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Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18 26 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United
7th place
Form
1 : 0
1.17
xG
1.18
Full Time
Half Time: 1-0
Newcastle
Newcastle
6th place
Form
24'
P. Dorgu
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Manchester United vs Newcastle Football Match Stats & Results Friday, 26 December, 2025 14:00

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
4'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
2'
Winner (1x2)-
Manchester United to Win
Probability 39%
Total Goals1.71
Over 2.5
Probability 63%
Both Teams to Score1.53
Yes
Probability 60%
Manchester United Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 76%
Newcastle Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 76%
Double Chance1.51
Manchester United/Draw
Probability 64%
Asian Handicap-
Manchester United +2.5
Probability 92%

Manchester United vs Newcastle: Premier League Clash Preview

A Battle for Mid-Table Supremacy

As the festive fixtures roll in, Manchester United will host Newcastle United at Old Trafford in a crucial matchup for both teams. With Manchester United sitting in 7th place with 26 points and Newcastle slightly trailing in 11th with 23 points, this match could be pivotal for both clubs' aspirations to climb the Premier League table, especially in a tightly contested season.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are looking for consistency as they navigate through the busy December schedule.

  • Manchester United: The Red Devils have been struggling to find their rhythm, managing just two wins in their last five matches. They are potent in attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game, but their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Recent home form shows a slight improvement, but they were edged out in their last outing against Aston Villa.
  • Newcastle: The Magpies have also been inconsistent, with two wins in their last five. Their away form is particularly concerning, having lost four of their last five matches on the road. They average 1.4 goals scored away while conceding 2, making this match a test of their defensive resilience against a potent United attack.

Head-to-Head

The historical context between these two teams suggests a closely matched rivalry. In their last ten encounters, both clubs have won four each, with two matches ending in draws. Notably, the average goals scored in these matchups is quite high at 3.1, indicating that fans can expect an entertaining clash. The last five results show a mix of outcomes, including a dominant 4-1 victory for United and a strong 0-2 win for Newcastle, highlighting the unpredictability of their encounters.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactical setups, Manchester United typically employs an attacking style, which might be bolstered by their home advantage. The absence of Bruno Fernandes due to injury could be a significant blow, as he has been a key playmaker in midfield. Newcastle will look to exploit this gap, with Bruno Guimarães available to orchestrate their play. His ability to control the midfield and link up with the forwards could prove critical in countering United's attack.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Given the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, along with their recent forms, a draw seems the most likely outcome. The statistical model indicates a balanced matchup, reflected in the probabilities for each team.

Betting Tips

When considering betting options, it's essential to focus on value bets that align with the statistical predictions.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - Home/Draw @ 1.51 (63.9%).
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.7 (26.4% probability, +23.6% value vs. 27% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Manchester United
Newcastle
P. Dorgu
Goal 1:0 24'
P. Dorgu
J. Fletcher
Substitute 46'
In:J. Fletcher
Out:Mason Mount
J. Zirkzee
Substitute 60'
In:J. Zirkzee
Out:B. Šeško
L. Yoro
Substitute 61'
In:L. Yoro
Out:Casemiro
68' Substitute
In:Joelinton
Out:J. Ramsey
Joelinton
68' Substitute
In:Y. Wissa
Out:N. Woltemade
Y. Wissa
68' Substitute
In:H. Barnes
Out:J. Murphy
H. Barnes
L. Shaw
Yellow Card 69'
L. Shaw
Delay of game
73' Yellow Card
S. Tonali
Roughing
S. Tonali
77' Substitute
In:J. Willock
Out:S. Tonali
J. Willock
T. Fredricson
Substitute 88'
In:T. Fredricson
Out:L. Martínez
T. Malacia
Substitute 88'
In:T. Malacia
Out:L. Shaw
Matheus Cunha
Yellow Card 90' +2'
Matheus Cunha
Roughing

Manchester United vs Newcastle: Premier League Clash Preview

A Battle for Mid-Table Supremacy

As the festive fixtures roll in, Manchester United will host Newcastle United at Old Trafford in a crucial matchup for both teams. With Manchester United sitting in 7th place with 26 points and Newcastle slightly trailing in 11th with 23 points, this match could be pivotal for both clubs' aspirations to climb the Premier League table, especially in a tightly contested season.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are looking for consistency as they navigate through the busy December schedule.

  • Manchester United: The Red Devils have been struggling to find their rhythm, managing just two wins in their last five matches. They are potent in attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game, but their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Recent home form shows a slight improvement, but they were edged out in their last outing against Aston Villa.
  • Newcastle: The Magpies have also been inconsistent, with two wins in their last five. Their away form is particularly concerning, having lost four of their last five matches on the road. They average 1.4 goals scored away while conceding 2, making this match a test of their defensive resilience against a potent United attack.

