Monaco: Clash of Ligue 1 Rivals
Key Match Stakes
This match pits third-placed Marseille against seventh-placed Monaco in a crucial Ligue 1 encounter. With Marseille looking to solidify their top position and Monaco seeking to revive their faltering season, the stakes couldn't be higher. A win for Marseille could extend their lead in the top three, while Monaco needs points to break free from their recent slump.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances that could heavily influence the outcome.
- Marseille: The home side has been on a decent run with three wins in their last five matches, showcasing a potent attack that averages 2.2 goals per game. Their home form has been particularly strong, scoring an impressive 2.8 goals per match while conceding just 1.2.
- Monaco: Conversely, Monaco finds themselves in a troubling run, having lost four out of their last five matches. They have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.6 goals per match in their recent outings, while defensively, they are leaking 2 goals per game, which highlights their vulnerabilities on the road.
Head-to-Head
The recent head-to-head history between these two sides indicates a competitive rivalry. In their last eight encounters, both teams have claimed three victories each, with two matches ending in draws. The average goals scored per match in these clashes is 3.13, pointing to an entertaining matchup. The last five results reveal a mix of high-scoring games, with notable results like Marseille's 3-0 win and a thrilling 3-2 contest.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Marseille's attacking prowess will be crucial in this match, especially with the likes of M. Greenwood leading the frontline. His ability to exploit defensive gaps will be key against a struggling Monaco defense. Monaco, on the other hand, will need to tighten their backline, with E. Dier and M. Salisu tasked with containing Marseille's dynamic attackers. If Monaco can find a way to capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks, they might pose a threat. However, their recent form suggests they will be more focused on defensive solidity.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win
Predicted Score: 2:1
Reasoning: With Marseille's solid home form and the statistical model indicating a 67.7% probability of a home win, alongside Monaco's struggles, the prediction leans heavily towards Marseille. Their superior xG and home advantage further support this forecast.
Betting Tips
Considering the statistics and probabilities, several value bets emerge.
- Safe Bet (High Confidence): Match Winner - Home @ 1.92 (67.7%)
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.52 (74.6%, +24.6% value vs. 50% implied)
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.48 (69.5%, +19.5% value vs. 50% implied)
Bet responsibly.
Marseille vs. Monaco: Clash of Ligue 1 Rivals
Key Match Stakes
This match pits third-placed Marseille against seventh-placed Monaco in a crucial Ligue 1 encounter. With Marseille looking to solidify their top position and Monaco seeking to revive their faltering season, the stakes couldn't be higher. A win for Marseille could extend their lead in the top three, while Monaco needs points to break free from their recent slump.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances that could heavily influence the outcome.
- Marseille: The home side has been on a decent run with three wins in their last five matches, showcasing a potent attack that averages 2.2 goals per game. Their home form has been particularly strong, scoring an impressive 2.8 goals per match while conceding just 1.2.
- Monaco: Conversely, Monaco finds themselves in a troubling run, having lost four out of their last five matches. They have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.6 goals per match in their recent outings, while defensively, they are leaking 2 goals per game, which highlights their vulnerabilities on the road.
Head-to-Head
The recent head-to-head history between these two sides indicates a competitive rivalry. In their last eight encounters, both teams have claimed three victories each, with two matches ending in draws. The average goals scored per match in these clashes is 3.13, pointing to an entertaining matchup. The last five results reveal a mix of high-scoring games, with notable results like Marseille's 3-0 win and a thrilling 3-2 contest.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Marseille's attacking prowess will be crucial in this match, especially with the likes of M. Greenwood leading the frontline. His ability to exploit defensive gaps will be key against a struggling Monaco defense. Monaco, on the other hand, will need to tighten their backline, with E. Dier and M. Salisu tasked with containing Marseille's dynamic attackers. If Monaco can find a way to capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks, they might pose a threat. However, their recent form suggests they will be more focused on defensive solidity.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Home Win
Predicted Score: 2:1
Reasoning: With Marseille's solid home form and the statistical model indicating a 67.7% probability of a home win, alongside Monaco's struggles, the prediction leans heavily towards Marseille. Their superior xG and home advantage further support this forecast.
Betting Tips
Considering the statistics and probabilities, several value bets emerge.
- Safe Bet (High Confidence): Match Winner - Home @ 1.92 (67.7%)
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.52 (74.6%, +24.6% value vs. 50% implied)
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.48 (69.5%, +19.5% value vs. 50% implied)
Bet responsibly.


Ligue 1 2025-2026