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Manchester City
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West Ham
Manchester City vs Chelsea: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 11:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.76 vs 0.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.61%
⭐
0:1
6.28%
⭐
0:2
2.59%
0:3
0.71%
⭐
0:4
0.15%
⭐
0:5
0.02%
⭐
1
1:0
12.82%
🔥
⭐
1:1
11.16%
1:2
4.84%
1:3
1.4%
⭐
1:4
0.3%
⭐
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
10.81%
2:1
9.88%
2:2
4.49%
⭐
2:3
1.36%
2:4
0.31%
2:5
0.05%
⭐
3
3:0
6.08%
⭐
3:1
5.82%
⭐
3:2
2.77%
3:3
0.87%
3:4
0.21%
⭐
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
2.56%
4:1
2.56%
⭐
4:2
1.27%
4:3
0.42%
4:4
0.1%
⭐
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.86%
⭐
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.47%
⭐
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (12.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
12
3
2
31
10
21
39
2
12
1
4
41
16
25
37
3
11
3
3
27
18
9
36
4
8
5
4
29
17
12
29
5
▲
9
2
6
28
25
3
29
1.57
xG
0.97
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Manchester City
VS
Chelsea
6/6 (100%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.50
PPG
1.50
3.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
50%
BTTS %
67%
83%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
2.26
Avg xG
1.18
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Manchester City will take on Chelsea as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Etihad Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Manchester City, and the visiting side, Chelsea. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Manchester City or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 17:30
Location: Etihad Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Manchester City vs Chelsea Football 4 Jan, 2026 11:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Late Goals Expected
Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Manchester City 100%, Chelsea 75%) — expect late drama
-
Defensive Fortress
Manchester City have league's best defense — hard to break down
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Manchester City vs Chelsea, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Manchester City(10 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H10/10100%Manchester City create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- UnbeatenH2H9/1090%Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 9 10 matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/1090%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- League Top ScorerLeague9/975%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring at home (2.78 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Manchester City score 2.78 goals/match at home (+97% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague70%Manchester City are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Manchester City concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Manchester City create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Manchester City score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Chelsea(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Manchester City(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/967%Manchester City score well (2.78/match) but have strong defense at home (0.67 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Manchester City(5 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H9/1090%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- League Top ScorerLeague9/975%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring at home (2.78 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Manchester City score 2.78 goals/match at home (+97% above league average)
- High ScoringRecent17/17100%Manchester City score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Manchester City have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Chelsea(3 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H8/1080%Chelsea scored 0-1 goals in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent17/17100%Chelsea have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H7/1070%Under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 H2H matches (70.0%%)
Both teams average 4.7 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
🛡️ Double Chance
Manchester City(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H9/1090%Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 9 10 matches
- Top Table FormLeague70%Manchester City are currently 2nd in the table (Top 3)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Manchester City concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1776%Chelsea are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Manchester City(4 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/975%Manchester City rank 1 of 20 in scoring at home (2.78 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Manchester City score 2.78 goals/match at home (+97% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague9/970%Manchester City concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent10/10100%Manchester City scored 1+ goals in their last 10 10 matches
Chelsea(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Chelsea score 1.89 goals/match in away matches (+34% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Manchester City(1 trends) — avg 1.4 (-27% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1786%Manchester City average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-14% below league avg 1.9)
Chelsea(2 trends) — avg 2.4 (+26% above league)
- Many CardsH2H8/1080%Chelsea receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Chelsea average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.9) — rank #2 in league
Manchester City disciplined play balances Chelsea aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Manchester City(1 trends) — avg 7.0 (+46% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/985%Manchester City average 7.0 corners/match at home (+46% above league avg 4.8)
Chelsea(1 trends) — avg 5.3 (+2% above league)
- Few CornersH2H10/10100%Chelsea win 4 or fewer corners in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+21 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Manchester City vs Chelsea
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Manchester City is stronger in the second half (13 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Manchester City is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚡ Final Stage: Manchester City is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Manchester City
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Chelsea
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Manchester City - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Chelsea - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Manchester City - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1
✈️ Chelsea - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Manchester City shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Manchester City winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Manchester City excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Manchester City scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.147
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.038
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Manchester City):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Chelsea):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Manchester City vs Chelsea Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 Premier League
Manchester City vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Manchester City and away matches for Chelsea
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
30%
3
70%
7
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
80%
8
40%
4
X
0%
0
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Manchester City
Chelsea
12
100%
10
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
20%
2
60%
6
Total Goals
Manchester City
Chelsea
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
70%
7
60%
6
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Manchester City
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Manchester City
Chelsea
HT 1 - FT 1
80%
8
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Manchester City
Chelsea
xG
2.04
1.48
xGa
1.19
1.31
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Chelsea
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
80%
8
40%
4
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Manchester City
Chelsea
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
20%
2
60%
6
Total Goals
Manchester City
Chelsea
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Chelsea
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Chelsea
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Manchester City
Chelsea
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Manchester City
Chelsea
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Manchester City
Chelsea
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Manchester City
Chelsea
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
60%
6
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Chelsea
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Manchester City or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 52.52% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 47.48% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 22.75% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 77.25% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 25.87% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 74.13% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.29% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 93.71% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Manchester City
Chelsea
Played:
10
Wins
7
7
Draws
2
2
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
18
1.8
Goals
0.9
9
9
0.9
Goals Conceded
1.8
18
13
1.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
23
0
Red Cards
0
5
0.5
Clean Sheets
0
58
5.8
Corners
2.8
28
101
10.1
Fouls
10.2
102
17
1.7
Offsides
2.8
28
159
15.9
Shots
9.7
97
51
5.1
Shots on Goal
3.8
38
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 8 | 4 | 12 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.8 | 25 | 2 | 16 | 2.4 | 41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 6 | 1.3 | 10 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Corners | 7 | 63 | 3.6 | 29 | 5.4 | 92 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 91 | 9 | 72 | 9.6 | 163 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.1 | 18 |
| Shots | 15.6 | 140 | 11.6 | 93 | 13.7 | 233 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.6 | 59 | 3.9 | 31 | 5.3 | 90 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 13 | 2.9 | 26 | 2.3 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 4 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Corners | 6.6 | 53 | 4.1 | 37 | 5.3 | 90 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 90 | 11.6 | 104 | 11.4 | 194 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 11 | 1.7 | 15 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 15 | 120 | 12.7 | 114 | 13.8 | 234 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 42 | 4.8 | 43 | 5 | 85 |
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