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Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 29
Preview
Marseille
Marseille
3rd place
Form
VS
19:05
10 Apr 2026
Metz
Metz
18th place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Marseille
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Marseille vs Metz: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 10 April, 2026 14:05

Winner (1x2)1.31
Marseille to Win
Probability 73%
Total Goals1.52
Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Both Teams to Score1.91
No (NG)
Probability 54%
Marseille Total1.81
Home Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Metz Total1.03
Away Under 2.5
Probability 96%
Double Chance1.07
Marseille/Draw
Probability 91%
Asian Handicap1.45
Metz +2.5
Probability 73%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
19:05
Marseille W 73%
:
Metz W 9%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Marseille
l w w w l
18 Played
11 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (40 total)
xG
1.60 (28.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (249 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (39% acc)
Corners
5.4 (97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
13 (234 total)
Offsides
1.2 (21 total)
17 Played
7 Wins
1 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (25 total)
xG
1.30 (22.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (227 total)
Shots on Target
5 (37% acc)
Corners
4.4 (74 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.9 (203 total)
Offsides
1.1 (18 total)
35 Played
18 Wins
4 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (65 total)
xG
1.50 (51.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (476 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (38% acc)
Corners
4.9 (171 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
12.5 (437 total)
Offsides
1.1 (39 total)
Metz
l l l l d
13 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (13 total)
xG
1.10 (14.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (139 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (33% acc)
Corners
4.5 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.7 (152 total)
Offsides
1.2 (16 total)
14 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (12 total)
xG
0.80 (11.3 total)
Shots per Match
7.6 (107 total)
Shots on Target
2.3 (30% acc)
Corners
3.3 (46 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.6 per match
xGa
2.10 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.7 (150 total)
Offsides
1.3 (18 total)
27 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
19 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (25 total)
xG
0.90 (25.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (246 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (32% acc)
Corners
3.9 (104 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
11.2 (302 total)
Offsides
1.3 (34 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.25 vs 0.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.22%
0:1
3.45%
0:2
0.96%
0:3
0.18%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
13.04%
1:1
8.2%
1:2
2.54%
1:3
0.52%
1:4
0.08%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
13.65%
🔥
2:1
9.6%
2:2
3.3%
2:3
0.74%
2:4
0.12%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
9.53%
3:1
7.41%
3:2
2.8%
3:3
0.69%
3:4
0.12%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
4.99%
4:1
4.25%
4:2
1.75%
4:3
0.47%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
2.09%
5:1
1.94%
5:2
0.87%
5:3
0.25%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 2:0 (13.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.2%
0
16.5%
1
22.8%
2
21.8%
3
16.2%
4
10.0%
5
4.5%
6
1.5%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MarseilleHDPMetz
26.8%
Low@ 2.93
-2.5
0.5%
Very Low
37.7%
Low@ 2.31
-2
1.6%
Very Low
48.5%
Medium@ 1.84
-1.5
2.6%
Very Low
60.5%
High@ 1.39
-1
6.4%
Very Low
72.4%
High@ 1.27
-0.5
10.1%
Very Low
89.9%
Very High
+0.5
27.6%
@ 3.55Low
93.6%
Very High
+1
39.5%
@ 3.15Low
97.4%
Very High
+1.5
51.5%
@ 2.12Medium
98.4%
Very High
+2
62.3%
@ 1.67High
99.5%
Very High
+2.5
73.2%
@ 1.45High

Team Total Predictions

MarseilleOutcomeMetz
65.8%
High@ 1.33
Over 1.5
15.9%
@ 5.05Very Low
34.3%
Low@ 3.40
Under 1.5
84.1%
@ 1.18Very High
39.1%
Low@ 2.03
Over 2.5
3.5%
@ 17.00Very Low
60.9%
High@ 1.81
Under 2.5
96.5%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Marseille will take on Metz as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-04-10 at 2026-04-10 in the famous Orange Vélodrome. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Marseille, and the visiting side, Metz. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Marseille. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-10 Time: 19:05 Location: Orange Vélodrome Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Marseille vs Metz Friday, Apr 10th, 2026 at 14:05 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Asian Handicap Metz +2.5
Value
Prob: 73.2%
EV: +6.1%
Stake: $5.56
1.45
Asian Handicap Metz +2
Value
Prob: 62.3%
EV: +4.1%
Stake: $3.73
1.67
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-04 06:29:23
spinner

