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26 Dec 2025-20:00
Manchester United
Manchester United
7th place
- : -
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Newcastle
Newcastle
11th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Manchester United vs Newcastle: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 26 December, 2025 15:00

1×2 Prediction
Manchester United
38%26%36%
Manchester UnitedDrawNewcastle
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
53%47%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
60%40%
YesNo
Team Total - Manchester United
Under 2.5
82%18%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Newcastle
Under 2.5
82%18%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Manchester United/Draw
64%36%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Manchester United +1
72%28%
Home +1NOT Home +1
Best Tip
Double Chance Manchester United or Draw
Odds: 1.51
64%
Bet Now

Manchester United vs Newcastle: Premier League Clash Preview

A Battle for Mid-Table Supremacy

As the festive fixtures roll in, Manchester United will host Newcastle United at Old Trafford in a crucial matchup for both teams. With Manchester United sitting in 7th place with 26 points and Newcastle slightly trailing in 11th with 23 points, this match could be pivotal for both clubs' aspirations to climb the Premier League table, especially in a tightly contested season.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are looking for consistency as they navigate through the busy December schedule.

  • Manchester United: The Red Devils have been struggling to find their rhythm, managing just two wins in their last five matches. They are potent in attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game, but their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Recent home form shows a slight improvement, but they were edged out in their last outing against Aston Villa.
  • Newcastle: The Magpies have also been inconsistent, with two wins in their last five. Their away form is particularly concerning, having lost four of their last five matches on the road. They average 1.4 goals scored away while conceding 2, making this match a test of their defensive resilience against a potent United attack.

Head-to-Head

The historical context between these two teams suggests a closely matched rivalry. In their last ten encounters, both clubs have won four each, with two matches ending in draws. Notably, the average goals scored in these matchups is quite high at 3.1, indicating that fans can expect an entertaining clash. The last five results show a mix of outcomes, including a dominant 4-1 victory for United and a strong 0-2 win for Newcastle, highlighting the unpredictability of their encounters.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactical setups, Manchester United typically employs an attacking style, which might be bolstered by their home advantage. The absence of Bruno Fernandes due to injury could be a significant blow, as he has been a key playmaker in midfield. Newcastle will look to exploit this gap, with Bruno Guimarães available to orchestrate their play. His ability to control the midfield and link up with the forwards could prove critical in countering United's attack.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Given the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, along with their recent forms, a draw seems the most likely outcome. The statistical model indicates a balanced matchup, reflected in the probabilities for each team.

Betting Tips

When considering betting options, it's essential to focus on value bets that align with the statistical predictions.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - Home/Draw @ 1.51 (63.9%).
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.7 (26.4% probability, +23.6% value vs. 27% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
15:00
Manchester United W 38%
:
Newcastle W 36%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.43 vs 1.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.36%
0:1
8.5%
0:2
5.68%
0:3
2.53%
0:4
0.85%
0:5
0.23%
1
1:0
8.43%
1:1
11.9%
🔥
1:2
8.38%
1:3
3.92%
1:4
1.37%
1:5
0.38%
2
2:0
5.59%
2:1
8.31%
2:2
6.15%
2:3
3.02%
2:4
1.11%
2:5
0.32%
3
3:0
2.47%
3:1
3.86%
3:2
3%
3:3
1.54%
3:4
0.59%
3:5
0.18%
4
4:0
0.82%
4:1
1.34%
4:2
1.09%
4:3
0.59%
4:4
0.23%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.22%
5:1
0.37%
5:2
0.32%
5:3
0.18%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.4%
0
16.9%
1
23.2%
2
21.7%
3
15.6%
4
9.2%
5
4.5%
6
1.8%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
Sunderland
w d l w d
>
17
7
6
4
19
17
2
27
7
17
7
5
5
31
28
3
26
8
Crystal Palace
l w w l l
>
17
7
5
5
21
19
2
26

10
Everton
l w w l l
>
17
7
3
7
18
20
-2
24
11
Newcastle
w d w l d
>
17
6
5
6
23
22
1
23
12
Brentford
w l l d w
>
17
7
2
8
24
25
-1
23
1.34 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Manchester United
VS
Newcastle
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.33 PPG 1.83
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
83% BTTS % 83%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
2.14 Avg xG 1.71
Manchester United
W D W D L
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Aston Villa
2 1
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
15 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
4 4
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Wolves
1 4
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
1 1
West Ham
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 12:00
Crystal Palace
1 2
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
24 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
0 1
Everton
Newcastle
D W D L D
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Newcastle
2 2
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Sunderland
1 0
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
2 2
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
6 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Newcastle
2 1
Burnley
Premier League 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Newcastle
2 2
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Everton
1 4
Newcastle
Missing Players
Manchester United
16
m
- Injured - International duty
37
m
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - International duty
19
f
- Injured - International duty
- Injured - Back Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
Newcastle
4
d
- Injured - Lower Back Injury
33
d
- Injured - Chest Injury
17
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
18
f
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
1
g
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Manchester United will take on Newcastle as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2025-12-26 at 2025-12-26 in the famous Old Trafford. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Manchester United, and the visiting side, Newcastle. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Newcastle. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-26 Time: 20:00 Location: Old Trafford Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Manchester United vs Newcastle Friday, Dec 26th, 2025 at 15:00 Football

