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Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 22
Preview
Manchester United
Manchester United
7th place
Form
VS
12:30
17 Jan 2026
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction +2.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Manchester United vs Manchester City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 6:30

Winner (1x2)2.02
Manchester City to Win
Probability 56%
Total Goals1.55
Over 2.5
Probability 69%
Both Teams to Score1.51
Yes
Probability 69%
Manchester United Total1.63
Home Under 1.5
Probability 58%
Manchester City Total1.67
Away Over 1.5
Probability 66%
Double Chance1.31
Draw/Manchester City
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap1.33
Manchester City +0.5
Probability 77%
Best Tip
Value
Goals Over/Under +2.5
Odds 1.55
Win Prob. 69.4% EV: +7.6%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
12:30
Manchester United W 24%
:
Manchester City W 56%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Manchester United
l w d d d
10 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (18 total)
xG
1.80 (17.7 total)
Shots per Match
17.4 (174 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (33% acc)
Corners
4.6 (46 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.3 (103 total)
Offsides
1.5 (15 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (18 total)
xG
1.70 (18.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.5 (171 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
8.3 (91 total)
Offsides
1.5 (17 total)
21 Played
8 Wins
8 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (36 total)
xG
1.70 (36.1 total)
Shots per Match
16.4 (345 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (33% acc)
Corners
4.7 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.2 (194 total)
Offsides
1.5 (32 total)
Manchester City
w w d d d
14 Played
10 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4 (33 total)
xG
1.90 (26.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.6 (233 total)
Shots on Target
6.6 (40% acc)
Corners
7.1 (99 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9 (126 total)
Offsides
1.1 (15 total)
13 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (24 total)
xG
1.60 (21.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (161 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (37% acc)
Corners
3.6 (47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.2 (133 total)
Offsides
1.2 (15 total)
27 Played
17 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (57 total)
xG
1.80 (48.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.6 (394 total)
Shots on Target
5.7 (39% acc)
Corners
5.4 (146 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.6 (259 total)
Offsides
1.1 (30 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.43 vs 2.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.57%
0:1
5.82%
0:2
6.59%
0:3
4.97%
0:4
2.82%
0:5
1.28%
1
1:0
3.63%
1:1
8.27%
1:2
9.41%
🔥
1:3
7.14%
1:4
4.06%
1:5
1.85%
2
2:0
2.57%
2:1
5.88%
2:2
6.72%
2:3
5.12%
2:4
2.93%
2:5
1.34%
3
3:0
1.21%
3:1
2.78%
3:2
3.2%
3:3
2.45%
3:4
1.41%
3:5
0.65%
4
4:0
0.43%
4:1
0.99%
4:2
1.14%
4:3
0.88%
4:4
0.51%
4:5
0.23%
5
5:0
0.12%
5:1
0.28%
5:2
0.33%
5:3
0.25%
5:4
0.15%
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot: 1:2 (9.4%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.6%
0
9.5%
1
17.4%
2
21.5%
3
19.9%
4
14.8%
5
8.6%
6
3.9%
7
1.4%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Manchester UnitedHDPManchester City
3.5%
Very Low@ 15.50
-2.5
18.5%
@ 6.60Very Low
6.8%
Very Low@ 14.00
-2
26.9%
@ 5.75Low
10.1%
Very Low@ 6.80
-1.5
35.4%
@ 3.54Low
16.8%
Very Low@ 5.90
-1
46.0%
@ 2.82Medium
23.4%
Low@ 3.54
-0.5
56.7%
@ 2.02Medium
43.3%
Medium@ 1.94
+0.5
76.6%
@ 1.33High
54.0%
Medium@ 1.62
+1
83.2%
@ 1.13Very High
64.6%
High@ 1.37
+1.5
89.9%
@ 1.10Very High
73.0%
High@ 1.14
+2
93.2%
@ 1.02Very High
81.5%
Very High@ 1.11
+2.5
96.4%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

Manchester UnitedOutcomeManchester City
76.1%
High@ 1.28
Over 0.5
89.8%
@ 1.13Very High
23.9%
Low@ 3.80
Under 0.5
10.2%
@ 6.00Very Low
41.9%
Medium@ 2.38
Over 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.69High
58.2%
Medium@ 1.63
Under 1.5
33.6%
@ 2.23Low
17.4%
Very Low@ 5.50
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 3.20Low
82.6%
Very High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.38High
5.7%
Very Low@ 15.00
Over 3.5
19.7%
@ 7.10Very Low
94.3%
Very High@ 1.04
Under 3.5
80.3%
@ 1.11Very High
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Manchester United will take on Manchester City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Old Trafford. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Manchester United, and the visiting side, Manchester City. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Manchester City. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 12:30 Location: Old Trafford Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Manchester United vs Manchester City Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 6:30 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

