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Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 21 7 Jan 2026 - 19:30
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
Form
1 : 1
2.36
xG
0.81
Full Time
Half Time: 1-0
Brighton
Brighton
11th place
Form
41'
E. Haaland
K. Mitoma
60'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Manchester City vs Brighton Football Match Stats & Results Wednesday, 7 January, 2026 13:30

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
5'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
6'
Winner (1x2)1.50
Manchester City to Win
Probability 75%
Total Goals1.44
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Both Teams to Score1.57
Yes
Probability 65%
Manchester City Total2.22
Home Over 2.5
Probability 57%
Brighton Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 89%
Double Chance1.15
Manchester City/Draw
Probability 89%
Asian Handicap-
Manchester City +2.5
Probability 99%

Manchester City vs Brighton: Premier League Match Preview

Main Intrigue of the Match

As the Premier League resumes for Matchweek 21, Manchester City, currently sitting in second place with 42 points, will host Brighton, who are tenth with 28 points. This clash carries significant stakes for both teams: City aims to close the gap on league leaders while Brighton seeks to stabilize their mid-table position and build momentum after their recent victory.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this match with contrasting recent performances that are likely to shape the outcome.

  • Manchester City: The Citizens have been formidable at home, going unbeaten in their last five matches with a strong average of 2.6 goals scored per game, showcasing their attacking prowess while conceding just 0.6. Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Chelsea, which may have slightly dampened their momentum, but they remain a dominant force in the league.
  • Brighton: The Seagulls have struggled to find consistency, managing only one win in their last five outings, which included two draws and two defeats. Their recent away form has been particularly concerning, with only one win in their last five away matches, highlighting their vulnerability on the road.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchups between these two sides have been competitive, with Manchester City winning five of the last ten encounters. The last five results show a trend towards high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match. Notably, the recent results include a thrilling 2-2 draw and a dominant 4-0 victory for Brighton, hinting at the potential for an exciting clash.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Manchester City is likely to dominate possession and utilize their attacking depth, primarily through the likes of Erling Haaland and Jérémy Doku, both of whom are crucial to their attacking strategy. Haaland's clinical finishing and Doku's pace could exploit Brighton's defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Brighton will need to focus on a solid defensive structure, led by defender Jan Paul van Hecke, to withstand City's pressure and look for counter-attacking opportunities.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win
Predicted Score: 2:1
Reasoning: Based on Manchester City's strong home form and superior xG metrics, coupled with Brighton's inconsistent away performances, the statistical model leans heavily towards a City victory.

Betting Tips

Considering the statistical predictions, there are some notable value bets to explore.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Over 1.5 @ 1.36 (Probability: 79.8%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.47 (Probability: 76%, +16% value vs. 50% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Manchester City
Brighton
29' Yellow Card
L. Dunk
Holding
L. Dunk
41' Yellow Card
P. Groß
Unsportsmanlike conduct
P. Groß
E. Haaland
Goal (from penalty) 1:0 41'
E. Haaland
53' Yellow Card
J. van Hecke
Holding
J. van Hecke
60' 1:1 Goal
K. Mitoma
Assistant: Y. Ayari
K. Mitoma
60' Yellow Card
M. De Cuyper
Unsportsmanlike conduct
M. De Cuyper
G. Donnarumma
Yellow Card 60'
G. Donnarumma
Unsportsmanlike conduct
Rodri
Substitute 64'
In:Rodri
Out:Nico González
69' Yellow Card
K. Mitoma
Tripping
K. Mitoma
M. Cherki
Substitute 73'
In:M. Cherki
Out:P. Foden
N. O'Reilly
Substitute 73'
In:N. O'Reilly
Out:N. Aké
R. Lewis
Substitute 73'
In:R. Lewis
Out:M. Nunes
77' Substitute
In:D. Welbeck
Out:G. Rutter
D. Welbeck
77' Substitute
In:B. Gruda
Out:D. Gómez
B. Gruda
83' Substitute
In:T. Watson
Out:K. Mitoma
T. Watson
83' Substitute
In:J. Milner
Out:Y. Ayari
J. Milner
89' Yellow Card
T. Watson
Tripping
T. Watson

Manchester City vs Brighton: Premier League Match Preview

Main Intrigue of the Match

As the Premier League resumes for Matchweek 21, Manchester City, currently sitting in second place with 42 points, will host Brighton, who are tenth with 28 points. This clash carries significant stakes for both teams: City aims to close the gap on league leaders while Brighton seeks to stabilize their mid-table position and build momentum after their recent victory.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams enter this match with contrasting recent performances that are likely to shape the outcome.

