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Ludogorets
3
2
Celta Vigo
Ludogorets vs PAOK: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 12:45
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.69 vs 1.40
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.07%
0:1
6.81%
0:2
3.83%
0:3
1.43%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
8.57%
1:1
11.31%
🔥
1:2
7.29%
1:3
3.08%
1:4
0.97%
1:5
0.24%
2
2:0
6.06%
⭐
2:1
9.18%
⭐
2:2
6.72%
⭐
2:3
3.19%
2:4
1.11%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
2.85%
⭐
3:1
4.88%
⭐
3:2
4.01%
⭐
3:3
2.12%
⭐
3:4
0.82%
⭐
3:5
0.24%
⭐
4
4:0
1.01%
⭐
4:1
1.92%
⭐
4:2
1.76%
⭐
4:3
1.03%
⭐
4:4
0.44%
⭐
4:5
0.14%
5
5:0
0.28%
⭐
5:1
0.6%
⭐
5:2
0.6%
⭐
5:3
0.39%
⭐
5:4
0.18%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Ludogorets
VS
PAOK
3/6 (50%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.20
PPG
1.60
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
83%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
-
Avg xG
-
1.69
xG [Total: 3.09]
1.40
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
3
Corners [Total: 6]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
8
Fouls [Total: 20]
12
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 8]
5
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, Ludogorets will take on PAOK as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 6 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous Huvepharma Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ludogorets, and the visiting side, PAOK. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or PAOK and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-11
Time: 17:45
Location: Huvepharma Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Ludogorets vs PAOK Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 12:45 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Ludogorets vs PAOK Football 11 Dec, 2025 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Ludogorets vs PAOK, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Ludogorets @ 3.52 ✅ 
Ludogorets
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Ludogorets score 2.33 goals/match at home (+75% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent10/10100%Ludogorets create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent21/21100%Ludogorets create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 21 of their last 21 UEFA Europa League matches
Ludogorets demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.80 
Ludogorets(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague2/367%Ludogorets score (2.33/match) and concede (1.67/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 50%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ⚠️
Ludogorets(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Ludogorets score 2.33 goals/match at home (+75% above league average)
Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
⚡ Team Total Goals — Ludogorets Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.00 ⚠️ 
Ludogorets
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%Ludogorets score 2.33 goals/match at home (+75% above league average)
Ludogorets's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Ludogorets(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague7/790%Ludogorets average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-26% below league avg 2.1)
PAOK(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague9/987.5%PAOK average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+15% above league avg 2.1)
Ludogorets disciplined play balances PAOK aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.60 ✅ 
Ludogorets(2 trends) — avg 3.3 (-27% below league)
- Few CornersLeague3/385%Ludogorets average 3.3 corners/match at home (-27% below league avg 4.6)
- Few CornersRecent7/978%Ludogorets win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 9 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
PAOK(1 trends) — avg 1.7 (-64% below league)
- Few CornersLeague4/485%PAOK average 1.7 corners/match in away matches (-64% below league avg 4.6)
Combined average: 5.0 corners/match (Ludogorets 3.3 + PAOK 1.7) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+5 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Ludogorets vs PAOK
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: PAOK is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: PAOK is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: PAOK is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Ludogorets
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.06
✈️ PAOK
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.38
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Ludogorets - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ PAOK - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Ludogorets - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
✈️ PAOK - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: PAOK often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of PAOK scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: PAOK is stronger in the first half (11 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider PAOK to win the first half
- Overall Result: PAOK has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider PAOK handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.186
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.071
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Ludogorets):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (PAOK):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Ludogorets vs PAOK Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 12:45 UEFA Europa League
Ludogorets vs PAOK: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ludogorets and away matches for PAOK
Number of goals
Number of goals
Ludogorets
Under
Over
PAOK
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Ludogorets
PAOK
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Ludogorets
PAOK
1
40%
4
60%
6
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Ludogorets
PAOK
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
60%
6
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Ludogorets
PAOK
0-1
10%
1
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Ludogorets
Under
Over
PAOK
Under
Over
7.5
100%
9
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
9
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
9
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
9
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Ludogorets
PAOK
Yes
10%
1
50%
5
No
90%
9
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Ludogorets
PAOK
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Ludogorets
PAOK
xG
1.55
1.87
xGa
1.83
1.44
Number of goals
Number of goals
Ludogorets
Under
Over
PAOK
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Ludogorets
PAOK
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Ludogorets
PAOK
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Ludogorets
PAOK
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Ludogorets
PAOK
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Ludogorets
PAOK
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Ludogorets
Under
Over
PAOK
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Ludogorets
PAOK
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Ludogorets
PAOK
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
60%
6
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Ludogorets
PAOK
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
40%
4
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Ludogorets
PAOK
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Ludogorets
PAOK
Yes
10%
1
60%
6
No
90%
9
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or PAOK and +1.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 50.36% | Medium | 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 49.64% | Low | 1.43 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 40.82% | Low | 2.17 |
| Under 1.5 | 59.18% | Medium | 1.73 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 24.01% | Low | 8.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 75.99% | High | 1.09 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 16.65% | Low | 4.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 83.35% | High | 1.20 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Ludogorets
PAOK
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 7 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.9 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 5 | 2.3 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 | 11 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corners | 3.3 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 3.1 | 22 |
| Fouls | 10 | 30 | 12.3 | 49 | 11.3 | 79 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 7 | 1.8 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| Shots | 16 | 48 | 16 | 64 | 16 | 112 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 5.1 | 36 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 10 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.8 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.2 | 1 | 1.8 | 7 | 0.9 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 8 | 3.3 | 13 | 2.3 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.8 | 4 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.6 | 5 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 27 | 1.3 | 5 | 3.6 | 32 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 48 | 10.3 | 41 | 9.9 | 89 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.7 | 6 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 72 | 6 | 24 | 10.7 | 96 |
| Shots on Goal | 7 | 35 | 3 | 12 | 5.2 | 47 |
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