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Match Winner Manchester City
Value
Prob: 56.3%
EV: +13.6%
Stake: $2.45
2.02
Premium Tip Manchester City Over 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Away Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 66.5%
EV: +11.0%
Stake: $3.73
1.67
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 69.4%
EV: +6.2%
Stake: $4.72
1.53
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 69.2%
EV: +4.4%
Stake: $4.90
1.51
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 79.9%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $8.62
1.29
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 69.2%
EV: +1.7%
Stake: $5.32
1.47
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 76.3%
EV: +1.5%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:01:18
spinner

Trends for Manchester United vs Manchester City Football 17 Jan, 2026 6:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🎯
    Goal Fest Potential

    Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Manchester United vs Manchester City

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Manchester United is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Manchester United is stronger in the second half (14 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Manchester United is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Manchester United

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Manchester City

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Manchester United - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Manchester City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Manchester United - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
17
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Manchester City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Manchester United often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Manchester United scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Manchester United shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Manchester United winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Manchester United excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Manchester United scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Manchester City has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Manchester City handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.117
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.096
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Manchester United):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Manchester City):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Manchester United
Manchester City

Manchester United vs Manchester City Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 6:30 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Arsenal
w w w w d
>
21
15
4
2
40
14
26
49
2
Manchester City
w w d d d
>
21
13
4
4
45
19
26
43
3
Aston Villa
w w l w d
>
21
13
4
4
33
24
9
43

6
Newcastle
d l w w w
>
21
9
5
7
32
27
5
32
7
21
8
8
5
36
32
4
32
8
Chelsea
d l d d l
>
21
8
7
6
34
24
10
31
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Manchester United
VS
Manchester City
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (11)
2.1 (23)
xG
1.50
1.10
Shots
8.6 (95)
16.2 (178)
Shots on Target
3.1 (34)
5.9 (65)
Corners
2.9 (32)
6.7 (74)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 (23)
1 (11)
xGa
1.10
1.50
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
5 (45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 (21)
0.6 (7)
Fouls
11.5 (126)
7 (77)
Offsides
2.6 (29)
0.9 (10)
14 Sep
- 15:30
Manchester City
Manchester United
1.74
xG
1.56
3
0
Prob 75%
Double Chance 1X
Odd 1.23
6 Apr
- 15:30
Manchester United
Manchester City
0.91
xG
0.49
0
0
15 Dec
- 16:30
Manchester City
Manchester United
0.95
xG
2.08
1
2
25 May
- 14:00
Manchester City
Manchester United
1
2
3 Mar
- 15:30
Manchester City
Manchester United
3
1
29 Oct
- 15:30
Manchester United
Manchester City
0
3
14 Jan
- 12:30
Manchester United
Manchester City
2
1
2 Oct
- 13:00
Manchester City
Manchester United
6
3
6 Mar
- 16:30
Manchester City
Manchester United
4
1
6 Nov
- 12:30
Manchester United
Manchester City
0
2
Last 6 Matches
Manchester United
VS
Manchester City
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.17 PPG 2.00
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
83% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.70 Avg xG 1.73
Manchester United
L W D D D
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Burnley
2 2
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 12:30
Leeds
1 1
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Manchester United
1 1
Wolves
Premier League 2025-2026
26 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
1 0
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Aston Villa
2 1
Manchester United
Premier League 2025-2026
15 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Manchester United
4 4
Bournemouth
Manchester City
W W D D D
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Jan 2026 - 19:30
Manchester City
1 1
Brighton
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Manchester City
1 1
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Sunderland
0 0
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Nottingham Forest
1 2
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Manchester City
3 0
West Ham
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Crystal Palace
0 3
Manchester City

Manchester United vs Manchester City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Manchester United and away matches for Manchester City

Number of goals
Manchester United
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Manchester United
Manchester City
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
1X2
Manchester United
Manchester City
1
30% 3
70% 7
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
Manchester United
Manchester City
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
70% 7
30% 3
Total Goals
Manchester United
Manchester City
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
70% 7
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Manchester United
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Manchester United
Manchester City
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Manchester United
Manchester City
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Manchester United
Manchester City
xG
1.85
2.05
xGa
0.94
1.13
Number of goals
Manchester United
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester United
Manchester City
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Manchester United
Manchester City
1
20% 2
80% 8
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Manchester United
Manchester City
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
80% 8
20% 2
Total Goals
Manchester United
Manchester City
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Manchester United
Manchester City
Yes
30% 3
80% 8
No
70% 7
20% 2
Number of goals
Manchester United
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester United
Manchester City
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Manchester United
Manchester City
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Manchester United
Manchester City
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Manchester United
Manchester City
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Manchester United
Manchester City
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1.47 xG 2.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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