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Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 27
Preview
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
Form
VS
20:00
21 Feb 2026
Newcastle
Newcastle
10th place
Form
AI Prediction Newcastle Under 1.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Manchester City vs Newcastle: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 February, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)1.50
Manchester City to Win
Probability 74%
Total Goals1.47
Over 2.5
Probability 67%
Both Teams to Score1.62
Yes
Probability 53%
Manchester City Total1.43
Home Over 1.5
Probability 66%
Newcastle Total1.37
Away Under 1.5
Probability 84%
Double Chance1.16
Manchester City/Draw
Probability 90%
Asian Handicap1.53
Manchester City -0.5
Probability 75%

Betting Tip

Newcastle Under 1.5 Goals

No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.

Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
20:00
Manchester City W 74%
:
Newcastle W 10%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Manchester City
w w d w w
18 Played
14 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.8 (50 total)
xG
1.80 (33.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.9 (287 total)
Shots on Target
6.5 (41% acc)
Corners
6.5 (117 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.1 (164 total)
Offsides
1.1 (20 total)
17 Played
8 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (29 total)
xG
1.60 (27.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (214 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.1 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.4 (177 total)
Offsides
1.2 (21 total)
35 Played
22 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (79 total)
xG
1.70 (60.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.3 (501 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (39% acc)
Corners
5.3 (186 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
14 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.7 (341 total)
Offsides
1.2 (41 total)
Newcastle
l d l l w
18 Played
10 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (35 total)
xG
2.00 (35.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (247 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (40% acc)
Corners
6.8 (123 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.3 (185 total)
Offsides
1.9 (34 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (20.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (210 total)
Shots on Target
4 (32% acc)
Corners
5.8 (99 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
7.5 (128 total)
Offsides
1 (17 total)
35 Played
14 Wins
9 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (56 total)
xG
1.60 (55.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (457 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (36% acc)
Corners
6.3 (222 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
8.9 (313 total)
Offsides
1.5 (51 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.59 vs 0.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.92%
0:1
2.32%
0:2
0.55%
0:3
0.09%
0:4
0.01%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
11.86%
1:1
6.47%
1:2
1.73%
1:3
0.31%
1:4
0.04%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
14.3%
🔥
2:1
8.86%
2:2
2.67%
2:3
0.52%
2:4
0.08%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
11.5%
3:1
7.97%
3:2
2.67%
3:3
0.58%
3:4
0.09%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
6.93%
4:1
5.32%
4:2
1.97%
4:3
0.47%
4:4
0.08%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
3.34%
5:1
2.81%
5:2
1.14%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 2:0 (14.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.9%
0
14.2%
1
21.3%
2
22.2%
3
17.9%
4
11.9%
5
5.4%
6
1.7%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Manchester CityHDPNewcastle
28.3%
Low@ 3.80
-2.5
0.3%
Very Low
39.6%
Low@ 3.31
-2
1.0%
Very Low
50.9%
Medium@ 2.26
-1.5
1.8%
@ 12.50Very Low
63.1%
High@ 1.84
-1
4.9%
@ 11.00Very Low
75.3%
High@ 1.53
-0.5
8.0%
@ 6.25Very Low
92.1%
Very High@ 1.12
+0.5
24.7%
@ 2.90Low
95.2%
Very High@ 1.03
+1
36.9%
@ 2.23Low
98.3%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
49.1%
@ 1.76Medium
99.0%
Very High
+2
60.4%
@ 1.40High
99.7%
Very High
+2.5
71.8%
@ 1.27High

Team Total Predictions

Manchester CityOutcomeNewcastle
66.1%
High@ 1.41
Over 1.5
15.6%
@ 3.25Very Low
33.9%
Low@ 3.00
Under 1.5
84.4%
@ 1.37Very High
40.4%
Medium@ 2.30
Over 2.5
3.4%
@ 10.00Very Low
59.6%
Medium@ 1.67
Under 2.5
96.6%
@ 1.09Very High
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Manchester City will take on Newcastle as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-02-21 at 2026-02-21 in the famous Etihad Stadium. The referee for the game will be T. Bramall. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Manchester City, and the visiting side, Newcastle. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Manchester City or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-21 Time: 20:00 Location: Etihad Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Manchester City vs Newcastle Saturday, Feb 21st, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Correct Score 2:0
High Value
Prob: 13.6%
EV: +36.1%
Stake: $0.28
10.00
Asian Handicap Manchester City -1
High Value
Prob: 63.1%
EV: +16.1%
Stake: $2.98
1.84
Away Total Newcastle Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 84.4%
EV: +15.7%
Stake: $6.76
1.37
Match Winner Manchester City
Value
Prob: 73.8%
EV: +9.9%
Stake: $5.10
1.49
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 90.2%
EV: +3.7%
Stake: $10.00
1.15
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 02:30:32
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Trends for Manchester City vs Newcastle Football 21 Feb, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Manchester City have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Manchester City score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Manchester City vs Newcastle