Head-to-Head

The historical context between these two teams suggests a closely matched rivalry. In their last ten encounters, both clubs have won four each, with two matches ending in draws. Notably, the average goals scored in these matchups is quite high at 3.1, indicating that fans can expect an entertaining clash. The last five results show a mix of outcomes, including a dominant 4-1 victory for United and a strong 0-2 win for Newcastle, highlighting the unpredictability of their encounters.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactical setups, Manchester United typically employs an attacking style, which might be bolstered by their home advantage. The absence of Bruno Fernandes due to injury could be a significant blow, as he has been a key playmaker in midfield. Newcastle will look to exploit this gap, with Bruno Guimarães available to orchestrate their play. His ability to control the midfield and link up with the forwards could prove critical in countering United's attack.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: Given the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, along with their recent forms, a draw seems the most likely outcome. The statistical model indicates a balanced matchup, reflected in the probabilities for each team.

Betting Tips

When considering betting options, it's essential to focus on value bets that align with the statistical predictions.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - Home/Draw @ 1.51 (63.9%).
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.7 (26.4% probability, +23.6% value vs. 27% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Manchester United vs Newcastle Formation Lineups for Fri 26 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 Premier League

Formation
6.9
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
6.6
Newcastle
4-3-3
S. Lammens
7.2
Lammens 31
L. Shaw
6.9
88'
Shaw 23
L. Martínez
7
88'
Martínez 6
A. Heaven
7.3
Heaven 26
Diogo Dalot
7.3
Dalot 2
M. Ugarte
6.6
Ugarte 25
Casemiro
6.7
61'
Casemiro 18
Matheus Cunha
6.9
Cunha 10
Mason Mount
6.7
46'
Mount 7
P. Dorgu
8.2
Dorgu 13
B. Šeško
6.3
60'
Šeško 30
A. Ramsdale
6.3
Ramsdale 32
L. Hall
7.2
Hall 3
F. Schär
6.9
Schär 5
M. Thiaw
6.9
Thiaw 12
L. Miley
6.7
Miley 67
J. Ramsey
6.7
68'
Ramsey 41
Bruno Guimarães
6.9
Guimarães 39
S. Tonali
6.9
77'
Tonali 8
A. Gordon
6.9
Gordon 10
N. Woltemade
6
68'
Woltemade 27
J. Murphy
6.6
68'
Murphy 23
field field
Substitutes
Zirkzee
6.5
60'
Zirkzee 11
Yoro
6.3
61'
Yoro 15
Fredricson
88'
Fredricson 33
Malacia
88'
Malacia 12
Joelinton
6.5
68'
Joelinton 7
Wissa
6.3
68'
Wissa 9
Barnes
6.2
68'
Barnes 11
Willock
6.3
77'
Willock 28
LineUps
Manchester United
31
g
7.2
7.3
26
d
7.3
88'
7
23
d
69'88'
6.9
18
m
61'
6.7
25
m
6.6
13
d
24'
8.2
46'
6.7
90'
6.9
30
f
60'
6.3
Substitutes
46'
6.5
11
f
60'
6.5
15
d
61'
6.3
12
d
88'
88'
Coach
Newcastle
6.3
67
m
6.7
12
d
6.9
5
d
6.9
3
d
7.2
8
m
73'77'
6.9
6.9
41
m
68'
6.7
23
m
68'
6.6
68'
6
10
f
6.9
Substitutes
7
m
68'
6.5
9
f
68'
6.3
11
m
68'
6.2
1
g
37
d
61
d
28
m
77'
6.3
62
f
Coach
Missing Players
Manchester United
16
m
- Injured - International duty
37
m
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - International duty
19
f
- Injured - International duty
- Injured - Back Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
Newcastle
4
d
- Injured - Lower Back Injury
33
d
- Injured - Chest Injury
17
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
18
f
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
1
g
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury

Manchester United vs Newcastle Head-to-head statistics for Fri 26 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 Premier League

Manchester United
Newcastle
Off Target 6
On Target 3
On Target 3
Off Target 13 Blocked 7
1 Goals 0
34 Ball Possession 66
9 Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 7
8 Shots insidebox 14
1 Shots outsidebox 2
316 Total passes 582
78 Passes accurate % 87
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
9 Fouls 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Offsides 1
2 Corners 11
1.17 Expected Goals 1.18

Stats for Manchester United vs Newcastle Friday, Dec 26th, 2025 at 14:00 Football

Manchester United
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Newcastle
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
P. Dorgu
8.2
Defender
2
Diogo Dalot
Defender
7.3
3
L. Hall
Defender
7.2
4
Bruno Guimarães
6.9