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UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 • First qualifying round
Preview
Marseille
Marseille
16th place
Form
VS
20:00
21 Jan 2026
Liverpool
Liverpool
9th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Liverpool
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Marseille vs Liverpool: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 21 January, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)-
Marseille to Win
Probability 46%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 69%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 72%
Marseille Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 66%
Liverpool Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 77%
Double Chance-
Marseille/Draw
Probability 68%
Asian Handicap-
Marseille +2.5
Probability 95%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
20:00
Marseille W 46%
:
Liverpool W 32%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Marseille
d l w w l
12 Played
8 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (30 total)
xG
1.80 (21.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (166 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (42% acc)
Corners
5.2 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
13.7 (164 total)
Offsides
1.3 (16 total)
11 Played
5 Wins
0 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (17 total)
xG
1.30 (13.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (137 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (38% acc)
Corners
4.8 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.5 (126 total)
Offsides
1 (11 total)
23 Played
13 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (47 total)
xG
1.50 (35.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (303 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (40% acc)
Corners
5 (115 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
12.6 (290 total)
Offsides
1.2 (27 total)
Liverpool
w w d d d
13 Played
8 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (20 total)
xG
1.70 (22.6 total)
Shots per Match
17.4 (226 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (31% acc)
Corners
5.8 (75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.8 (128 total)
Offsides
2 (26 total)
14 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (23 total)
xG
1.50 (21.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (180 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (32% acc)
Corners
5.1 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.7 (136 total)
Offsides
2 (28 total)
27 Played
14 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (43 total)
xG
1.60 (43.9 total)
Shots per Match
15 (406 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (32% acc)
Corners
5.4 (147 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.8 (264 total)
Offsides
2 (54 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.05 vs 1.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.16%
0:1
4.52%
0:2
3.22%
0:3
1.53%
0:4
0.55%
0:5
0.16%
1
1:0
5.97%
1:1
9.04%
🔥
1:2
6.82%
1:3
3.42%
1:4
1.28%
1:5
0.38%
2
2:0
5.64%
2:1
9.02%
2:2
7.17%
2:3
3.78%
2:4
1.49%
2:5
0.47%
3
3:0
3.55%
3:1
5.98%
3:2
5%
3:3
2.77%
3:4
1.14%
3:5
0.37%
4
4:0
1.67%
4:1
2.97%
4:2
2.6%
4:3
1.51%
4:4
0.65%
4:5
0.22%
5
5:0
0.63%
5:1
1.17%
5:2
1.08%
5:3
0.65%
5:4
0.29%
5:5
0.11%
Hotspot: 1:1 (9.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.2%
0
10.5%
1
17.9%
2
20.9%
3
18.8%
4
13.8%
5
8.4%
6
4.2%
7
1.7%
8
0.5%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MarseilleHDPLiverpool
12.4%
Very Low
-2.5
4.7%
Very Low
19.8%
Very Low
-2
8.9%
Very Low
27.1%
Low
-1.5
13.1%
Very Low
37.7%
Low
-1
21.2%
Low
48.4%
Medium
-0.5
29.2%
Low
70.8%
High
+0.5
51.6%
Medium
78.8%
High
+1
62.2%
High
86.9%
Very High
+1.5
72.9%
High
91.1%
Very High
+2
80.2%
Very High
95.2%
Very High
+2.5
87.5%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

MarseilleOutcomeLiverpool
87.1%
Very High
Over 0.5
79.6%
High
12.9%
Very Low
Under 0.5
20.4%
Low
60.7%
High
Over 1.5
47.2%
Medium
39.3%
Low
Under 1.5
52.8%
Medium
33.7%
Low
Over 2.5
21.4%
Low
66.3%
High
Under 2.5
78.6%
High
15.2%
Very Low
Over 3.5
7.7%
Very Low
84.8%
Very High
Under 3.5
92.3%
Very High
In this exciting UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds matchup, Marseille will take on Liverpool as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Champions League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-21 at 2026-01-21 in the famous Orange Vélodrome. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Marseille, and the visiting side, Liverpool. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Liverpool. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-21 Time: 20:00 Location: Orange Vélodrome Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Marseille vs Liverpool Wednesday, Jan 21st, 2026 at 14:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Marseille vs Liverpool Football 21 Jan, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Stalemate

    Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Marseille vs Liverpool

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
🔄 Second Half: Marseille is stronger in the second half (14 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Marseille

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.16

✈️ Liverpool

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Marseille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Liverpool - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Marseille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Liverpool - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Marseille scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Marseille shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Marseille winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Marseille has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Marseille handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.367
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.084
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Marseille):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Liverpool):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Marseille
Liverpool

Marseille vs Liverpool Head-to-head statistics for Wed 21 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Liverpool
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Marseille
VS
Liverpool
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.50 PPG 2.00
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.33 Avg xG 1.25
Marseille
D L W W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Marseille
0 2
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Marseille
1 0
Monaco
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Union St. Gilloise
2 3
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Lille
1 0
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Marseille
2 2
Toulouse
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Marseille
2 1
Newcastle
Liverpool
W W D D D
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Arsenal
0 0
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 15:15
Fulham
2 2
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Liverpool
0 0
Leeds
Premier League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Liverpool
2 1
Wolves
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Tottenham
1 2
Liverpool
Premier League 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Liverpool
2 0
Brighton

Marseille vs Liverpool: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Marseille and away matches for Liverpool

Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Liverpool
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2
Marseille
Liverpool
1
60% 6
50% 5
X
10% 1
50% 5
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Marseille
Liverpool
12
90% 9
50% 5
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
40% 4
50% 5
Total Goals
Marseille
Liverpool
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Marseille
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Liverpool
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Marseille
Liverpool
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Marseille
Liverpool
xG
1.58
1.35
xGa
1.21
0.86
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Liverpool
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2
Marseille
Liverpool
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
20% 2
70% 7
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Marseille
Liverpool
12
80% 8
30% 3
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Marseille
Liverpool
0-1
70% 7
90% 9
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Liverpool
Yes
50% 5
90% 9
No
50% 5
10% 1
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Liverpool
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Marseille
Liverpool
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Marseille
Liverpool
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Marseille
Liverpool
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Liverpool
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1.18 xG 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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