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Manchester City is stronger in the first half (15 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Manchester City

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Newcastle

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Manchester City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Newcastle - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Manchester City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
12
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Newcastle - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Manchester City is stronger in the first half (15 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Manchester City to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Manchester City has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Manchester City handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.051
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Manchester City):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Newcastle):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Manchester City
Newcastle

Manchester City vs Newcastle Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Arsenal
d l w w d
>
26
17
6
3
50
18
32
57
2
Manchester City
l w d w w
>
26
16
5
5
54
24
30
53
3
Aston Villa
l w l d w
>
26
15
5
6
37
27
10
50

9
Bournemouth
d w w d w
>
26
9
10
7
43
45
-2
37
10
Newcastle
d l l l w
>
26
10
6
10
37
37
0
36
11
Sunderland
w l w l l
>
26
9
9
8
27
30
-3
36
Team comparison
Prediction
Newcastle Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Manchester City
VS
Newcastle
Last 11 Head-to-Head Matches
8 Wins
2 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.7 (30)
1 (11)
xG
1.50
1.40
Shots
16.5 (182)
8.1 (89)
Shots on Target
6.6 (73)
3.2 (35)
Corners
7 (77)
3.5 (38)
Defense
Conceded
1 (11)
2.7 (30)
xGa
1.40
1.50
Clean Sheets
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (20)
2.5 (28)
Fouls
7.6 (84)
11.5 (126)
Offsides
0.8 (9)
3 (33)
22 Nov
- 17:30
Newcastle
Manchester City
2.24
xG
1.82
2
1
Prob 67%
Asian Handicap H+1
Odd 1.45
15 Feb
- 15:00
Manchester City
Newcastle
1.90
xG
0.48
4
0
28 Sep
- 11:30
Newcastle
Manchester City
1.57
xG
0.91
1
1
16 Mar
- 17:30
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
0
13 Jan
- 17:30
Newcastle
Manchester City
2
3
19 Aug
- 19:00
Manchester City
Newcastle
1
0
4 Mar
- 12:30
Manchester City
Newcastle
2
0
21 Aug
- 15:30
Newcastle
Manchester City
3
3
8 May
- 15:30
Manchester City
Newcastle
5
0
19 Dec
- 14:00
Newcastle
Manchester City
0
4
Last 6 Matches
Manchester City
VS
Newcastle
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.83 PPG 1.17
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
50% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.65 Avg xG 1.82
Manchester City
W W D W W
Premier League 2025-2026
11 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Manchester City
3 0
Fulham
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Liverpool
1 2
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Tottenham
2 2
Manchester City
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Manchester City
2 0
Galatasaray
Premier League 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Manchester City
2 0
Wolves
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 17:45
Bodo/Glimt
3 1
Manchester City
Newcastle
L D L L W
Premier League 2025-2026
10 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Tottenham
1 2
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Newcastle
2 3
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
31 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Liverpool
4 1
Newcastle
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 1
Newcastle
Premier League 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Newcastle
0 2
Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
21 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Newcastle
3 0
PSV Eindhoven

Manchester City vs Newcastle: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Manchester City and away matches for Newcastle

Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Newcastle
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
1X2
Manchester City
Newcastle
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Manchester City
Newcastle
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Manchester City
Newcastle
0-1
0% 0
10% 1
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
Manchester City
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Newcastle
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Manchester City
Newcastle
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
30% 3
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Manchester City
Newcastle
xG
1.6
1.9
xGa
1.02
1.57
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Newcastle
Yes
0% 0
40% 4
No
100% 10
60% 6
1X2
Manchester City
Newcastle
1
70% 7
20% 2
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Manchester City
Newcastle
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
30% 3
80% 8
Total Goals
Manchester City
Newcastle
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Newcastle
Yes
90% 9
50% 5
No
10% 1
50% 5
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Newcastle
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Newcastle
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Manchester City
Newcastle
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Manchester City
Newcastle
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Manchester City
Newcastle
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Newcastle
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
2.64 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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Guardiola: "I’m confident in my ability to secure the Premier League title without arrogance"
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Presenter Demands Accountability from Sunderland After Loss at Etihad -
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Liverpool Targeting £40-50m "Top Player" While Barcelona Express Strong Interest
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Premier League Odds: Manchester City Reduced to 13/10 for Title After Arsenal's Defeat to Villa
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal live: Rice begins as injury-plagued Gunners aim to sustain lead in Premier League standings
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Arsenal and Man City Compete for Bundesliga Star, Report Claims
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