Trends for Marseille vs Metz Football 10 Apr, 2026 14:05

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📊
    League Position Mismatch

    Marseille in top 3 vs Metz in relegation zone — significant quality gap

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Marseille create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Marseille vs Metz

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 5).
🔄 Second Half: Metz is stronger in the second half (18 vs 13).
⚡ Final Stage: Metz is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Marseille

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.39
Pressure
0.21

✈️ Metz

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.2

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Marseille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Metz - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Marseille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Metz - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 5)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Marseille scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Metz shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 13 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Metz winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Metz excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Metz scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Marseille has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Marseille handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.009
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.012
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Marseille):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Metz):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Marseille
Metz

Marseille vs Metz Head-to-head statistics for Fri 10 Apr, 2026 @ 14:05 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
Lens
l d w l w
>
27
19
2
6
54
24
30
59
3
Marseille
l w w w l
>
27
15
4
8
54
35
19
49
4
Lyon
l l d d l
>
27
14
5
8
41
29
12
47

17
Nantes
l w l l l
>
26
4
5
17
24
45
-21
17
18
Metz
l l l l d
>
27
3
5
19
25
60
-35
14
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Marseille
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Marseille
VS
Metz
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (8)
0.8 (4)
xG
2.40
0.20
Shots
17.4 (87)
9 (45)
Shots on Target
5.6 (28)
3.4 (17)
Corners
7.2 (36)
4.2 (21)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (4)
1.6 (8)
xGa
0.20
2.40
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 (7)
1.6 (8)
Red Cards
0.2 (1)
0.4 (2)
Fouls
8.4 (42)
11.6 (58)
Offsides
2 (10)
1.8 (9)
4 Oct
- 15:00
Metz
Marseille
0.15
xG
2.36
0
3
9 Feb
- 20:00
Marseille
Metz
1
1
18 Aug
- 19:00
Metz
Marseille
2
2
13 Feb
- 19:45
Metz
Marseille
1
2
7 Nov
- 12:00
Marseille
Metz
0
0
Last 6 Matches
Marseille
VS
Metz
3/6 (50%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
1.67 PPG 0.17
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
50% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.14 Avg xG 0.75
Marseille
L W W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Marseille
1 2
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Marseille
1 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 20:05
Toulouse
0 1
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Marseille
3 2
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Stade Brestois 29
2 0
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 16:00
Marseille
2 2
Strasbourg
Metz
L L L L D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Rennes
0 0
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Metz
3 4
Toulouse
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Lens
3 0
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Metz
0 1
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
3 0
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Metz
1 3
Auxerre

Marseille vs Metz: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Marseille and away matches for Metz

Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Metz
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Marseille
Metz
1
40% 4
0% 0
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
40% 4
80% 8
Double Chance
Marseille
Metz
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
60% 6
20% 2
X2
60% 6
100% 10
Total Goals
Marseille
Metz
0-1
20% 2
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Marseille
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Metz
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Marseille
Metz
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
70% 7
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Marseille
Metz
xG
1.13
0.75
xGa
1.44
1.61
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Metz
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2
Marseille
Metz
1
50% 5
0% 0
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
40% 4
70% 7
Double Chance
Marseille
Metz
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
60% 6
30% 3
X2
50% 5
100% 10
Total Goals
Marseille
Metz
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Metz
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Metz
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Metz
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Marseille
Metz
1
20% 2
0% 0
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Marseille
Metz
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
80% 8
100% 10
Total Goals
Marseille
Metz
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Metz
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1.89 xG 0.63
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots Off Goal 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found