  • Manchester City: The Citizens have been formidable at home, going unbeaten in their last five matches with a strong average of 2.6 goals scored per game, showcasing their attacking prowess while conceding just 0.6. Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Chelsea, which may have slightly dampened their momentum, but they remain a dominant force in the league.
  • Brighton: The Seagulls have struggled to find consistency, managing only one win in their last five outings, which included two draws and two defeats. Their recent away form has been particularly concerning, with only one win in their last five away matches, highlighting their vulnerability on the road.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchups between these two sides have been competitive, with Manchester City winning five of the last ten encounters. The last five results show a trend towards high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match. Notably, the recent results include a thrilling 2-2 draw and a dominant 4-0 victory for Brighton, hinting at the potential for an exciting clash.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Manchester City is likely to dominate possession and utilize their attacking depth, primarily through the likes of Erling Haaland and Jérémy Doku, both of whom are crucial to their attacking strategy. Haaland's clinical finishing and Doku's pace could exploit Brighton's defensive vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Brighton will need to focus on a solid defensive structure, led by defender Jan Paul van Hecke, to withstand City's pressure and look for counter-attacking opportunities.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win
Predicted Score: 2:1
Reasoning: Based on Manchester City's strong home form and superior xG metrics, coupled with Brighton's inconsistent away performances, the statistical model leans heavily towards a City victory.

Betting Tips

Considering the statistical predictions, there are some notable value bets to explore.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Total - Home - Over 1.5 @ 1.36 (Probability: 79.8%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.47 (Probability: 76%, +16% value vs. 50% implied).

Bet responsibly.

Manchester City vs Brighton Formation Lineups for Wed 7 Jan, 2026 @ 13:30 Premier League

Formation
7
Manchester City
4-1-4-1
6.7
Brighton
4-2-3-1
G. Donnarumma
6.9
Donnarumma 25
N. Aké
6.7
73'
Aké 6
M. Alleyne
7.5
Alleyne 68
A. Khusanov
7.2
Khusanov 45
M. Nunes
6.2
73'
Nunes 27
Nico González
6.9
64'
González 14
J. Doku
7.9
Doku 11
P. Foden
7.5
73'
Foden 47
T. Reijnders
6.2
Reijnders 4
Bernardo Silva
7.3
Silva 20
E. Haaland
7.3
Haaland 9
B. Verbruggen
7.5
Verbruggen 1
M. De Cuyper
6.3
Cuyper 29
L. Dunk
6.7
Dunk 5
J. van Hecke
7.2
Hecke 6
J. Hinshelwood
7.5
Hinshelwood 13
P. Groß
6.3
Groß 30
Y. Ayari
6.5
83'
Ayari 26
K. Mitoma
7.9
83'
Mitoma 22
D. Gómez
5.5
77'
Gómez 25
F. Kadıoğlu
7.2
Kadıoğlu 24
G. Rutter
6.2
77'
Rutter 10
field field
Substitutes
Rodri
6.9
64'
Rodri 16
Cherki
7.6
73'
Cherki 10
O'Reilly
6.6
73'
O'Reilly 33
Lewis
7
73'
Lewis 82
Welbeck
6.5
77'
Welbeck 18
Gruda
6.3
77'
Gruda 8
Watson
6.5
83'
Watson 14
Milner
6.3
83'
Milner 20
LineUps
Manchester City
60'
6.9
27
d
73'
6.2
7.2
68
d
7.5
6
d
73'
6.7
64'
6.9
7.3
6.2
47
m
73'
7.5
11
f
7.9
41'
7.3
Substitutes
16
m
64'
6.9
10
m
73'
7.6
73'
6.6
82
d
73'
7
91
d
92
f
Coach
Brighton
7.5
7.5
53'
7.2
5
d
29'
6.7
60'
6.3
26
m
83'
6.5
30
m
41'
6.3
7.2
25
m
77'
5.5
22
m
60'69'83'
7.9
10
f
77'
6.2
Substitutes
23
g
42
d
8
m
77'
6.3
14
f
83'89'
6.5
20
m
83'
6.3
18
f
77'
6.5
Coach
Missing Players
Manchester City
Brighton
- Injured - Jumpers knee

Manchester City vs Brighton Head-to-head statistics for Wed 7 Jan, 2026 @ 13:30 Premier League

Manchester City
Brighton
Off Target 10 Blocked 6
On Target 6
On Target 3
Off Target 3
1 Goals 1
60 Ball Possession 40
22 Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 0
17 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 1
578 Total passes 379
87 Passes accurate % 78
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
6 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 6
2 Offsides 3
6 Corners 1
2.36 Expected Goals 0.81

Stats for Manchester City vs Brighton Wednesday, Jan 7th, 2026 at 13:30 Football

Manchester City
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Brighton
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
J. Doku
7.9
Forward
2
K. Mitoma
Midfielder
7.9
3
R. Cherki
Midfielder
7.6
4
J. Hinshelwood
Midfielder
7.5