Value Bets

1 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Asian Handicap Newcastle +1.5
Odds: 1.27
83.7%
EV: +6.3% Stake: $9.26
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 04:00:26
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Trends for Manchester United vs Newcastle Football 26 Dec, 2025 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Manchester United create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Manchester United vs Newcastle

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Manchester United

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Newcastle

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Manchester United - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Newcastle - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Manchester United - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Newcastle - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Newcastle has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Newcastle handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Manchester United):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Newcastle):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Manchester United
Newcastle

Manchester United vs Newcastle Head-to-head statistics for Fri 26 Dec, 2025 @ 15:00 Premier League

Manchester United vs Newcastle: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Manchester United and away matches for Newcastle

Number of goals
Manchester United
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester United
Newcastle
Yes
90% 9
80% 8
No
10% 1
20% 2
1X2
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Manchester United
Newcastle
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Manchester United
Newcastle
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
50% 5
50% 5
Total Corners
Manchester United
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Manchester United
Newcastle
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Manchester United
Newcastle
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 1 - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Manchester United
Newcastle
xG
1.66
1.55
xGa
1.28
1.18
Number of goals
Manchester United
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester United
Newcastle
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
50% 5
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Manchester United
Newcastle
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
50% 5
40% 4
Total Goals
Manchester United
Newcastle
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Manchester United
Newcastle
Yes
50% 5
90% 9
No
50% 5
10% 1
Number of goals
Manchester United
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester United
Newcastle
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Manchester United
Newcastle
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Manchester United
Newcastle
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Manchester United
Newcastle
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
Team comparison
Prediction
Manchester United or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
5.8%
Low
10.50
6.0%
Low
11.50
-2
11.1%
Low
9.40
11.4%
Low
10.00
-1.5
16.5%
Low
4.80
16.8%
Low
5.25
-1
26.6%
Low
3.94
27.0%
Low
4.69
-0.5
36.7%
Low
2.56
37.2%
Low
2.73
+0.5
62.8%
Medium
1.53
63.3%
Medium
1.57
+1
73.0%
High
1.22
73.4%
High
1.32
+1.5
83.2%
High
1.16
83.5%
High
1.27
+2
88.6%
High
1.05
88.9%
High
1.10
+2.5
94.0%
High
1.04
94.2%
High
1.05
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.96%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.541.70%Low2.10
Under 1.558.30%Medium1.80
AwayOver 1.542.08%Low2.15
Under 1.557.92%Medium1.74
HomeOver 2.517.28%Low4.50
Under 2.582.72%High1.21
AwayOver 2.517.55%Low4.75
Under 2.582.45%High1.20
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
13 Apr
- 15:30
Newcastle
Manchester United
2.17
xG
0.72
4
1
30 Dec
- 20:00
Manchester United
Newcastle
0.90
xG
1.92
0
2
15 May
- 19:00
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
2
2 Dec
- 20:00
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
0
2 Apr
- 15:30
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
0
16 Oct
- 13:00
Manchester United
Newcastle
0
0
27 Dec
- 20:00
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
1
11 Sep
- 14:00
Manchester United
Newcastle
4
1
21 Feb
- 19:00
Manchester United
Newcastle
3
1
17 Oct
- 19:00
Newcastle
Manchester United
1
4
club logo
Manchester United
Newcastle
Played: 10
Wins
4
Draws
2
Wins
4
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
16
1.6
Goals
1.5
15
15
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.6
16
17
1.7
Yellow Cards
1.2
12
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.1
Clean Sheets
0.4
4
47
4.7
Corners
4.6
46
115
11.5
Fouls
8
80
14
1.4
Offsides
1.5
15
142
14.2
Shots
14.1
141
50
5
Shots on Goal
5.1
51
Home Away All
Played 8 9 17
Wins 4 3 7
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 2 3 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 16 1.7 15 1.8 31
Goals Conceded 1.5 12 1.8 16 1.6 28
Yellow Cards 1.5 12 1.4 13 1.5 25
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Corners 4.5 36 4.7 42 4.6 78
Fouls 10.6 85 8.2 74 9.4 159
Offsides 1.5 12 1.6 14 1.5 26
Shots 18.8 150 14.1 127 16.3 277
Shots on Goal 6.1 49 5 45 5.5 94
Home Away All
Played 9 8 17
Wins 5 1 6
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 2 4 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.8 16 0.9 7 1.4 23
Goals Conceded 1.3 12 1.3 10 1.3 22
Yellow Cards 1.1 10 1.5 12 1.3 22
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.2 2 0.4 3 0.3 5
Corners 7.1 64 4.8 38 6 102
Fouls 11 99 8.6 69 9.9 168
Offsides 1.4 13 0.5 4 1 17
Shots 13.7 123 9.9 79 11.9 202
Shots on Goal 5.4 49 2.9 23 4.2 72
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Transfer Roundup: Liverpool Eyes Bundesliga Star, Man Utd Secures Key Signing, Tottenham Pursues £40m ‘Leader’
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Report: Man United Aiming to Intensify Efforts to Acquire Premier League Star
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Alan Shearer's Premier League Insights: Shearer's Forecasts for Matchday 15 on
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Report: Newcastle Interested in Bundesliga Star Playmaker
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Top Premier League Stars Expected to Shine at AFCON 2025
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Are Aston Villa the Champions of Premier League Comebacks?
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